字号·· | 护眼
彭博社

市场暴跌令新股上市遇冷,阿根廷赴美IPO复苏势头停滞Argentina’s US IPO Revival Stalls as Market Rout Chills Debuts

点「原文对照」整页切到原文,或双击某段只看那段的原文。

阿根廷能源公司已将今年在美首次公开募股(IPO)的计划搁置,这给复苏该国长期沉寂的纽约股市上市市场的希望带来打击,因为本地资产抛售和全球市场动荡削弱了投资者胃口。

Argentine energy companies have put plans for US initial public offerings this year on hold, dealing a blow to hopes of reviving the country’s long-dormant market for New York stock listings as a rout in local assets and global market turmoil dampen investor appetite.

据知情人士透露,可再生能源生产商Genneia SA已将其在纽约上市的计划推迟至2027年至少,因为阿根廷资产抛售拖累了其潜在估值。电力生产商YPF Luz的拟议发行已被搁置,此前其控股股东同意收购一名少数投资者的股份,而该投资者的退出原本是推动IPO的关键因素。

Renewable-energy producer Genneia SA has put its plans for a New York listing on hold until at least 2027 as a selloff in Argentine assets weighs on its potential valuation, according to people familiar with the matter. Power producer YPF Luz’s planned offering has been shelved after its controlling shareholder agreed to buy out a minority investor whose exit had been a key driver of the IPO.

这些挫折出现之际,阿根廷股债近几个月大幅下跌,陷入全球范围内对风险资产的广泛撤离,且投资者对阿根廷总统哈维尔·米莱明年连任竞选的焦虑加剧。基准的标普梅瓦尔指数较6月高点以美元计价已下跌近30%,而主权债券自9月以来是新兴市场表现最差的资产之一。

The setbacks come as Argentine stocks and bonds tumbled in recent months, caught in a broader global retreat from riskier assets and mounting investor anxiety ahead of President Javier Milei‘s reelection bid next year. The benchmark S&P Merval has fallen almost 30% in dollar terms from its June high, while sovereign bonds are among the worst performers in emerging markets since September.

“考虑到市场状况,这两个IPO流程极有可能都已暂停,”当地券商Balanz的股票与信用研究总监Ezequiel Fernandez表示。“按这些倍数计算,公司将过于廉价地出售股份,这不符合常态化的阿根廷情景——除非股价强劲反弹,否则它们可能更倾向于观望,看看2027年会发生什么。”自2019年Vista Energy售股以来,阿根廷一直缺席美国股市首发。此前一年,Corp. America Airport SA和发电商Central Puerto SA曾进行过IPO。

“In all likelihood, both IPO processes are suspended given market conditions,” said Ezequiel Fernandez, Equity and Credit Research Director at local broker Balanz. “At these multiples, companies would be selling too cheaply for a normalized Argentina scenario — unless we see a strong rebound in stock prices, they’ll likely prefer to wait and see what happens in 2027.”Argentina has been absent from US equity debuts since 2019, when Vista Energy sold shares. That followed IPOs by Corp. America Airport SA and power generator Central Puerto SA the year earlier.

这些延迟凸显了阿根廷资本市场日益扩大的分化。能源公司通过国际债券发行筹集了数十亿美元资金用于扩张,但这股热潮未能带动股权发行复苏,因为股价下跌使得潜在上市对其所有者缺乏吸引力。

The delays highlight a growing divide in Argentina’s capital markets. Energy companies have raised billions of dollars through international bond sales to finance expansion, yet the boom has failed to revive equity offerings as falling share prices make prospective listings less attractive to their owners.

据知情人士透露,电力供应商 Genneia 在其发行上市的筹备工作中已取得显著进展,随后将该流程转入观望模式。这家可再生能源生产商于 7 月向美国监管机构提交文件,申请在纽约和布宜诺斯艾利斯上市,并已确定摩根士丹利和 BTG Pactual 担任全球协调人。

Power provider Genneia had advanced significantly with preparations for its offering before putting the process into wait-and-see mode, according to people familiar with the deal. The renewable-energy producer filed with US regulators in July for a listing in New York and Buenos Aires and lined up Morgan Stanley and BTG Pactual as global coordinators.

