大家好,“早安乔”大家庭!我们非常乐意倾听您的心声。以下是本周大家最关心的话题。和往常一样,您可以随时给我们写信。
Hello, “Morning Joe” Family! We love hearing from you. Here’s what was on your mind this week. As always, you can write to us any time.
来信箱 乔,我觉得很有意思,特朗普总统让我们陷入与伊朗的战争,据称是因为他们可能在未来10年内开发出威胁世界的核武器。但当面对一项可能在本十年末终结我们所知的世界的科技时,为什么他看起来却如此无能为力?——里克·K,缅因州巴黎镇 里克,这是一个重要的问题。
MAILBAG Joe, I think it is interesting that President Trump has us in a war with Iran supposedly because they might be able to develop nuclear weapons, within the next 10 years, that could threaten the world. But when confronted with a technology that could end the world as we know it by the end of the decade, why does he seem so impotent? — Rick K., Paris, Maine Rick, that is an important question.
唐纳德·特朗普在陷入伊朗泥潭之前、期间和之后,都曾承诺要终结伊朗的核计划。
Donald Trump promised to end Iran’s nuclear program before, during, and after he got ensnared in the Iranian quagmire.
不幸的是,当前的战争赋予了伊朗强硬派权力,他们现在几乎肯定会更加坚定、更快地寻求拥有自己的核武器。
Unfortunately, the current war has empowered Iranian hard-liners, who will now almost certainly push harder and faster for their own nuclear weapon.
你还可以预料到核扩散将在该地区蔓延,沙特阿拉伯将成为下一个追求核计划的中东大国。
You can also expect nuclear proliferation to spread across the region, with Saudi Arabia being the next Middle Eastern power to pursue a nuclear program.
与此同时,在国内,特朗普政府对监管最新、最危险的前沿人工智能系统采取了一种消极、撒手不管的态度。虽然这项技术在许多方面可以使美国人更健康、更高产、更安全,但不受监管的发展很可能会导致银行、军事设施、核设施、生物危害场所、能源和水利设施以及几乎所有其他影响美国生活的机构发生安全漏洞。
Meanwhile, at home, the Trump administration takes a passive, hands-off approach to regulating the latest and most dangerous artificial intelligence frontier systems. While this same technology can make Americans healthier, more productive, and more secure in many respects, unregulated development will likely lead to security breaches at banks, military installations, nuclear facilities, biohazard sites, energy and water facilities, and just about every other institution that impacts American life.
未能明智地监管人工智能系统将导致未来在这些领域爆发悲剧,给美国社会带来混乱。如你所知,该领域的一些先驱甚至警告称,这项技术最终可能对人类构成生存威胁。
This failure to wisely regulate AI systems will allow future tragedies to erupt across these sectors, bringing chaos to American society. As you know, some pioneers in the field even warn that the technology could eventually pose an existential threat to the human race.
为什么唐纳德·特朗普对管理这些自我完善的前沿系统带来的日益增长的威胁无所作为?有两个原因。
Why is Donald Trump doing nothing to manage the growing threat from these self-improving frontier systems? Two reasons.
- 硅谷公司已向总统提供了数千万美元的竞选捐款。他们买通了总统,因此他对美国人目前面临的日益严重的威胁置之不理。
- Silicon Valley companies have given the president tens of millions of dollars in campaign contributions. They’ve bought his loyalty, so he’s washed his hands of the growing threat Americans now face.
- 特朗普以股市来衡量自己的成功。由于市场高度依赖人工智能科技公司来实现持续增长,他担心对硅谷的任何监管都会导致这些股票暴跌。
- Trump measures his success by the stock market. Because markets are so dependent on AI tech companies for sustained growth, he fears that any regulation of Silicon Valley will cause those stocks to slump.
这种短视的分析完全本末倒置了。正如我们今天在“早安,乔”(Morning Joe)节目中所解释的那样,对先进人工智能系统进行平衡的监管,有助于防止那些会让这些公司面临巨额诉讼并导致其估值暴跌的悲剧发生。
This shortsighted analysis has it backward. As we explained on “Morning Joe” today, balanced regulation of advanced AI systems could help prevent the very tragedies that would expose these companies to massive lawsuits that would send their valuations plummeting.
