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什么是预算,其中可能包含哪些内容?What is the Budget and what could be in it?

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丹·基特伍德/盖蒂图片社 2026年9月28日 更新于18分钟前财政大臣约翰·希利将于10月28日发表其首次预算报告,届时他将公布工党的税收和支出计划。

Dan Kitwood/Getty Images 28 September 2026 Updated 18 minutes ago Chancellor John Healey will set out Labour's tax and spending plans when he delivers his first Budget on 28 October.

在承认政府借贷成本处于“历史高位”后,他拒绝排除提高税收的可能性。但政府在税收方面的操作空间有限。

He has refused to rule out tax increases after acknowledging government borrowing costs are at "historic highs". But the government's room for manoeuvre on tax is limited.

在2024年大选前,工党承诺不提高政府三大主要收入来源:所得税、国民保险和增值税。什么是预算?希利将在下议院向议员发表声明,阐述政府计划如何增税或减税。除预算报告外,财政部还将公布相关措施及其成本详情。

Before the 2024 general election, Labour promised not to increase three big revenue earners for the government: income tax, National Insurance and VAT. What is the Budget? In his statement, delivered to MPs in the House of Commons, Healey will set out how the government plans to raise or lower taxes. Alongside the Budget, the Treasury will publish details about the measures and their costs.

负责监督政府支出的独立机构——预算责任办公室(OBR),也将发布对英国经济健康状况的评估,以及对其未来走势的预测。预算中可能包含哪些内容?

The independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), which monitors government spending, will also publish an assessment of the health of the UK economy and a forecast of what it thinks will happen in the future. What might be in the Budget?

在预算发布前,外界通常会猜测其中可能包含的内容,而政府今年正努力将此类猜测降至最低。

The run-up to the Budget typically sees speculation about what might be in it, which the government is trying to keep to a minimum this year.

希利和首相安迪·伯纳姆面临艰难的平衡任务:既要为家庭提供更多支持并履行国防支出承诺,又要遵守工党竞选纲领中的税收承诺以及政府自行设定的财政规则。

Healey and Prime Minister Andy Burnham face a difficult balancing act, trying to offer more support to households and meet commitments on defence spending, while also sticking to Labour's manifesto commitments on tax and the government's self-imposed fiscal rules.

前任财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯制定了两项主要规则,新领导层已承诺予以遵循。这两项规则是:在本届议会结束前,不通过借贷来维持日常公共支出;在本届议会结束前,使政府债务占国民收入的比例下降。

The previous chancellor, Rachel Reeves, set out two main rules, which the new leadership has vowed to follow. These are: Not to borrow to fund day-to-day public spending by the end of this parliament To get government debt falling as a share of national income by the end of this parliament In March, the OBR calculated that the first rule would be met with a gap - or headroom - of £23.6bn.

今年3月,预算责任办公室测算,第一项规则将留有236亿英镑的缺口——即财政空间。然而,预计这一空间已经缩小。

However, this headroom is expected to have shrunk.

毕马威(KPMG)的分析师认为,由于今年政府借贷成本上升,这一空间可能已降至120亿英镑。

Analysts at KPMG believe it could have fallen to £12bn, mainly due to the rise in government borrowing costs this year.

然而,有一种可能性是:Healey可能会接受一个较小的缓冲措施(即减少某些税收减免的幅度),从而降低在预算案中增加税收的必要性。

However, one option that has been floated is Healey potentially accepting a smaller buffer, reducing the need to increase taxes in the Budget.

“你的第一套住房”计划关于旨在帮助英格兰首次购房者购买房产的“你的第一套住房”计划的更多细节,预计将在预算案中公布。

Your First Home scheme Further details on the "Your First Home" scheme, aimed at helping first-time buyers in England to purchase a property, are expected to be announced in the Budget.

该计划允许购房者只需支付2.5%的首付款即可购买新建房屋,并为他们提供相当于房屋价值20%的贷款以帮助支付购房费用。

The scheme will allow people to buy a new-build home with a deposit of 2.5%. It would provide them with a loan worth 20% of their property's value to help pay for the purchase.

资本利得税有猜测称,针对人们出售增值资产所获得的利润征收的资本利得税可能会发生变化——具体可能是提高税率,或者取消/修改现有的税收减免政策。

Capital Gains Tax There has been speculation that Capital Gains Tax - which is imposed on the profit people make when they sell an asset that has increased in value - could be changed, through either higher rates or by removing or amending exemptions.

