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华盛顿邮报

中国如何征服曾由西方控制的高科技市场How China is conquering high-tech markets once controlled by the West

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曾经以使用廉价劳动力生产低价服装和玩具而闻名的中国工厂,如今正越来越多地制造世界上一些最先进的产品。

Once known for using cheap labor to produce inexpensive clothes and toys, Chinese factories increasingly make some of the world’s most sophisticated products.

北京——很少有工厂能同时成为旅游景点。但自从两年前这家公司开始提供汽车总产线参观服务以来,已有超过30万名游客涌入小米在这里占地广阔的“超级工厂”。

BEIJING — It’s the rare factory that doubles as a tourist attraction. But more than 300,000 visitors have streamed through Xiaomi’s sprawling “hyperfactory” here since the company began offering tours of its automobile assembly lines two years ago.

展现在世人面前的是一幅与四分之一个世纪前中国崛起为经济大国时以劳动密集型作业为特征的景象大相径庭的制造蓝图。被漆成亮白色的工业机器人围绕着半成品的电动轿车灵巧地旋转与舞动。紧凑的无人搬运车发出悦耳的警报声,提醒着它们遇到的少数人类,在一座比五角大楼还要巨大的广阔厂房地面上飞驰而过。

On display is a vision of manufacturing far removed from the labor-intensive operations that characterized China’s emergence as an economic power a quarter century ago. Industrial robots painted a brilliant white pivot and twirl around half-finished electric sedans. Compact unmanned load carriers, chirping a melodic warning for the few humans they encounter, scoot across the floor in a vast factory larger than the Pentagon.

随着中美两国元首本周在华盛顿会晤,这正是中国更愿意展现的形象:线条流畅、富有创新精神且精通全球先进制造业。

As the Chinese and American presidents met this week in Washington, this is how China prefers to be seen: sleek, innovative and globally proficient in advanced manufacturing.

“他们在自动化、机器人技术、最大限度减少人工和最大限度提高效率方面进行了全方位投入,”圣迭戈的汽车行业顾问迈克尔·邓恩(Michael Dunne)说。“你会发现,中国的汽车行业拥有迄今为止世界上最先进的工厂。”不仅在汽车行业。中国制造商的自动化、创新设计、世界一流的物流和政府支持,已将他们推上了越来越多技术先进产品领域的全球霸主地位。曾经以使用廉价劳动力生产廉价服装和玩具而闻名的中国工厂,如今正日益专注于世界上一些最复杂的商品,包括功能丰富的电动汽车和机器人。

“They have gone all in on automation and robotics and minimizing labor and maximizing efficiency,” said Michael Dunne, an auto industry consultant in San Diego. “You will find in China’s auto industry the most advanced plants in the world, by far.” And not just in the auto industry. Chinese manufacturers’ automation, innovative designs, world-class logistics and government support have vaulted them to global supremacy in an ever-longer list of technologically advanced products. Once known for using cheap labor to produce inexpensive clothes and toys, Chinese factories increasingly specialize in some of the world’s most sophisticated merchandise, including feature-rich electric vehicles and robotics.

在工业革命初期的大英帝国和二战后的美国,曾如此主导全球商品生产。根据联合国工业发展组织的数据,中国目前占全球制造业增加值的32%,是2010年份额的两倍,且超过紧随其后的四大制造业强国——美国、德国、日本和韩国——的总和。

Only Britain at the dawn of the Industrial Revolution and the United States following World War II have so dominated the global production of goods. China now accounts for 32 percent of global manufacturing value added, twice its share in 2010, and more than the combined total of the next four biggest manufacturing powers — the United States, Germany, Japan and South Korea — according to the U.N. Industrial Development Organization.

中国的成就以长期主导全球经济最先进领域的美国和欧洲企业为代价。但这可能无法满足中国年轻一代对就业的渴望。根据巴黎经济合作与发展组织的数据,得益于自动化,中国工厂目前的就业人数比2013年制造业劳动力达到峰值时减少了1800万。

China’s achievements come at the expense of U.S. and European companies that have long dominated the global economy’s most advanced precincts. But they may not satisfy the hunger for jobs among China’s younger generation. Thanks to automation, Chinese factories today employ 18 million fewer workers than they did in 2013, when the nation’s manufacturing workforce peaked, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development in Paris.

在国内就业担忧持续的背景下,这一惊人的增长使中国成为全球争议的焦点。

Amid continuing worries about jobs at home, this stunning growth has landed China at the center of global controversy.

