中期选举候选人回避辩论: “没有必要站在台上争论意见分歧。” 今年,不到一半的参议院选举将举行候选人辩论。
Midterm candidates dumping debates: 'There's no reason to get up there and argue about differences of opinion' Fewer than half of Senate races will have candidate debates this year.
随着高风险的中期选举临近,数百名候选人正在向选民阐述自己的主张,但根据美国广播公司(ABC News)的分析,在许多情况下,选民将无法看到候选人的辩论——这一趋势在过去的几届选举中一直存在。
As the high-stakes midterm elections approach and hundreds of candidates make their case to voters, in many cases, those voters won't get a chance to see candidates debate -- a trend over the last several elections, according to an ABC News analysis.
今年共有36个州长职位面临选举,其中21个州的选举中两大政党候选人之间不会举行辩论。这些州长选举中包括ABC News评为“竞争激烈的选区”——佐治亚州、内华达州和俄亥俄州。
This year, 36 governors are up for election -- 21 of those races will not see a debate between the two major-party candidates. That number includes three of the governor's races ranked by ABC News as toss-ups: Georgia, Nevada and Ohio.
在过去两次中期选举中,没有举行辩论的州长选举数量一直在增加:2018年只有2个州(阿拉巴马州和内华达州)没有辩论;而2022年这一数字上升到了8个州。
The number of governor’s races with no debate has increased over the past two midterm elections. In 2018, only two races out of 36 saw no debates -- Alabama and Nevada. In 2022, that number went up to eight out of the 36 gubernatorial races.
这一趋势在参议院选举中更为明显:在2026年即将举行的35个参议院席位中,有21个席位的候选人之间没有安排辩论,其中包括俄亥俄州和德克萨斯州的竞争激烈选区。
The trend is even more pronounced in Senate races. Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2026, 21 of them have no debate scheduled between the major candidates including toss-up races in Ohio and Texas.
在2024年即将改选的34个参议院席位中,有9个席位没有举行辩论;而在2022年,这一数字为14个。
Of the 34 seats up for reelection in 2024, nine had no debates; in 2022, there were no debates for 14 out of 35.
虽然候选人回避辩论可以避免犯错或失态,但这可能对选民不利——一位专家告诉ABC News,选民因此失去了了解候选人政策主张以及他们应对压力的方式的机会。
While candidates skipping debates may help spare them from gaffes or missteps, it can be to the detriment of voters -- who, an expert told ABC News, are missing an opportunity to not only learn about candidates' platforms, but also how they handle pressure.
候选人回避辩论的原因:那些决定不参加辩论的候选人提出了各种理由。
While candidates skipping debates may help spare them from gaffes or missteps, it can be to the detriment of voters -- who, an expert told ABC News, are missing an opportunity to not only learn about candidates' platforms, but also how they handle pressure.
在俄亥俄州,民主党州长候选人艾米·阿克顿(Amy Acton)拒绝与她的共和党对手维韦克·拉马斯瓦米(Vivek Ramaswamy)进行辩论,称她不想为对方“毫无根据的谎言”提供平台(她指的是拉马斯瓦米政治广告中的虚假言论)。拉马斯瓦米已向阿克顿提出辩论请求。
Why candidates have said they are declining debates The candidates who have declined debates ahead of the midterms in November have cited a variety of reasons. In Ohio, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton declined to debate her Republican opponent Vivek Ramaswamy, saying she did not want to "platform" his "baseless lies" -- a reference to what she called false claims in some of his political ads. Ramaswamy has challenged Acton to debate him.
正在竞选阿拉巴马州州长的参议员汤米·塔伯维尔(Tommy Tuberville)决定不与他的民主党对手道格·琼斯(Doug Jones)进行辩论。他告诉当地电视台:“我们之间的分歧实在太大,没有必要坐在一起争论这些分歧。”而琼斯则继续要求举行辩论。
Sen. Tommy Tuberville, who is running for governor in Alabama, opted against debating Democratic opponent Doug Jones, telling a local TV station that "there's so much difference between us. I mean, there's no reason to get up there and argue about differences of opinion." Jones has continued to call for debates.
在备受关注的德克萨斯州参议院选举中,共和党候选人肯·帕克斯顿(Ken Paxton)最初承诺在今年夏天与州参议员詹姆斯·塔拉里科(James Talarico)进行辩论。然而,尽管帕克斯顿做出了这一承诺,ABC电视台的WFAA频道多次提出举办辩论的邀请,但帕克斯顿的团队始终没有给予回应。
In Texas' closely watched Senate race, Republican candidate Ken Paxton had initially committed to a debate against state Sen. James Talarico earlier this summer. Despite Paxton's commitment, ABC affiliate WFAA says their offers to host a debate have gone unanswered by Paxton's team.
