新西兰财政部目前预计2028/29财年将实现40亿新西兰元的预算盈余，远高于2026年5月预测的25亿新西兰元。这一上调后的前景引发了外界的关注，即它是否会再次引起全球信用评级机构的注意。分析人士表示，更强劲的财政状况反映了自5月预测以来收入和支出趋势的改善。
New Zealand's Treasury now projects a NZ$4 billion budget surplus for the 2028/29 fiscal year, well above the NZ$2.5 billion forecast made in May 2026. The upgraded outlook has raised questions about whether it will draw renewed attention from global credit ratings agencies. Analysts say the stronger fiscal position reflects improved revenue and spending trends since the May forecast. New Zealand's Treasury has sharply upgraded its budget outlook, now forecasting a NZ$4 billion surplus for the 2028/29 fiscal year. That figure is significantly higher than the NZ$2.5 billion surplus the department had projected as recently as May 2026. The improved fiscal trajectory has prompted discussion of whether it could catch the eye of global credit ratings agencies, which weigh a government's budget position when assessing sovereign creditworthiness. A stronger surplus outlook is typically read as a signal of fiscal discipline and reduced borrowing pressure over the medium term.
新西兰财政部大幅上调了预算前景，目前预计2028/29财年将实现40亿新西兰元的盈余。这一数字远高于该部门在2026年5月时所预测的25亿新西兰元盈余。
Officials have not detailed the exact drivers of the revision, but the upgrade follows several months of economic data that came in ahead of the department's earlier assumptions. The government's books are due to be updated again in forthcoming fiscal statements, which will show whether the rosier trajectory holds. Read next RBA lifts interest rates to 15-year high as opposition blames home-grown inflation The Reserve Bank of Australia has raised its benchmark interest rate to its highest level in 15 years. Opposition leader Taylor says the government has lost control of inflation, calling the pressures largely home-grown.
财政轨迹的改善引发了关于这是否会引起全球信用评级机构关注的讨论，这些机构在评估主权信用度时会权衡政府的预算状况。更强劲的盈余前景通常被解读为中期内财政纪律和借贷压力减轻的信号。
Ukraine urges European Union to act on frozen Russian assets for 2027 budget gap Ukraine is calling on European Union allies to take decisive steps on immobilised Russian state assets as it faces a projected budget shortfall of $78 billion in 2027. Colombia seeks IMF financial assistance as fiscal deficit hits record levels Colombia has requested financial assistance from the International Monetary Fund for the first time since 2020, as the government projects a record fiscal deficit. Brazil's Lula widens first-round lead over Flávio Bolsonaro to 5 points Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has widened his lead over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro to five points ahead of Sunday's first-round vote, a new Quaest poll released Monday shows. The two candidates remain statistically tied for a potential October 25 runoff.
官员们尚未详细说明此次修订的具体驱动因素，但此次上调是在几个月来的经济数据好于该部门此前假设的情况下进行的。政府的账目将在即将发布的财政报告中再次更新，届时将显示这种乐观的轨迹是否能够持续。
Brazil's tightly contested presidential race enters its final week without a clear front-runner. Argentina's Milei Denies Recession as J.P. Morgan Forecasts Q3 Contraction Argentine President Javier Milei has rejected suggestions his country is in recession, insisting the economy has merely "slowed down" while continuing to grow. The denial comes as J.P. Morgan forecast a contraction in Argentina's third-quarter output and cut its 2026 growth estimate to 1.5%. The revision adds pressure on Milei's government ahead of upcoming midterm elections.