德勤加拿大将其对2027年加拿大经济的增长预测下调了20%，理由是消费者和企业面临的条件日益严峻。
Deloitte Canada has shaved 20 per cent off its growth forecast for Canada's economy in 2027, citing increasingly tough conditions for consumers and businesses.
这家会计事务所的最新展望发布之际，美国对部分加拿大进口产品的新禁令于周二生效。德勤认为，加美贸易战近期升级的后果将导致今年最后一个季度及2027年初出现急剧的经济放缓。
The accounting firm's latest outlook comes as a new American ban on select Canadian imports took effect on Tuesday Deloitte sees the fallout of recent escalations in the Canada-U.S. trade war causing a sharp economic slowdown in the final quarter of this year and into early 2027.
首席经济学家Dawn Desjardins表示，数十亿美元的美国关税和加拿大的反制措施的冲击不会在加拿大经济中均匀分布，重创某些行业，而其他行业则繁荣发展。她同时指出，联邦政府的财政支持、投资计划和国防开支是针对性增长的积极信号。
Chief economist Dawn Desjardins says the weight of billions of dollars in U.S. tariffs and Canada's reciprocal measures will not fall evenly across the Canadian economy, hitting some sectors hard, while others prosper. At the same time, the federal government's fiscal supports, investment initiatives and defence spending are positive signals for targeted growth, she said.
“对一些人来说，这有点像脚下的地球在移动——而且不是朝着积极的方向。而在其他行业，我认为我们可以预期增长和就业创造，”Desjardins在周二报告发布前接受CBC新闻采访时表示。加拿大经济已站稳脚跟。但这足以在美加贸易战中生存下来吗？
"For some, it's a little bit like the Earth is moving under their feet — and not in a positive way. While in other sectors, I think we can anticipate growth and job creation," Desjardins told CBC News in an interview prior to the report's release on Tuesday. Canada's economy has found its footing. But is it enough to survive the U.S. trade war?
德勤对加拿大的最新经济展望预计2027年GDP将增长1.6%。6月下旬，该公司曾表示预计明年GDP增长2%。
Deloitte's latest economic outlook for Canada calls for GDP to grow 1.6 per cent in 2027. In late June, the firm said it expected two per cent GDP growth next year.
德勤目前预计加拿大经济在2026年将增长0.9%——较6月预测的0.7%略有改善。
Deloitte currently sees Canada's economy growing by 0.9 per cent in 2026 — a slight improvement from its June estimate of 0.7 per cent.
“当我们考虑到加拿大公司面临的所有因素时，情况非常不确定，无论是成本上升的前景、与最大贸易伙伴摩擦加剧的前景，还是可能更高的利率。所有这些因素都在制造一个非常不确定的环境，”Desjardins说。
"It's so uncertain when we think about all the factors the Canadian companies are facing, whether it's the prospect of higher costs, the prospect of more friction with our largest trading partner or perhaps even higher interest rates. All these factors are just creating a very uncertain environment," Desjardins said.
因此，我们确实认为，经济可能将走上增长放缓的轨道。”加拿大经济7月零增长。周二，加拿大统计局报告称，7月国内生产总值与上月持平。
"As a result, we do think that the economy probably is going to be on a slower growth trajectory." Canada's economic growth flat in July On Tuesday, Statistics Canada reported that GDP for July was flat from the previous month.
加拿大统计局表示：“7月，商品生产型行业总体上基本没有变化，建筑业和公用事业的增长被构成该综合指数的其他行业下降所抵消。”
"The goods-producing industries grouping was essentially unchanged in July, as increases in construction and utilities were offset by declines in the other sectors comprising the aggregate," the agency stated.
“服务生产型行业总体上基本持平，多个行业的增长被零售业和批发业的下降所抵消。”
"The services-producing industries aggregate was essentially flat, as increases across several sectors were offset by declines in retail trade and wholesale trade."