博彩市场看好美国总统和弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基。但确保和平最关键的工作，却是由那些远离聚光灯的人在默默完成。哈康·耶尔洛是奥斯陆和平研究所的代理所长。
The betting markets favour the US president and Volodymyr Zelenskyy. But the most vital work to secure peace is being done by those far from the spotlight Haakon Gjerløw is the acting director of the Peace Research Institute Oslo The Nobel peace prize is not a contest determined by fame.
诺贝尔和平奖并非由知名度决定的竞赛。然而，博彩市场总是倾向于全球政坛的大腕——今年其中包括唐纳德·特朗普和弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基。
Yet the betting markets consistently gravitate towards the biggest names in global politics – among them this year, Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
这忽略了该奖项的初衷。真正的建设和平工作往往在头条新闻之外默默进行：由维护国际法的法庭、记录暴行的记者、以及保护社区的人道主义组织来完成。随着2026年奖项将于10月9日揭晓，诺贝尔委员会有机会提醒世界：和平是通过制度与合作建立的，而不仅仅是外交姿态。
That misses what the prize is for. The real work of building peace is often done far from the headlines: by courts that uphold international law, journalists who document atrocities, and humanitarian organisations that protect communities. With the 2026 prize due to be announced on 9 October, the Nobel committee has an opportunity to remind the world that peace is built through institutions and cooperation, not just diplomatic grandstanding.