Marine Le Pen, presidential candidate of France’s right-wing National Rally, remains the clear frontrunner for the country’s spring 2027 election, according to a new poll published Monday. A Toluna Harris Interactive survey showed Le Pen getting between 33% and 36% of first-round voting intentions, depending on the scenario tested, broadcaster BFMTV reported. Despite maintaining a substantial lead over her rivals, Le Pen's support slipped by 1 to 2 percentage points compared to a similar Aug. 24 poll. The main contest now is over who will qualify for a likely second round of presidential elections alongside Le Pen. Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of the left-wing La France Unbowed, was backed by between 16% and 17% of respondents across the scenarios in which he was included.根据这项民调，在五种情景中有三种他都有资格进入决选，尤其是当前总理爱德华·菲利普并非中间派政党的唯一候选人，或者不参选时。

在一种情景中，梅朗雄和菲利普势均力敌，而当菲利普是代表政治中间派的唯一主要竞争者时，他则会领先。在测试的各情景中，菲利普的支持率在14%至19%之间。调查显示，在包含他的三种情景中，他只有一次进入第二轮。

根据这项民调，菲利普进入决选的最强路径是中间派力量团结起来支持他的候选资格。然而，勒庞在预测的第二轮对决中仍然占据主导地位。

调查显示，她以67%对33%领先梅朗雄，以56%对44%领先前总理加布里埃尔·阿塔尔，并以55%对45%领先菲利普。

法国总统选举定于明年4月18日举行，如果没有候选人在第一轮投票中赢得多数票，第二轮投票将于5月2日进行。