周四,唐纳德·特朗普总统与中国国家主席习近平在白宫的会谈,笼罩在贸易伙伴试图遏制中国野心的迹象之下。美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特多次指责中国1.2万亿美元的贸易顺差实际上是从其他国家窃取需求,以弥补其疲弱的国内经济。特朗普政府计划很快对拥有“过剩产能”的国家(包括中国)宣布新关税。

On Thursday, talks between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at the White House were shadowed by signs that China’s trading partners would try to head off the country’s ambitions. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has repeatedly blamed China’s $1.2 trillion trade surplus for effectively stealing demand from other nations to make up for a weak domestic economy. The Trump administration plans to announce soon new tariffs on nations that have “excess capacity,” including China.

这种担忧跨越党派:巴拉克·奥巴马总统的贸易主管迈克尔·弗罗曼在近期《外交事务》杂志的一篇文章中警告称,无限制的中国出口可能引发“全球经济危机”。而在欧洲,对看似势不可挡的中国竞争对手的担忧更为强烈。

The concerns are bipartisan: Michael Froman, President Barack Obama’s trade chief, warned in a recent Foreign Affairs article that unlimited Chinese exports could set off a “global economic crisis.” And in Europe, fears of seemingly unstoppable Chinese competitors are even more acute.

去年有超过100万辆中国制造的汽车进入欧盟,这威胁到德国汽车制造商的未来,而这些车企已因在中国销量下滑而深受其害。欧洲领导人计划下个月决定是否针对中国商品设立新的贸易壁垒。

More than 1 million Chinese-made cars entered the European Union last year, threatening the future of German automakers already suffering from sagging sales in China. European leaders plan to decide next month on erecting new barriers against Chinese goods.

经济学家表示,中国的出口成功源于一个以生产而非消费为优先的经济模式。政府产业政策为许多制造商提供低成本融资、土地和税收优惠,导致中国生产的汽车、太阳能电池板、钢铁和测量仪器等产品超过了国内能盈利吸收的水平。疲软的人民币也起到了推波助澜的作用。

China’s export success results from an economic model that prioritizes production over consumption, economists said. Government industrial policies provide many manufacturers with low-cost financing, land and tax incentives, which results in China producing more cars, solar panels, steel and measuring instruments than it can profitably absorb at home. The weak Chinese yuan also helps.

中国的战略包括对财务亏损的容忍度,这种亏损足以让美国或欧洲的公司倒闭。据伦敦凯投宏观数据显示,去年近三分之一的中国工业企业亏损。许多是出口商,包括造车新势力蔚来,该公司已连续10年亏损,但享有合肥市政府和安徽省政府的支持。

The Chinese game plan includes a tolerance for financial losses that would doom companies in the United States or Europe. Nearly one-third of Chinese industrial firms lost money last year, according to Capital Economics in London. Many are exporters, including carmaker Nio, which has lost money without interruption for 10 years but enjoys the backing of the Hefei city government and Anhui province.

据法国投资银行Natixis称,中国表现最差的企业甚至无法偿还债务利息,使其成为商业上的“僵尸企业”。以可再生能源行业为例,28%的中国公司缺足够盈利来履行债务义务。从整体经济来看,12%的中国公司是僵尸企业,这一比例是疫情前的两倍,约为全球平均水平的两倍。

China’s worst performers cannot even cover the interest payments on their debt, rendering them commercial “zombies,” according to Natixis, a French investment bank. In the renewable-energy sector, for example, 28 percent of Chinese companies lack sufficient earnings to meet their debt obligations. Economy-wide, 12 percent of Chinese companies are zombies, double the pre-pandemic figure and roughly twice the global average.

Natixis亚太区首席经济学家Alicia Garcia-Herrero表示:“如果你分行业来看,僵尸企业的数量增长如此之快;2026年将会非常糟糕。”

“If you look sector by sector, the number of zombies is increasing so fast; 2026 is going to be terrible,” said Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist, Asia Pacific, for Natixis.

亏损的中国企业往往能靠地方政府输血维持运转,因为地方政府担心破产会导致就业岗位和税收流失;国有银行提供宽松信贷也是支撑因素。根据战略与国际研究中心(CSIS)2022年的一项研究,中国投入用于产业补贴的公共资金比例高于美国或欧洲。

The Chinese companies that bleed red ink are often kept afloat by local governments worried about the loss of jobs and tax revenue that would follow bankruptcy or by state banks providing easy credit. China devotes more public money to industrial subsidies than does the U.S. or Europe, according to a 2022 study by the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

这项由美国国务院资助的CSIS分析显示,中国政府对企业的总支持力度达到国内生产总值(GDP)的1.73%。国际货币基金组织(IMF)去年的估算则超过这一数字的两倍,达GDP的4%。

The CSIS analysis, funded by the U.S. State Department, put total government support for Chinese businesses at 1.73 percent of gross domestic product. An International Monetary Fund estimate last year was more than double at 4 percent of GDP.

