一名共和党人表示，乔治亚州的政治环境从未如此糟糕。去年，共和党人曾希望在乔治亚州和北卡罗来纳州的参议院竞选中保持对民主党人的压力，甚至在乔治亚州翻盘由民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫（Jon Ossoff）持有的席位。
One Republican said the environment has never been this bad for GOP in Georgia. Last year, Republicans had hoped to keep Democrats on their heels in Georgia and North Carolina's Senate races, and even flip the seat held by Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff in Georgia.
现在，距离中期选举仅剩数周，他们正面临在扩大防守席位图的同时，将资源从2024年由唐纳德·特朗普赢得的两州转移到更偏红的州的呼声，这些州在特朗普低迷的全国支持率和伊朗战争的背景下变得更具竞争性。
Now, just weeks away from the midterms and grappling with an expanding map of seats to defend, they face calls to divert resources from the two states won by President Donald Trump in 2024 into even redder states that have become more competitive amid Trump's low national approval ratings and the Iran war.
共和党人的政治环境：距离中期选举还有34天，特朗普的支持率持续下跌。最近路透社/益普索的民调显示，特朗普的支持率已降至创纪录的32%。在其第二个任期开始时，近一半美国人（47%）支持特朗普。
Political environment for Republicans With 34 days until the midterm election, Trump's approval ratings continue to plummet. A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that Trump's approval rating is at a record low of 32%. At the beginning of his second term, almost half of Americans approved of Trump (47%).
特朗普支持率的下降与持续的伊朗战争及其经济影响相吻合，这些因素正在影响多场关键选举中的下层共和党人，包括乔治亚州议员迈克·柯林斯（Mike Collins）和北卡罗来纳州前共和党全国委员会主席迈克尔·沃特利（Michael Whatley）的参议院候选人。这两个南方战场最初是两党主要目标，但现在似乎正从共和党手中滑落，民主党对其胜算越来越有信心。
Trump's decline in approval coincides with the ongoing Iran war and its economic implications, which are impacting down-ballot Republicans in several key races, including Senate candidates Rep. Mike Collins of Georgia and former Republican National Committee chairman Michael Whatley of North Carolina. The two southern battlegrounds were initially top targets of both political parties, but now appear to be slipping away from Republicans as Democrats grow eager about their chances.
尽管特朗普在2024年赢得了北卡罗来纳州和乔治亚州，但根据ABC新闻的竞选评级，乔治亚州的参议院竞选在中期选举中可能倾向民主党，而北卡罗来纳州则偏向民主党。
Although Trump won both North Carolina and Georgia in 2024, Georgia's Senate race is likely Democratic in the midterms while North Carolina is leaning Democratic, according to ABC News race ratings.
“特朗普的数字像是一个永无止境的悬而未决的竞赛，看看能降到多低，这让每位在选票上的共和党人都更难。”北卡罗来纳州共和党策略师、前共和党全国委员会传播主任道格·海（Doug Heye）在接受ABC新闻采访时表示。
"Trump's numbers being sort of this never-ending limbo contest for how low they can go makes that all the harder for every Republican on the ballot," Doug Heye, a North Carolina GOP strategist and former communications director for the RNC, told ABC News in an interview. A prominent Georgia Republican, who spoke to ABC News on condition of anonymity, echoed Heye's comments about the political environment candidates face.
一位在匿名条件下接受ABC新闻采访的知名乔治亚州共和党人，呼应了海的评论，谈及候选人所面临的政治环境。
"I have never seen an environment this bad for Republicans in Georgia," the Republican said.
“我从未见过如此糟糕的环境对乔治亚州的共和党人。” 这位共和党人说。
Investment in other states Some Republicans are calling for redirecting financial investments in Georgia and North Carolina, as recent polling and rankings of the Senate races show Democratic candidates holding a strong advantage.
投资转向其他州 一些共和党人呼吁将资金投入乔治亚州和北卡罗来纳州之外的州，因为最近的民调和参议院竞选排名显示民主党候选人占据强劲优势。
And given the number of states Republicans need to win to either maintain or expand their majority -- such as Iowa, Michigan, Alaska, Maine and Texas -- and the financial burden that will be, some Republicans are coming to the conclusion that the path to keep the Senate does not run through Georgia and North Carolina.
考虑到共和党需要赢得的州数量，以维持或扩大多数——如爱荷华州、密歇根州、阿拉斯加州、缅因州和德克萨斯州——以及将承担的财政负担，一些共和党人得出结论，保持参议院多数的路径不在于乔治亚州和北卡罗来纳州。
Outgoing Republican Sen. Thom Tillis signaled that North Carolina was no longer worth the investment during an interview with CNN on Sunday, saying the priority is about keeping Republicans in the Senate majority.
即将离任的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯在周日接受CNN采访时表示，北卡罗来纳州已不再值得投入，强调优先事项是保持共和党在参议院的多数。
"But the reality is, we have to keep a majority.
但现实是，我们必须保持多数。我们必须确保苏珊·柯林斯获胜。我们必须关注阿拉斯加。我们必须关注俄亥俄。但我们也必须关注一些正在变得有竞争力的州，"蒂利斯说。
We've got to make sure Susan Collins wins. We've got to focus on Alaska. We've got to focus on Ohio. But we've also got to focus on some of these states that are popping up as competitive," Tillis said. Long time Republican Strategist Karl Rove offered a blunt assessment of Republicans chances of winning the Senate races in Georgia and North Carolina: "We're not going to win either one," Rove said Saturday during the Texas Tribune Festival.
