埃隆·马斯克在白宫告诉记者，人工智能和人形机器人极有可能让每个人的生活变得更好。周二，在总统与科技领袖共进午餐后，他在西翼外与唐纳德·特朗普总统并肩发表了讲话。
Elon Musk has told reporters at the White House that AI and humanoid robots will most likely make everyone better off. He spoke on Tuesday outside the West Wing, beside President Donald Trump, after the president’s lunch with tech leaders.
他首先称赞了“人工智能，或者说超级智能（SI）的积极益处，抱歉”，并纠正了自己的说法，改用了特朗普当天签署的政策中所使用的术语。
He began by praising “the positive benefits of AI, or SI, pardon me”, correcting himself to the name Trump had signed into policy that day.
“人工智能，或者说超级智能的积极益处，抱歉，”他改口用了特朗普的新术语，随后有人补充道：“超级智能。”马斯克表示，最可能的结果是一个“富足时代”，人们将获得普遍的高收入，而非仅仅是基本收入。随后，他谈到了医疗保健。
“The positive benefits of AI, or SI, pardon me,” correcting himself to Trump’s new term, and then someone says, “Superintelligence.”The likeliest result, Musk said, is an ‘age of abundance’ in which people receive a universal high income rather than a basic one. He then turned to healthcare.
“当你拥有机器人和超级智能时，这意味着世界上每个人都能获得比在场任何人，包括我，更好的医疗服务，”马斯克说道。“如果他们没有工作呢？”一名记者反问道。“嗯，工作会发生变化。工作一直都在变化，”马斯克回答。
“When you have robots, and you have superintelligence, it means that everyone in the world can have better medical care than anyone here, including me,” Musk said. “Not if they haven’t got a job,” a reporter called back. “Well, jobs are going to change. Jobs have always changed,” Musk replied.
根据彼得森-凯撒家庭基金会（Peterson-KFF）的数据，2024年美国人均医疗支出为14,775美元，几乎是其他可比富裕国家平均水平的两倍。然而，他们的预期寿命却比这些国家的人民短约3.7年。在英联邦基金会（Commonwealth Fund）的最新排名中，美国在10个富裕国家中排名垫底。
Americans spent $14,775 each on healthcare in 2024, almost twice the average in comparable rich countries, according to Peterson-KFF. Yet they live about 3.7 years less than people in those countries, and the US ranked last among 10 wealthy nations in the Commonwealth Fund’s latest ranking.
据凯撒家庭基金会报告，在美国国内，去年全年约有2670万美国人没有医疗保险，且自1月份补贴到期以来，《平价医疗法案》（ACA）计划已流失了300万参保者。
At home, some 26.7 million Americans had no health insurance all last year, and ACA plans have lost 3 million members since subsidies expired in January, KFF reported.
他说，坐在电脑前曾经是一份工作，当时整栋大楼里坐满了人，用手工计算银行利息，直到数字机器取代了这些工作。
Being in front of a computer, he said, used to be a job, with whole buildings full of people calculating bank interest by hand until digital machines took over.
他认为，没有人希望回到那种工作状态，并预测这将是职能的演变，而非大规模失业。
Nobody wants that work back, he argued, and he predicted an evolution of roles rather than mass unemployment.
埃隆·马斯克多年来一直使用“普遍高收入”这一说法。在2023年英国人工智能安全峰会上，他曾告诉时任首相里希·苏纳克，人工智能将带来普遍高收入，并可能在未来让工作成为一种选择。
Elon Musk has used the universal high income line for years. At the UK’s AI Safety Summit in 2023, he told Rishi Sunak, then prime minister, that AI would bring universal high income and could one day make jobs optional.
他没有详细说明这笔收入将如何获得，也不知道谁会来支付这笔费用。这个问题正是关于人工智能的经济辩论的核心所在。
He offered no detail on how such an income would be paid for, or who would pay it. That question sits at the center of the economic debate over AI.
国际货币基金组织估计，人工智能将影响全球近40%的工作岗位，并警告称，在大多数情况下，这可能会加剧社会不平等现象。收益往往流向那些拥有资本的人——比如那些开发人工智能模型、芯片以及运营数据中心的企业。
The International Monetary Fund has estimated that AI will affect almost 40% of jobs worldwide and warned that, in most scenarios, it will likely worsen inequality. Gains tend to flow to the people who own capital, such as the models, chips, and data centers.
马斯克乐观的预测是在他本月支持 Anthropic 公司首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪（Dario Amodei）提出的“减缓最先进人工智能技术发展”的建议几周后作出的。
Musk’s upbeat forecast also came weeks after he backed Anthropic chief Dario Amodei’s call this month to slow down the most advanced AI work.
不过，就在同一天，埃隆·马斯克与唐纳德·特朗普以及其他五位科技领袖共同签署了一份关于人工智能安全的自愿性协议。此外，唐纳德·特朗普总统还签署了一项行政命令，要求联邦机构将人工智能称为“超级智能”（superintelligence）。
Still, on the same day, Elon Musk signed a voluntary safety pact for xAI alongside Trump and five other tech leaders. In addition, President Donald Trump signed an order directing federal agencies to refer to AI as “superintelligence.”