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加拿大在世界经济中寻找新角色Canada seeks new role in global economy

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随着与美国的贸易联系持续紧张,加拿大正在日益碎片化的全球经济中寻求新的角色和新的合作伙伴。总理马克·卡尼一直在吸引更多外国投资,并寻求与欧盟和亚洲经济体建立更紧密的联系。

As trade ties with the US continue to fray, Canada is seeking a new role and new partners in the increasingly fragmented global economy. Prime Minister Mark Carney has been courting more foreign investment as well as closer ties with the European Union and Asian economies.

加拿大财政部前特别顾问、麦吉尔大学经济系客座讲师朱利安·卡拉格斯ian(Julian Karaguesian)表示,卡尼正在为加拿大的能源和关键矿产行业寻找新市场。“如果你看一下去年,我们对美国的出口下降了大约4%,这削减了[经济]增长。然而,在同一时期,我们对世界其他地区的出口增长了11%(……)因此正在进行调整。”

Julian Karaguesian, former special advisor to Canada's Department of Finance and visiting lecturer at McGill University's Department of Economics, says Carney is seeking new markets for Canada's energy and critical minerals industries. "If you look at the last year, our exports to the United States fell by about 4 percent, and that cut [economic] growth. However, our exports to the rest of the world over the same period increased by 11 percent (...) so there's an adjustment going on."

卡拉格斯ian表示,虽然华盛顿和渥太华之间的贸易联系可以从最近的紧张局势中“恢复”,但这两个邻国之间的关系可能会发生永久性改变。“我认为它在特朗普之后会变得更有礼貌——稍微更有礼貌,或者可能很多——但我认为它不会改变太多,因为他们需要来自关税、税收的这些资金。特朗普之后会发生什么尚不清楚,但我只是觉得它不会改变那么多。”

Karaguesian says that while trade ties between Washington and Ottawa "can recover" from recent tensions, the relationship between the neighbours may be permanently altered. "I see it as becoming more polite beyond Trump – a little more polite or maybe a lot – but I don't see it as changing much, because they need these moneys from tariffs, from taxes. It's not clear what happens after Trump, but I just don't see it changing that much."

他认为加拿大对投资者来说是一个有吸引力的选择。“外界对加拿大有很大的兴趣,因为我们提供了一种获得非美元投资回报的方式,因为美国债券市场和美元资产在缺乏更好术语的情况下看起来有点动摇;有很多波动。加拿大正在提供对该国基础设施、能源等的真实股权。”

He believes that Canada is an attractive bet for investors. "There is a lot of foreign interest in Canada, because we're offering a way of getting returns on investment that aren't in US dollars, because US bond markets and US dollar assets are looking, for lack of a better term, a little shaky; there's a lot of volatility. Canada is offering real equity stakes in the country's infrastructure, energy and so forth."