距离中期选举仅剩五周，特朗普总统或许应该听听约翰尼·卡什（Johnny Cash）演唱的老赞美诗《上帝会削减你》（God’s Gonna Cut You Down）：你可以逃跑很长时间/逃跑很长时间/逃跑很长时间/迟早，上帝会削减你/迟早，上帝会削减你。特朗普担任总统的时间断断续续已有五年零八个月。我们已经等待了很久，过去也曾有过过早的断言，但这一次，他的好运终于要用完了。证据是决定性的。
With the midterm elections just five weeks away, President Trump might want to give a listen to Johnny Cash’s version of the old gospel song “God’s Gonna Cut You Down You can run on for a long timeRun on for a long timeRun on for a long timeSooner or later, God’ll cut you downSooner or later, God’ll cut you down Trump has been president, on and off, for five years and eight months. We have been waiting a long time, and there have been premature declarations in the past, but this time his string is finally running out. The evidence is decisive.
根据路透社/益普索（Reuters/Ipsos）9月17日至20日进行的民意调查，不赞成特朗普的选民比例（66%）是赞成者比例（32%）的两倍。
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken Sept. 17 to 20, the share of voters who disapprove of Trump (66 percent) is twice as large as the share of those who approve (32 percent).
特朗普在拉丁裔选民中的支持率——这是他2024年胜利的关键因素——正在迅速下降。皮尤研究中心（Pew Research）发现，在2025年2月至2026年4月期间，曾在两年前投票给特朗普的西班牙裔对他的支持率从93%下降到了66%。
Trump’s support among Latino voters — a crucial ingredient of his victory in 2024 — is falling rapidly. Pew Research found that Trump’s approval rating among Hispanics who voted for him two years ago fell to 66 percent from 93 percent between February 2025 and April 2026.
独立选民最终的倾向往往对大选具有决定性作用，而他们现在已经背离了特朗普。在2024年，独立选民在两位候选人之间平分秋色，特朗普获得了3个百分点的优势。而当被问及他们现在打算在国会选举中投票给民主党还是共和党（即常规投票问题）时，独立选民以57%对32%的选择支持民主党而非共和党，差距高达25个百分点。
The way independents break in the end is often determinative in general elections, and they have turned their backs on Trump. In 2024, independents split among the two candidates, favoring Trump by 3 percentage points Asked now whether they intend to vote for a Democrat or a Republican for Congress — the generic vote question —independents choose the Democrat over the Republican 57 percent to 32 percent, a 25-point difference.