中国商务部7月表示,中国出口企业之所以繁荣,归功于其自身的创新能力,将“产能过剩”指责斥为美国保护主义的借口。一些分析人士持相同观点,指出中国车企在全球抢占市场份额,靠的是技术和性能的提升,而非仅靠政府补贴。

China’s Ministry of Commerce said in July that its exporters prospered thanks to their own innovativeness, dismissing the “excess capacity” allegations as an excuse for U.S. protectionism. Some analysts agree, noting that Chinese carmakers are taking market share globally thanks to improved technologies and performance, not just government subsidies.

以中国最大车企比亚迪为例。比亚迪海豹07 DM-i(注:原文为BYD Seal,对标特斯拉Model 3)标配15.6英寸旋转触控屏、双无线充电板,以及可随环境声或音乐律动的车内多色氛围灯。但据纽约咨询公司锑元(Rhodium Group)数据,其2025年底售价为2.419万美元,比特斯拉在中国的售价低出8000多美元。

Take BYD, China’s largest carmaker. The BYD Seal, which is comparable to the Tesla Model 3, includes as standard equipment a rotating 15.6-inch touch screen, dual wireless charging pads and an interior multicolor lighting system that pulses along with ambient sound or music. But its late-2025 sticker price of $24,190 was more than $8,000 lower than the Tesla sells for in China, according to the Rhodium Group, a New York consultancy. Government subsidies, meanwhile, account for just $235 of the $4,700-per-vehicle price advantage BYD holds across its fleet over Elon Musk’s Tesla, Rhodium said.

锑元指出,在比亚迪全系车型每辆拥有的4700美元价格优势中,政府补贴仅占235美元。

“There’s a lot of technological advancement taking place in China,” said Louis Kuijs, chief economist, Asia Pacific, for S&P Global Ratings. “The Chinese companies are just very good and very fast, and the price-quality ratio is very attractive.” Chinese companies also are not above playing hardball. In recent years, BYD effectively obtained an interest-free loan by routinely delaying by months its payments to suppliers. At one point last year, the company reported owing nearly $25 billion listed only as “other payables” on its financial reports.

“中国正在发生大量技术进步,”标普全球评级亚太区首席经济学家路易·库伊斯表示。“中国企业非常优秀且反应极快,性价比极具吸引力。”中国企业也不惜玩硬手段。近年来,比亚迪通过常规性地将对供应商的付款拖延数月,实际上获得了一笔无息贷款。去年一度,该公司报告称欠款近250亿美元,在财务报表中仅列为“其他应付款”。

“There’s a lot of technological advancement taking place in China,” said Louis Kuijs, chief economist, Asia Pacific, for S&P Global Ratings. “The Chinese companies are just very good and very fast, and the price-quality ratio is very attractive.” Chinese companies also are not above playing hardball. In recent years, BYD effectively obtained an interest-free loan by routinely delaying by months its payments to suppliers. At one point last year, the company reported owing nearly $25 billion listed only as “other payables” on its financial reports. As the practice grew more widespread, China’s governing State Council said this month that large companies should commit to paying suppliers within 60 days. BYD did not respond to an emailed request for comment.

随着这种做法愈发普遍,中国国务院本月表示,大型企业应承诺在60天内支付供应商款项。比亚迪未对通过电子邮件发出的置评请求作出回应。

For years, China’s manufacturing gains were seen as the flip side of American factory losses; jobs disappeared from the U.S. industrial heartland only to reappear in Asia. But in recent years, instead of adding bodies to its assembly lines, China has been deploying collaborative robots or co-bots, designed to work alongside humans; conveyors; and automated visual quality inspection systems, according to AlixPartners, a New York-based consultancy.

多年来,中国制造业的收益被视为美国工厂损失的另一面;工作岗位从美国工业腹地消失,转而出现在亚洲。但近年来,中国不再在装配线上增加人手,而是部署协作机器人(即协作机器人,设计用于与人类协同工作)、传送带以及自动化视觉质量检测系统,据纽约咨询公司艾睿铂(AlixPartners)称。

For years, China’s manufacturing gains were seen as the flip side of American factory losses; jobs disappeared from the U.S. industrial heartland only to reappear in Asia. But in recent years, instead of adding bodies to its assembly lines, China has been deploying collaborative robots or co-bots, designed to work alongside humans; conveyors; and automated visual quality inspection systems, according to AlixPartners, a New York-based consultancy. Robot-rich Chinese auto plants can produce automobiles for 25 to 30 percent less than in the U.S. or Europe. While Chinese wages have increased in recent years, overall labor costs per vehicle remain much lower than in advanced economies. The reason: Chinese cars are designed to be easier to make, meaning fewer hours of labor are needed.

