G20贸易部长定于周三在美国开启会谈。由于唐纳德·特朗普总统实施的关税政策,以及华盛顿方面针对贸易伙伴在强迫劳动和产能过剩问题上的施压,此次会议气氛紧张。
G20 trade ministers are set to open talks Wednesday in the United States, in meetings strained by President Donald Trump's tariffs as Washington targets partners regarding forced labor and overcapacity.
美国贸易代表杰米森·格里尔(Jamieson Greer)正在密尔沃基接待来自G20国家的同行,进行为期两天的会谈。此次由20个主要经济体(包括中国、印度、俄罗斯、日本、德国和法国)官员参加的聚会在中西部城市密尔沃基举行。
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer is hosting counterparts from G20 countries in Milwaukee for two days of talks © Jim WATSON / AFP/File The gathering of officials from the Group of 20 major economies -- which includes China, India, Russia, Japan, Germany and France -- takes place in the Midwestern city of Milwaukee.
但分析人士预计,这两天的会谈将陷入僵局,因为特朗普的关税政策正对双边关系造成压力,而中国则拒绝接受有关其出口的担忧——批评人士认为这些出口是由工业产能过剩驱动的。
But analysts expect the two days of talks to be deadlocked as Trump's tariffs weigh on relationships while China rejects concerns about its exports, which critics see as driven by excess industrial capacity.
美国贸易代表杰米森·格里尔在周二于密尔沃基举行的圆桌会议上为华盛顿的做法进行了辩护,称本届政府“并非反贸易”。
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer defended Washington's approach at a Tuesday roundtable in Milwaukee, saying the administration "is not anti-trade."
他补充说,各国在应对全球产能过剩和“非市场政策”方面面临着类似的挑战。本周,加拿大和欧盟等美国主要贸易伙伴预计也将寻求在美国之外建立更深层次的贸易联系。
He added that countries are facing similar challenges with global overcapacity and "non-market policies." This week, key US trading partners like Canada and the European Union are also expected to push for deeper trade ties outside the United States.
大西洋理事会智库的乔什·利普斯基(Josh Lipsky)在接受法新社采访时表示:“不要指望在密尔沃基取得任何突破。”他指出,特朗普更倾向于双边谈判。
现任亚洲协会政策研究所的前美国贸易官员温迪·卡特勒(Wendy Cutler)补充说,尽管G20伙伴国渴望找到与这个全球最大经济体合作的方法,“但他们也将面临表达对关税担忧的压力。”
"Don't expect any breakthroughs in Milwaukee," Josh Lipsky of the Atlantic Council think tank told AFP, noting Trump's preference for bilateral negotiations. Even as G20 partners will be anxious to find ways to cooperate with the world's biggest economy, "they will also be under pressure to voice their concerns with tariffs," added former US trade official Wendy Cutler, now at the Asia Society Policy Institute.
美国目前担任G20的轮值主席国,该组织由19个国家以及欧盟和非盟组成。
The United States holds the rotating presidency of the G20, which comprises 19 nations plus the EU and the African Union.
——“被不公平地针对”——自去年以来,特朗普已对贸易伙伴发动了一系列关税攻势,分别针对钢铁和汽车等行业。
— 'Unfairly targeted' —Trump has unleashed a barrage of tariffs on trading partners since last year, separately targeting sectors like steel and autos.
尽管最高法院在二月份否决了特朗普针对特定国家的关税,但华盛顿此后声称一些国家在打击强迫劳动方面行动不力,以此为由对60个经济体加征了新关税。其中包括中国、印度和欧盟。总统的行业性关税也依然维持不变,令关系更加紧张。
Although the Supreme Court struck down Trump's country-specific tariffs in February, Washington has since alleged insufficient action against forced labor to slap new tariffs on 60 economies. These include China, India and the EU. The president's sectoral duties remain intact too, straining ties.