不幸的是,总统正玩忽职守,如果我们不尽快唤醒他,我们所有人都将为此付出代价。
Tragically, the president is asleep at the switch, and we will all pay for it unless he’s awakened soon.
我感到困惑,相信许多人也和我一样。如果像表面看起来那样,伊朗人正恳求结束战争,并发送了一项提议,而——令人惊讶的是,总统拒绝了它,但为什么他没有带着反驳意见回来呢?谈判不就是这样的吗?来来回回,直到达成协议?他只是在毫无道理地延长战争。什么才管用?
I am bewildered, as I am sure many are. If the Iranians are begging to end the war as it seems, and sending a proposal, and — surprise, the president rejected it, but why has he not come back with a rebuttal? Isn’t that what negotiations do? Go back and forth until an agreement is met? He just wants to prolong it for no sensible reason. What will work?
——布鲁斯·M.,新不伦瑞克省蒙克顿 伊朗人最近向总统发送了一份先前谅解备忘录的更新版本。根据该备忘录,数千亿美元将从德黑兰被冻结的资金以及海湾国家的私人基金转移给伊朗政权。
— Bruce M., Moncton, New Brunswick The Iranians recently sent the president an updated version of a previous memorandum of understanding that would have transferred hundreds of billions of dollars to the Iranian regime from Tehran’s frozen funds and a private fund from Gulf nations.
根据该谅解备忘录,为结束特朗普的战争,伊斯兰政权获得的经济支持将超过德国在第一次世界大战后向盟国支付的赔偿金。
Under that MOU, the Islamic regime would have received more in economic support for ending Trump’s war than Germany paid in reparations to the Allies after World War I.
先前的谅解备忘录是一项糟糕的协议,它将使伊朗伊斯兰共和国成为该地区最强大的国家,并在未来多年将德黑兰变成对美国的威胁。
The prior MOU was a terrible deal that would have made the Islamic Republic of Iran the most powerful country in the region — and turned Tehran into a menace to America for years to come.
总统终于采取了唯一理智的方法,这或许能让美国谈判代表以美国及其盟友能够接受的条件结束这场战争。
The president has finally landed on the only rational approach that might allow U.S. negotiators to end this war on terms acceptable to America and its allies.
美国对伊朗持续施加的经济压力将进一步损害这个恐怖国家的经济,而该经济在战争爆发前就已处于自由落体般的崩溃状态。
The United States’s continued economic pressure on Iran will further damage the terrorist state’s economy, which was already in freefall before the war began.
这种策略可能需要很长时间才能见效,也可能引发类似苏联式的突然崩溃。随着伊朗政客公开向伊斯兰革命卫队施压,要求其尽快与美国达成协议,有迹象表明这一战略正在发挥作用。一切尚需时间检验。
Such an approach could take a great deal of time, or it could help trigger a sudden Soviet-style collapse. With Iranian politicians publicly pressuring the Revolutionary Guard to strike a deal with the United States as soon as possible, there are signs that strategy could be working. Only time will tell.
首先,米卡,美国民众醒悟过来、认识到女性能够治理国家且能治理得当的可能性有多大?其次,乔,你认为国会改由民主党执政,能否帮助我们回归某种正常状态?——珍妮特·G.,纽约州罗切斯特市米卡:每当听到希拉里·克林顿讲话,越来越多的美国人都会产生“买家懊悔”的情绪,并在心中自问:“如果她赢了会怎样?”我们今天所生活的世界将会截然不同。
First, Mika, what are our chances that America will wake up and realize that a woman can run our country and run it correctly? Second, Joe, do you believe that a change in congress to a democratic government will help us get back to some kind of normal again? — Jeanette G., Rochester, N.Y. Mika: There are a growing number of Americans who have buyer’s remorse every time they hear Hillary Clinton speak, and think to themselves, “What if she had won?”What a different world we would live in today.