周四,塔拉里科在福克斯新闻(Fox News)上向帕克斯顿发出了辩论邀请。帕克斯顿的竞选团队至今仍未对这一邀请作出任何回应。
On Thursday, Talarico challenged Paxton to a debate on Fox News. Paxton’s campaign has not responded to requests for comment on his plans to debate. Paxton did not participate in debates in his previous runs for office as attorney general.
在帕克斯顿之前担任司法部长期间,他曾在多次竞选活动中拒绝参加辩论。
In Arizona, Gov. Katie Hobbs is declining a debate in her race -- marking the second election cycle she has done so. In her 2022 race, she requested separate televised interviews of herself and her opponent, Kari Lake. When Lake declined, Hobbs opted not to debate.
在亚利桑那州,州长凯蒂·霍布斯(Katie Hobbs)也决定不参加辩论——这已经是她第二次在选举中选择不参与辩论了。在2022年的选举中,她曾要求与对手卡里·莱克(Kari Lake)分别接受电视采访;由于莱克拒绝了这一提议,霍布斯便决定不参加辩论。
In Arizona, Gov. Katie Hobbs is declining a debate in her race -- marking the second election cycle she has done so. In her 2022 race, she requested separate televised interviews of herself and her opponent, Kari Lake. When Lake declined, Hobbs opted not to debate. This year, Hobbs again declined to debate, her campaign manager saying it was because "face-to-face engagement with Arizonans is more effective than a stage designed for short soundbites and political theater."
今年,霍布斯再次拒绝参加辩论,她的竞选经理表示:“与亚利桑那州选民进行面对面的交流,比在舞台上进行简短的演讲或表演性辩论更为有效。”
Voters can't see how candidates 'react under pressure' But no matter the reason for candidates' decisions not to debate, the result is the same: voters are denied the opportunity to see a head-to-head comparison of the top contenders on their ballot.
选民无法看到候选人在压力下的真实反应。不过,无论候选人决定不参加辩论的原因是什么,结果都是一样的:选民们无法看到选票上那些主要竞争者之间的直接较量。
Voters can't see how candidates 'react under pressure' But no matter the reason for candidates' decisions not to debate, the result is the same: voters are denied the opportunity to see a head-to-head comparison of the top contenders on their ballot.
克雷格·亨尼根(Craig Hennigan)是内华达大学拉斯维加斯分校的传播学讲师,同时也是该校屡获殊荣的辩论队的负责人。他表示,当候选人选择缺席辩论时,选民就无法了解他们在压力下的真实反应。“选民观看辩论的目的其实并不是为了了解各种政策或议题;不过研究表明,人们确实会在辩论中无意间了解到一些相关信息,但他们更关注的是候选人的个人品格。”亨尼根在接受美国广播公司(ABC News)采访时说道。
Craig Hennigan, a lecturer in communications at the University of Nevada Las Vegas and director of their award-winning debate team, said when candidates skip debates, voters don't get to see how they "react under pressure." "[Voters are] not actually looking to watch a debate to learn about issues. However, the research has shown that people do incidentally learn about issues -- but they're more interested in the character being presented," Hennigan told ABC News. The same setting that creates moments of genuine insight for voters can put candidates in an unpredictable and vulnerable position, Hennigan said.
亨尼根指出,虽然辩论环境能为选民提供深入了解候选人的机会,但同时也可能让候选人陷入难以预测的、充满风险的境地。“候选人无法预知对手会说什么;无论他们事先准备了怎样的发言内容,一旦面临压力,都可能犯错。因此,参加辩论确实存在一定的风险。”他解释道。
"[Candidates are] not certain what their opponent's going to say, and whatever message they've been trying to curate, when they're put on the spot, they might have a misstep. So there's risk involved with having to perform in a debate,” he said.
亨尼根认为,不同职位的候选人在参加辩论时的动机也会有所不同。他以唐纳德·特朗普总统在2024年大选初选中拒绝参加辩论为例,指出:“如果候选人已经拥有明显的优势,那么参加辩论对他们来说几乎没有任何实际意义。”
Hennigan argues that the incentives look different for candidates heading into debates depending on their position, saying "if you have a very substantial lead, there is very little that you can gain as a candidate from participating in a debate" citing President Donald Trump declining to participate in primary debates in 2024 as an example.
对于那些决定参加辩论的候选人,亨尼根给出了这样的建议:“不要试图获胜,只需尽量避免犯错,重点就是避免出现失言或失误。”
His advice for candidates who do opt for a debate? "You don't attempt to win. You just attempt to not lose. You are trying to avoid gaffes."