此外,华盛顿正在调查16个贸易伙伴的产能过剩问题,这是常被用来指责中国的一项申诉。批评者称,这会导致市场泛滥,不公平地压低价格。
And Washington is investigating 16 partners over excess industrial capacity, a complaint commonly levied at China. Critics say this floods markets, unfairly suppressing prices.
但美国正在进行的调查范围超出了这个世界第二大经济体,给欧盟以及日本和韩国等G20国家带来了更多关税威胁。
But ongoing US probes go beyond the world's number two economy, bringing the threat of more tariffs to the EU and G20 countries like Japan and South Korea.
卡特勒预计,一些国家将就这项调查“直言不讳”,认为“自己成了不公平针对的目标”。她说,中国“将继续否认产能过剩出口的问题”,试图让其他国家相信,中国提供高质量、低价格的商品是在做好事。
Cutler expects some countries will "mince no words" regarding the investigation, feeling "they are being unfairly targeted." China "will continue to deny the issue of exporting overproduction," by trying to convince others that it is doing good by providing high-quality and low-priced goods, she said.
卡特勒对法新社表示:“这将很难说服别人”,因为各国已经感受到中国进口浪潮对就业和商业造成的冲击。
"This will be a hard sell," Cutler told AFP, as countries see employment and commercial fallout from waves of Chinese imports.
利普斯基说:“与此同时,成员国也在琢磨,鉴于2028年后美国的贸易政策可能发生变化,它们应该对特朗普政府作出多少让步。”他指的是下一届美国总统选举。——多元化——在特朗普发动的贸易战中,各方都在关注G20成员国深化与美国以外国家贸易关系、或与特朗普政府达成协议的努力。
"Meanwhile, members are wondering how much they should agree to with the Trump administration, given trade policy could change in the US after 2028," Lipsky said, referring to the next US presidential election. — Diversifying —With Trump's trade wars, all eyes are on G20 members' efforts to deepen trade ties outside the US, or strike deals with his administration.
随着渥太华与华盛顿之间的争端加剧,预计加拿大和欧盟将试图加强与其他国家的贸易和投资。
Canada and the EU are expected to try and boost trade and investment with others, as a spat between Ottawa and Washington intensifies.
加拿大国际贸易部长曼宁德·西杜强调,渥太华支持“开放、可预测和基于规则的贸易”。他计划与各伙伴沟通,以“强化多边贸易体系”。目前加拿大官员正努力推动经济多元化,因为他们认为本国经济过于依赖日益走向保护主义的美国。
Canada's international trade minister Maninder Sidhu stressed Ottawa's support for "open, predictable and rules-based trade." He plans to speak with partners to "reinforce a multilateral trading system," as officials try to diversify an economy they see as too reliant on an increasingly protectionist United States.
其他国家,如印度,可能会敲定一项备受期待的美印贸易协议。观察人士也在密切关注对伊朗施加进一步压力的迹象。
Others like India could finalize a long-awaited trade deal with the United States. Observers are also monitoring for signs of further pressure on Iran.
在二十国集团峰会之外,工人和活动人士正在抗议他们认为特朗普政府未能兑现改善工人、农民和小型企业状况的承诺。
Outside the G20, workers and activists are protesting what they see as the Trump administration's broken promises to improve conditions for workers, farmers and smaller businesses.
威斯康星州美国汽车工人联合会政治部门主席约翰·德鲁(John Drew)对该州制造业岗位的流失表示遗憾。
John Drew, who chairs the political arm of the United Auto Workers union in Wisconsin, laments the loss of manufacturing jobs in the state.
他表示,虽然美国汽车工人联合会并未排除使用针对性关税来保护就业岗位,但特朗普广泛实施的关税政策“对恢复就业和重建制造业毫无作用”。
While the UAW does not rule out using targeted duties to protect jobs, he said, Trump's sweeping "use of tariffs has done nothing to bring back jobs and rebuild manufacturing."