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CREA报告:中国排放降幅创新冠封控以来最大,高油价为主因China’s Emissions Fall Most Since Covid on High Fuel Costs, CREA Report Finds

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根据一份新报告,随着昂贵的燃料和温和的天气叠加该国的清洁能源推进,中国全球领先的排放量经历了自2022年新冠封控以来最大的降幅。

China’s world-leading emissions experienced the biggest drop since the 2022 Covid lockdowns, as expensive fuel and mild weather added to the country’s clean energy push, according to a new report.

根据能源与清洁空气研究中心(CREA)为《Carbon Brief》进行的分析,第三季度能源和工业领域的二氧化碳排放量与2025年同期相比下降了3.1%。高油价加速了向电动汽车的转型并放缓了化工品需求,而较低的气温减少了为空调供电的煤电需求。

Carbon dioxide emissions from energy and industry fell 3.1% in the third quarter compared to the same period in 2025, according to analysis from the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air for Carbon Brief. High oil prices sped up a shift to electric vehicles and slowed demand for chemicals, while cooler temperatures reduced the need for coal to power air conditioners.

在2015年《巴黎气候协定》生效后排放量激增之后,这一降幅延续了长达两年半的排放持平或下降趋势。CREA首席分析师Lauri Myllyvirta表示,今年前九个月排放量下降了0.5%。

The drop continues a two-and-a-half year trend of flat or falling emissions, after they surged following theg of the Paris climate agreement in 2015. In the first nine months of this year, emissions fell 0.5%, according to Lauri Myllyvirta, CREA’s lead analyst.

最大驱动因素是可再生能源的大规模铺设,这帮助中国在不更多依赖煤电机组的情况下满足不断增长的电力需求。上周,国家能源局表示,今年前九个月煤电占发电量的比重降至50%以下,而十年前这一比例接近70%。

The biggest driver was a massive rollout of renewables, which have helped China meet growing power demand without relying more on its coal fleet. Last week, the National Energy Administration said coal accounted for less than half of power generation in the first nine months of the year, down from nearly 70% a decade ago.

第三季度排放量的大幅下降得益于较高的能源价格,这有利于包括电动重卡在内的电动汽车,后者在9月占新车销量的50%。较高的价格也推高了塑料等石化产品的成本,大幅削减了需求,有助于抑制污染严重的煤化工行业的增长。

The sharp third-quarter drop in emissions was aided by higher energy prices, favoring electric vehicles including electric heavy-duty trucks, which captured 50% of new sales in September. Higher prices also increased costs for petrochemical goods like plastics, slashing demand and helping suppress growth in the highly polluting coal-to-chemicals sector.

天气也发挥了作用,相对温和的夏季有助于抑制空调用电需求,后者在近年来一直是用电量增长的主要驱动力。根据国家能源局数据,居民用电量已连续四个月下降,为2009年有数据以来最长纪录。

Weather also played a role, as a relatively mild summer helped temper demand for air conditioning, which had been a major driver of electricity usage in recent years. Household power consumption has fallen four straight months, the longest streak in NEA data back to 2009.

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