据《国会山报》报道，美国国会议员伊曼纽尔·克利弗（伊曼纽尔·克利弗，密苏里州民主党籍）预计周二将大胜，在密苏里州第5选区（包括堪萨斯城）连任第12个任期。克利弗曾任国会黑人核心小组主席，击败了共和党州参议员、前海军陆战队员里克·布拉廷。布拉廷与特朗普总统关系密切。据决策办公室（DDHQ）周二晚上8点15分的报道，克利弗以72%对26%的得票率，领先布拉廷近46个百分点。
Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.) is projected to roll to victory Tuesday, securing a 12th term in Missouri’s 5th District comprising Kansas City, according to Decision Desk HQ. Cleaver, a former Congressional Black Caucus chair, defeated Rick Brattin, a Republican state senator and former Marine who had allied himself closely with President Trump. Cleaver led Brattin by nearly 46 percentage points — 72 to 26 percent — as reported by DDHQ as of 8:15 p.m. Tuesday.
这场竞选是2026年选举周期中最具争议、也最受关注的竞选之一，因为密苏里州共和党人试图重新划定该州的众议院选区图，其具体目的是让克利弗无法连任。这一努力是特朗普主导的更广泛运动的一部分，旨在帮助共和党明年保持众议院控制权，若成功，将使共和党在该州代表团中占据7比1的优势，而当前选区图下为6比2。
The race has been one of the most contentious — and most closely watched — of the 2026 cycle after Missouri Republicans sought to redraw the state’s House map with specific designs to make it impossible for Cleaver to win reelection. That effort — part of a broader campaign, orchestrated by Trump, to help the GOP keep House control next year — would have given Republicans a 7-1 edge in the state delegation, up from 6-2 under the current map.
但该努力的批评者在法庭上挑战了这些变更，经过一番法律拉锯战后，新选区图被禁止用于今年的中期选举。相反，密苏里州选民周二面临一项公投，决定共和党选区图是否应在2026年后生效。一旦选区边界恢复到现状，克利弗在蓝色选区的胜利就几乎成定局。拜登总统在2020年以26个百分点的优势赢得该地区，前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯在2024年以23个百分点的优势赢得该地区。
But critics of the effort challenged the changes in court, and after a back-and-forth legal battle, the new map was disallowed for this year’s midterms. Instead, Missouri voters on Tuesday were presented with a referendum to decide if the GOP map should go into effect after 2026. Once the lines reverted to their current state, Cleaver’s victory was all but assured in a bright blue district. Former President Biden won the region by 26 points in 2020, and former Vice President Kamala Harris carried it by 23 points in 2024.
这些人口结构使布拉廷的挑战在任何环境下都只是小胜希望，但在特朗普历史上不受欢迎、且总统的政策——包括全球关税和伊朗战争——直接导致通胀趋势，使消费者在无数商品上承担更高成本的年份，情况更是如此。克利弗是一位卫理公会牧师，也是堪萨斯城的前市长，长期以来一直倡导传统的自由派事业，包括推动采取更严格的枪支管制法律、扩大医疗保健获取途径以及保障社会保障福利。
Those demographics made Brattin’s challenge a long shot in any environment, but even more so in a year when Trump is historically unpopular and the president’s policies — including global tariffs and the Iran war — have led directly to inflationary trends that are saddling consumers with higher costs on countless goods. Cleaver, a Methodist pastor and former mayor of Kansas City, has a long track record championing traditional liberal causes, including a push to adopt tougher gun laws, expand healthcare access and preserve Social Security benefits.
但他最为人熟知的是作为可负担住房的倡导者，这一立场应使他成为下一届国会中有影响力的人物，届时民主党誓将解决住房成本问题作为首要任务。
But he’s best known as an advocate for affordable housing, a position that should make him an influential figure in the next Congress, when Democrats are vowing to tackle housing costs as a top priority.