至于美国人何时会相信女性已准备好领导国家,我认为女性只需继续参选、持续推动,并不断宣扬女性能够出色胜任总统这一理念——因为她确实能!只要我们像男性一样不断重申并坚信这一点,这一天终将到来。
As far as when Americans will believe a woman is ready to lead, I believe women just have to keep running, keep pushing, and keep promoting the idea that a woman can do a great job as president — because she can! If we keep saying it and believing it, just like men do, it will happen.
珍妮特,一个由民主党主导的国会将恢复自詹姆斯·麦迪逊的宪法生效两百多年来一直指引美国的正常制衡机制。这意味着美国将从过去几年里那种激进化、强人式的治理模式中回归,这种模式已将美国推向危险的境地。
Jeanette, a Democratic Congress will bring back America’s normal checks and balances that have guided the country since James Madison’s Constitution took effect over two centuries ago. That will mean a return from the radicalized, strongman form of government that has pushed America down a dangerous road over the past few years.
乔,我反复听到人们说将出现“蓝色浪潮”。有些人认为会发生弹劾,但在无人知晓选举是否自由公正的情况下,他们为何能如此自信且傲慢?——匿名 非常感谢你提出这个重要的问题。
Joe, I hear over and over people say there will be a “blue wave.”Some say there will be an impeachment, but how can they be so confident and smug when nobody knows if it will be a free and fair election? — Anonymous Thank you so much for this important question.
任何在选举初期就对民主党获胜抱有信心的人,都应该记住:就在四年前,那些“专家”还曾预测共和党会大获全胜。然而那个预测并未成真;相反,民主党的表现远超执政党在非选举年份的通常表现。这意味着民主党不能掉以轻心,必须全力以赴,直到所有投票站关闭为止。这包括确保美国在2026年能够举行公平、自由的选举。
Anyone expressing confidence about a coming blue wave this early in the election cycle needs to remember how “experts” predicted a massive red wave just four years ago. That Republican wave never materialized. Instead, Democrats did far better than parties in power usually do in off-year elections. That means Democrats should take nothing for granted and fight hard right up until the second polls close. That includes making sure the United States has fair and free elections in 2026.
虽然全国范围内的民调结果似乎都倾向于民主党,但最终的决定权仍属于选民,所以我们必须等待美国人民的最终裁决。
While the polls seem to be moving in the Democrats’ direction across the country, voters always have the final word, so we will have to wait for the ultimate judgment of the American people.
轻松一点的话题……当米卡因为我说话时间过长或使用了不礼貌的词汇而对我“瞪眼”时,她真的是生我的气吗?之后她还会和我说话吗?真的很喜欢看你总是超时讲话……—— 罗伯特·R.,伊利诺伊州诺斯布鲁克
On a lighter side … when Mika is giving you the “stink eye” for talking for too long or using a four-letter word … is she really mad at you and do you catch s––– later? Love watching you blow through the time limits. — Robert R., Northbrook, Ill. Thanks for asking, Robert!
感谢你的提问,罗伯特! 这个问题非常有趣,不过我觉得你其实已经知道答案了……每当有人告诉我“我说得太多了”时,米卡总会简洁地回应:“《Morning Joe》这个节目之所以叫这个名字,就是有原因的。”米卡在很大程度上主导着我们节目的内容安排,并帮助我们明确了各自在节目中的职责。每当我想在节目期间多听一会儿时,她总会对我说:“你的职责就是站出来告诉大家一切都会好起来的。周末的时候你就可以放松一下了。”像往常一样,我还是会听从米卡的安排。
A very funny question, and I sense you already know the answer. Whenever somebody tells Mika that I ramble on too long, she delivers a curt response: It’s called “Morning Joe” for a reason. Mika guides and directs much of what we do on the air and helped develop the roles we now fit into comfortably. Whenever I tell Mika that I want to sit back and listen a bit more during a show, she tells me, “Your job is to get out there and tell people why everything is going to be all right. You can sit back on weekends.”As usual, I listen to Mika.
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