机器人密集的中国汽车工厂生产汽车的成本比美国或欧洲低25%至30%。尽管中国工资近年来有所上涨,但每辆车的总体人工成本仍远低于发达经济体。原因在于:中国汽车设计得更易于制造,意味着所需工时更少。

“It isn’t because of low-cost labor. It’s because of efficiencies attributable to proximity to supply chains and this high degree of automation,” said Dunne, formerly president of General Motors operations in Indonesia.

“这不是因为低成本劳动力。这是由于靠近供应链和高度自动化带来的效率,”曾任通用汽车印尼业务总裁的邓恩表示。

Inside Xiaomi’s facility about 90 minutes from the center of Beijing, 700 robots perform an industrial choreography that delivers a new car every 76 seconds.

在距离北京市中心约90分钟车程的小米工厂内,700台机器人上演着一场工业编排,每76秒就下线一辆新车。

“Xiaomi’s car factory has achieved a high level of automation, with most processes completed entirely by machines,” Lei Jun, Xiaomi’s CEO, told Chinese reporters last year.

“小米汽车工厂实现了高度自动化,大部分工序完全由机器完成,”小米首席执行官雷军去年对中国记者表示。

Xiaomi (pronounced Shao-mee) rose to prominence in China as a leading maker of smartphones before branching out into wearables, tablets and Internet-connected appliances. It began making passenger cars in early 2024, and its tech-forward approach quickly won glowing reviews.

小米(发音为 Shao-mee)凭借智能手机制造商的领先地位在中国崭露头角,随后拓展至可穿戴设备、平板电脑和互联家电领域。2024年初,小米开始生产乘用车,其技术导向的策略迅速赢得了极高评价。

Xiaomi (pronounced Shao-mee) rose to prominence in China as a leading maker of smartphones before branching out into wearables, tablets and Internet-connected appliances. It began making passenger cars in early 2024, and its tech-forward approach quickly won glowing reviews.

福特将一辆小米SU7电动轿车从上海空运至芝加哥,以便首席执行官吉姆·法利亲自考察竞争对手。试驾后,法利称小米为“行业巨无霸”。

Ford flew a Xiaomi SU-7 electric sedan from Shanghai to Chicago so that CEO Jim Farley could eyeball the competition. After driving the car, Farley pronounced Xiaomi “an industry juggernaut.” The link between China’s inadequate domestic demand and its surging exports is especially clear in the auto sector. New car sales slumped by 22 percent in the second quarter, which only intensified competition among China’s dozens of carmakers.

中国国内需求不足与出口激增之间的联系在汽车行业尤为明显。第二季度新车销量暴跌22%,这只会加剧中国数十家车企之间的竞争。

They already can produce roughly twice as many cars each year as Chinese consumers will buy and are adding capacity for an additional 5 million vehicles, according to economist Brad Setser of the Council on Foreign Relations.

根据外交关系委员会经济学家布拉德·塞策的说法,中国车企目前的年产能已约为中国消费者购买量的两倍,且正在增加500万辆的额外产能。

Many of those extra vehicles are bound for other markets. Through August, Chinese auto exports rose by more than 50 percent compared with the same period in 2025, approaching 7.5 million vehicles, according to China’s General Administration of Customs.

许多多余车辆将销往海外市场。据中国海关总署数据,截至8月,中国汽车出口较2025年同期增长逾50%,接近750万辆。

Many of those extra vehicles are bound for other markets. Through August, Chinese auto exports rose by more than 50 percent compared with the same period in 2025, approaching 7.5 million vehicles, according to China’s General Administration of Customs.

尽管小米整体保持盈利,但包含电动汽车业务的部门在第二季度亏损约3.87亿美元,当时其车辆平均售价下降近10%。过去一年,公司股价腰斩。

While Xiaomi remains profitable, the division that includes its electric-vehicle operations lost about $387 million in the second quarter, when the average selling price for its vehicles dropped by nearly 10 percent. Over the past year, the company’s stock price has shrunk by more than half.

作为回应,公司正采取一个熟悉的策略:明年某个时候,首批小米汽车将开始进入德国市场。

In response, the company is adopting a familiar strategy: Some time next year, the first Xiaomi cars will begin arriving in Germany.