在米莱时代,Genneia 赢得了电网储能合同,联合收购了阿根廷最大输电公司的股份,并且随着新太阳能设施投入运营,第二季度息税折旧摊销前利润(Ebitda)较去年同期增长了 17%。

In the Milei era, Genneia has won energy storage contracts on the grid, jointly acquired a stake in Argentina’s biggest electricity-line company, and in the second quarter saw its Ebitda jump by 17% from the same period last year as new solar facilities came online.

YPF Luz 的计划则发生了不同的转折:一家由通用电气分拆公司控制的企业,持有该发电商约 25% 的股份,选择通过私下出售而非公开发行的方式退出。控股股东 YPF SA 同意以 4.3 亿美元收购该股份,实际上暂时搁置了首次公开募股(IPO)进程。

YPF Luz’s plans took a different turn after a company controlled by a General Electric Co. spin-off, which owned roughly 25% of the electricity producer, opted to exit through a private sale rather than a public offering. Controlling shareholder YPF SA agreed to acquire the stake for $430 million, effectively sidelining the IPO process for now.

据一位直接了解计划的人士称,此次发行原本被设想为通用电气分拆公司退出投资的渠道。随着该目标已通过私下出售实现,近期上市的可能性不大,该人士表示。这笔交易并不排除 YPF 最终寻求对该业务进行发行上市。两家公司均拒绝置评。

The offering had been conceived as a vehicle for the GE spin-off to exit its investment, according to a person with direct knowledge of the plans. With that objective now achieved through the private sale, a listing is unlikely in the near term, the person said. The transaction doesn’t preclude YPF from eventually pursuing an offering of the business. Both companies declined requests to comment.

上市计划的停滞反映出,在今年强劲开局之后,市场对阿根廷资产的情绪急剧恶化。美国国债收益率上升和更广泛的全球风险规避转向,加剧了人们对阿根廷经济前景以及 2027 年总统大选前政治不确定性的担忧。

The stalled listings reflect a sharp deterioration in sentiment toward Argentine assets after a strong start to the year. Rising US Treasury yields and a broader global risk-off shift have compounded concerns over Argentina’s economic outlook and political uncertainty ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

经济很可能已在第三季度陷入衰退,即使能源仍是其增长最快的部门之一。页岩油出口激增,该行业吸引了数百亿美元的宣布投资,而制造业、建筑业和其他劳动密集型部门却举步维艰。

The economy is likely to have slipped into recession in the third quarter, even as energy remains one of its fastest-growing sectors. Shale oil exports have surged and the industry has attracted tens of billions of dollars in announced investment, while manufacturing, construction and other labor-intensive sectors have struggled.

这种分化也体现在资本市场上。阿根廷较强的公司,尤其是能源行业的公司,尽管近期波动加剧,仍继续获得国际债务融资。Genneia 本身正瞄准本周发行绿色债券。

That divergence has also played out in capital markets. Stronger Argentine companies, particularly in the energy industry, have continued to access international debt financing despite recent volatility. Genneia itself is targeting a green bond sale this week.

股权投资者却难以吸引得多。阿根廷股市的下跌压低了估值,使潜在发行人不愿按这些价格出售股份。

Equity investors have proved far harder to attract. The slump in Argentine shares has depressed valuations, leaving prospective issuers reluctant to sell stakes at these prices.

即使美国国债收益率从近期约 5.3% 的高位回落,也未能为阿根廷股市提供缓解,凸显了投资者对该国情绪恶化的程度之深。

Even a retreat in US Treasury yields from recent highs of around 5.3% has failed to provide relief for Argentine equities, underscoring how deeply investor sentiment toward the country has deteriorated.

“现在阿根廷处于‘惩罚区’,”Grit Capital Group 首席投资官 Walter Stoeppelwerth 说。“美国收益率下行而阿根廷股票持续抛售——这是技术面的现实。今天 Merval 指数没有买家,所以我看不出目前有首发上市(IPO)的空间。”

“For now, Argentina is in the penalty box,” said Walter Stoeppelwerth, chief investment officer at Grit Capital Group. “US yields go down and Argentine stocks keep selling off — that’s a technical reality. There are no buyers for the Merval today, so I don’t see room for an IPO right now.”

阅读媒体原文 ↗