无党派选民在最近一项民调中大力支持民主党人泽维尔·贝塞拉，使他的领先优势扩大至本轮选举周期以来的最高水平。
Unaffiliated voters leaned heavily toward Xavier Becerra, a Democrat, in a recent poll, pushing him to his largest lead of this election cycle.
民主党人泽维尔·贝塞拉在加州州长选举的所有民调中，都领先共和党人史蒂夫·希尔顿15个百分点以上；这些民调均在该州6月初选之后进行。贝塞拉如果当选，将成为加州首位经选举产生的拉丁裔州长。他在开放式初选中名列第一，仅领先获得特朗普总统背书、曾任福克斯新闻主持人的希尔顿3个百分点。
Xavier Becerra, a Democrat, has led Steve Hilton, a Republican, by more than 15 percentage points in every poll of the California governor’s race fielded since the state’s primary in June. Mr. Becerra, who would be the state’s first elected Latino governor, finished first in the open primary, just three percentage points ahead of Mr. Hilton, a former Fox News host endorsed by President Trump.
随着拥挤的初选候选阵容尘埃落定，各候选人的基本盘已经巩固。加州大学伯克利分校政府研究所最近开展的一项民调由《洛杉矶时报》主办，结果显示，每位候选人都获得了本党至少90%的支持。不过，贝塞拉在无党派选民中占据巨大优势，支持率为56%，对希尔顿的支持率为30%，这使他的总体领先优势扩大至25个百分点——创下本轮选举周期以来的最大领先优势，比伯克利分校8月初的民调高出7个百分点。
With the crowded primary field now cleared, the candidates have consolidated their bases. A recent University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll, which was sponsored by The Los Angeles Times, showed each candidate drawing 90 percent or greater support from their respective parties. Mr. Becerra, however, held a large advantage among unaffiliated voters (56 percent to 30 percent), expanding his overall lead to 25 percentage points — his largest lead of the election cycle and an increase of seven percentage points from Berkeley’s poll in early August.
加州州长选举最新民调：这些民调与加州近年的州长选举结果相符——民主党人加文·纽森在2022年州长选举中以18个百分点优势胜出，在2018年的领先优势则达到23个百分点——而非反映全国层面国会选举综合民调所显示的左倾趋势。
Recent California Governor Polls The polls are in line with recent governors’ races in California — Gov. Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, won the seat by 18 percentage points in 2022 and by 23 points in 2018 — rather than reflecting the leftward shift that polls of the generic congressional ballot indicate is happening at the national level.
这使贝塞拉占据有利位置，尽管最近的大多数民调显示，仍有约10%的选民尚未作出决定。在伯克利分校的民调中，贝塞拉在所有年龄、种族和教育程度群体选民中的支持率都高于希尔顿。在全州可能投票的选民中，他的好感率也保持正值，48%的人对他持正面看法，40%的人持负面看法。
That puts Mr. Becerra in a strong position, even with most recent polls indicating that around 10 percent of voters are still undecided. In the Berkeley poll, Mr. Becerra led Mr. Hilton among voters across all age, racial and educational groups. He also maintained a positive favorability rating among likely voters statewide, with 48 percent viewing him favorably and 40 percent unfavorably.
希尔顿正试图成为自阿诺德·施瓦辛格于2011年卸任以来该州首位共和党籍州长，在潜在选民中，有35%的人对他持好感，51%的人持反感。
Mr. Hilton, who is trying to become the state’s first Republican governor since Arnold Schwarzenegger left office in 2011, was viewed favorably by 35 percent of likely voters and unfavorably by 51 percent.
卡罗琳·索勒是《泰报》的一名研究员，专注于收集和分析民意调查及选举数据。
Caroline Soler is a Times researcher focused on collecting and analyzing polling and election data.