长期共和党策略师卡尔·罗夫对共和党在乔治亚州和北卡罗来纳州参议院竞选的获胜机会给出了直截了当的评估：“我们不会赢得任何一场，”罗夫在周六的德州论坛报节期间表示。
Candidate quality Another factor affecting Republicans' ability to compete in North Carolina and Georgia's Senate races is that both feature particularly strong Democratic candidates, both of whom remain popular in their states and have been prolific fundraisers.
候选人质量 另一个影响共和党在北卡罗来纳州和乔治亚州参议院竞选中竞争力的因素是，两州都拥有特别强大的民主党候选人，他们在各自州内仍然受欢迎，并且筹款能力强。
North Carolina's Democratic Senate candidate, Roy Cooper, is a former two-term governor who has never lost an election since he first began running for public office in 1986 and was elected governor in 2016 and 2020 -- both years Trump won the state.
北卡罗来纳州的民主党参议院候选人罗伊·库珀是前两届州长，自1986年首次竞选公职以来从未输过选举，并在2016年和2020年当选州长——这两年都被特朗普赢得该州。
In Georgia, Ossoff carries an advantage as the incumbent and has been able to capture voters' attention on social media, as viral video clips of his campaign rallies where he bashes the Trump administration fuel speculation that he may be laying the groundwork for a potential bid for the White House in 2028.
在佐治亚州，作为现任议员，奥索夫占据优势，并通过社交媒体吸引了选民的关注，他在竞选集会上抨击特朗普政府的视频片段在网络上疯传，引发了关于他可能正在为2028年竞选白宫铺路的猜测。奥索夫多次拒绝回答关于其政治抱负的问题。
Ossoff has repeatedly rejected questions about his political ambitions. Proximity to Trump Given the political headwinds the GOP faces this cycle, some Republican candidates in tight races are distancing themselves from Trump -- but not Collins or Whatley.
与特朗普的关系 鉴于共和党本周期面临的政治逆风，一些陷入胶着竞争的共和党候选人正在与特朗普保持距离——但科林斯和沃特利没有。本月初，这两位候选人都在共和党中期选举大会上获得了发言机会，而其他陷入胶着竞争的共和党人则选择缺席该活动。
Both candidates held speaking spots at Republicans' midterm convention earlier this month, as other Republicans in tight races skipped the event. As the former chair of the RNC and the president's handpicked candidate for North Carolina's Senate seat, Whatley has maintained his support for the president's war in Iran and defended the rocky economy under Trump.
作为前共和党全国委员会主席和总统钦点的北卡罗来纳州参议员候选人，沃特利继续支持总统对伊朗的战争，并为特朗普执政下动荡的经济辩护。沃特利在最近的新闻发布会上告诉记者，防止伊朗获得核武器是“首要任务，毫无商量余地”，他本月初还对ABC新闻的林西·戴维斯表示，特朗普执政期间“通胀大幅下降”。
Whatley told reporters at a recent press conference that preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon is "first priority, full stop," and he told ABC News' Linsey Davis earlier this month that "inflation is down dramatically" under Trump. Whatley has instead focused his attack ads against Cooper on crime, even as 46% of likely voters in North Carolina say that rising prices and affordability is the most important issue to them and just 8% say crime is, according to an AARP poll released earlier this week.
然而，沃特利却将攻击广告的重点放在指责库珀在犯罪问题上，尽管根据本周早些时候发布的AARP民调，北卡罗来纳州46%的潜在选民表示物价上涨和负担能力是最重要的问题，只有8%的人认为犯罪是最重要问题。
Similarly, Collins -- a self-proclaimed "MAGA warrior" on the campaign trail -- has leaned into his "Make America Great Again" base and support for Trump.
同样，科林斯——在竞选途中自称“MAGA战士”——依靠他的“让美国再次伟大”基本盘和对特朗普的支持。
Georgia Republican Gov. Brian Kemp endorsed Collins' opponent, Derek Dooley, in the GOP primary and runoff, arguing at the time that Georgia Republicans should nominate a member of their party who could appeal to more moderate voters to have the best shot at defeating Ossoff.
佐治亚州共和党州长布赖恩·坎普在共和党初选和决选中背书了科林斯的对手德里克·杜利，当时他辩称，佐治亚州共和党应该提名一位能吸引更多温和选民的党内人士，以最大程度地击败奥索夫。
The campaigns have pushed back on the idea that they are losing national resources and attention, and maintain they have a path to victory in North Carolina and Georgia.
竞选团队反驳了他们正在失去全国性资源和关注的说法，并坚称他们在北卡罗来纳州和佐治亚州有获胜之路。
"We’re confident we will have the resources to get our message out to North Carolina voters and win," Whatley spokesperson DJ Griffin told ABC News.
“我们有信心将拥有足够资源向北卡罗来纳州选民传达我们的信息并取得胜利，”沃特利发言人DJ·格里芬告诉美国广播公司新闻部。
Collins' campaign pointed to Senate Majority Leader John Thune's recent fundraising stop in Atlanta to show Republicans are still supporting him.
科林斯竞选团队指出参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩最近在亚特兰大的筹款活动，以表明共和党人仍在支持他。
"We're grateful for the strong support we continue to see from Republicans.
“我们感激持续看到的来自共和党人的强力支持。图恩领袖刚来过佐治亚州，外部团体仍在大量投资这场竞选，因为他们知道其中的利害关系，”科林斯竞选团队发言人迈耶·西格弗里德告诉美国广播公司新闻部。
Leader Thune was just here in Georgia, and outside groups are still investing heavily in this race because they know what's at stake," Collins' campaign spokesperson Meyer Siegfried told ABC News.