安德拉·蒂穆（Andra Timu）和伊琳娜·维尔库（Irina Vilcu）报道：罗马尼亚长达数月的政治危机将于周三进入未知领域，届时议员们预计将否决另一位总理候选人。
By Andra Timu and Irina Vilcu Romania’s months-long political crisis is headed into unchartered territory on Wednesday as lawmakers are set to reject another candidate for a prime minister.
欧洲议会议员齐格弗里德·穆列尚（Siegfried Muresan）若未能通过议会的信任投票，总统将有权选择提前举行大选。
The failure by a European lawmaker, Siegfried Muresan, to win a confidence vote in parliament would give the president an option to call an early election.
尽管总统尼库什尔·丹（Nicusor Dan）目前排除了提前大选的可能性，因为极右翼势力在民调中处于领先地位，但如果僵局持续过久，罗马尼亚的信用评级面临被下调至垃圾级的风险正日益增加。
While President Nicusor Dan has ruled out a snap vote for now with the far right leading in the opinion polls, Romania is increasingly at risk of having its credit rating cut to junk if the deadlock persists for much longer.
政治动荡叠加全球市场压力，已将该国的借贷成本推至一年来的最高水平。
The political turmoil, combined with global market pressures, has already pushed the country’s borrowing costs to the highest levels in a year.
本月，罗马尼亚国内10年期国债收益率上涨了约0.5个百分点，周二交易价格为7.61%。投资者要求持有罗马尼亚债务而非德国国债的风险溢价也有所上升。标普全球评级（S&P Global Ratings）定于周五对该国进行评估。
The yield on domestic 10-year bonds has risen by about half a percentage point this month, trading at 7.61% on Tuesday. The risk premium investors are demanding to hold Romanian debt instead of German bunds has also increased. S&P Global Ratings is scheduled to review the country on Friday.
穆列尚需要在布加勒斯特时间下午1点议会开会时获得233张选票才能通过信任投票。拥有最多席位的社会民主党表示不会支持他，这使得这位候任总理无法获得所需的多数票。
Muresan needs to secure 233 votes to win a confidence vote when parliament meets at 1 p.m. Bucharest time. The Social Democrats, who hold the most seats, said they won’t support him, leaving the prime minister designate short of required majority.
如果他被否决，这将是自亲欧联盟于5月因社会民主党退出而解体以来，议会第二次未能组建新政府。
His rejection would be the second time that parliament fails to install a new government since pro-European coalition collapsed in May when the Social Democrats quit the alliance.
极右翼反对党“罗马尼亚人团结联盟”（AUR）表示，其议员将抵制针对穆列尚政府的投票。在一个反建制情绪浓厚的国家，AUR已成为不满选民的首选政党，目前在所有民调中均处于领先地位。
The far-right opposition Alliance for the Unity of Romanians, or AUR, said its lawmakers will boycott the vote on Muresan’s government. In a country with a deep anti-establishment mood, AUR became the go-to party for disaffected voters and is now leading in all polls.
“如果提前举行大选，AUR将成为唯一的受益者，”民调机构Inscop负责人、社会学家雷穆斯·斯特富雷亚克（Remus Stefureac）表示。“未来四年，国家将被交给一个有能力将其得票率翻倍，并从‘造王者’转变为真正‘王者’的政党。”自2024年总统选举首轮投票被取消的决定做出以来，罗马尼亚政坛一直处于近乎持续的紧张状态，而那场选举此前由极右翼候选人卡林·乔治斯库（Calin Georgescu）意外胜出。
“AUR would be the sole beneficiary of an early election,” said Remus Stefureac, a sociologist who leads pollster Inscop. “The country would be handed for the next four years to a party that has the real ability to double its score and switch from a king-maker role to an actual king.”Romanian politics has been in a near-constant state of tension since a decision to cancel the first round of 2024 presidential election, which was unexpectedly won by a far-right candidate, Calin Georgescu.
这场动荡演变成了一场财政危机，迫使政府削减开支，导致经济陷入衰退，进一步疏远了部分选民。
The turmoil morphed into a fiscal crisis, forcing the government to cut spending and plunging the economy into a recession, further alienating some voters.
极右翼支持率的上升在其他地方也有所体现，德国、法国以及欧盟其他国家的激进政党都在获得支持。
The rise in support for the far right has been mirrored elsewhere with radical parties gaining support in Germany, France and other countries across the European Union.
在六月份上一次组建政府的尝试中，AUR领导人乔治·西米恩（George Simion）让当时的候任总理阿德里安·韦斯泰（Adrian Vestea）一直等到最后一刻，却在投票前夕将其抛弃。此举导致韦斯泰的组阁尝试宣告失败，凸显了该极右翼政党的影响力。
During the previous attempt to install a government in June, AUR leader George Simion kept the premier-designate at the time, Adrian Vestea, waiting until the last moment only to ditch him just ahead of the vote. That move led to the collapse of Vestea’s bid, underscoring the influence of the far-right party.
如果此次投票失败，丹总统（President Dan）还可以选择提名另一位总理并举行另一次议会投票。社会民主党表示，他们应该获得下一次组建执政多数派的机会——为了实现这一目标，他们可能需要极右翼政党的投票支持。
If the vote fails, President Dan will also have the option to nominate another premier and hold another parliamentary vote. The Social Democrats have said they should get the next chance to form a governing majority — a goal for which they may need votes from the far right.
社会民主党领导人索林·格林代亚努（Sorin Grindeanu）周一表示，如果他被提名为总理，他将与“所有人”进行谈判，并强调该党不会屈服于任何投票支持穆列尚（Muresan）的“压力或政治勒索”。
Social Democratic leader Sorin Grindeanu said Monday that he’ll negotiate “with everyone” if he’s designated premier, stressing the party won’t give in to any “pressure or political blackmail” to vote for Muresan.