豪宅税被称为“豪宅税”的高额房产附加税是在去年的预算案中宣布的,该税将从2028年4月起适用于价值超过200万英镑的房产。不过有报道称,政府正在考虑将这一税收政策的适用范围扩大到价值超过150万英镑的房产。

Mansion Tax The High Value Council Tax Surcharge - dubbed the Mansion Tax - was announced in last year's Budget and will apply to properties in England valued above £2m from April 2028. However, reports have suggested the government is considering extending it to properties worth more than £1.5m.

银行业税收银行业今年取得了丰厚的利润,因此工会呼吁提高对该行业的税收。但银行业对此表示反对,认为更重的税收负担会削弱政府促进经济增长以及提升英国竞争力的目标。

Taxes on banks Banks have been reporting bumper profits, leading to calls from unions to increase taxes on the sector But banks have pushed back, suggesting heavier levies would undermine the government's aim to boost growth and make the UK less competitive.

燃油税在保守党执政期间,燃油税于2022年3月被冻结;Keir Starmer爵士领导的政府也延续了这一政策,并决定将原定于9月实施的燃油税上调3便士的计划推迟至今年年底。

Fuel duty Fuel duty was frozen under the Conservatives in March 2022 and Sir Keir Starmer's government continued the freeze, deciding in May to push back a planned 3p increase in September until the end of this year.

Healey在9月底对BBC表示,处理不断上涨的汽油和柴油价格问题的“合适时机”就是预算案发布的时候,但他并未透露是否会再次延长燃油税的冻结措施。

Healey told the BBC in late September that the "place" and "time" for dealing with rising petrol and diesel costs was the Budget, but would not give details on whether the freeze would be extended again. How is the economy doing?

经济状况如何?今年前3个月,英国经济增长了0.6%;4月至6月期间,经济增长率为0.5%。

In the first three months of the year, the UK's economy grew by 0.6%, while in the April-to-June quarter it grew by 0.5%.

最新的数据显示,7月份英国经济增长了0.4%,这一增速远高于预期。

The most recent data showed the economy grew by 0.4% in July, which was much stronger than expected.

分析师表示,尽管美国与以色列同伊朗的战争引发了能源价格冲击,英国经济仍展现出韧性。

Analysts say the UK economy is proving resilient in the face of energy price shocks caused by the US-Israel war with Iran.

这场冲突导致霍尔木兹海峡实际上关闭,该海峡是石油和天然气贸易的关键水道。这导致油价急剧上涨,进而推高了能源和燃料价格。

The conflict has led to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway for oil and gas trade. This caused a sharp jump in oil prices, which has fed through to higher energy and fuel prices.

经济学家预计,随着这些成本继续给家庭和企业带来压力,英国未来几个月的经济增长将放缓。

Economists expect UK growth to slow in the months ahead as those costs continue to weigh on households and businesses.

商品和服务的价格仍在以高于预期的速度上涨。截至八月的年度通胀率达到3.1%,为五个月来的最高水平,且高于英国央行2%的目标,主要受汽油和柴油价格上涨推动。

Prices for goods and services are still rising faster than wanted. Inflation hit 3.1% in the year to August, the highest rate in five months and above the Bank of England's 2% target, driven by higher petrol and diesel prices.

英国央行在九月连续第六次将利率维持在3.75%,但表示如果高能源价格持续,利率可能会上升。预算案演讲何时开始,之后会发生什么?

The Bank of England held interest rates at 3.75% for the sixth time in a row in September, but said they were likely to rise if high energy prices persist. What time is the Budget and what happens afterwards?

预算案演讲通常于英国时间12:30左右开始——在首相问答环节之后——并持续约一小时。

The Budget speech usually starts at about 12:30 UK time - after Prime Minister's Questions - and lasts about an hour.

该演讲将在BBC iPlayer和BBC新闻网站上进行直播。

It will be broadcast live on the BBC iPlayer and on the BBC News website.

反对党领袖、保守党议员凯米·巴德诺克将在下议院对演讲作出回应。议员们将对相关措施进行为期四天的辩论,随后进行投票。如果获得议员批准,税收变更可立即生效。然而,政府必须通过财政法案才能使这些变更永久化。

The Leader of the Opposition, Conservative MP Kemi Badenoch, will respond to the speech in the House of Commons. MPs debate the measures for four days, before voting on them. If approved by MPs, tax changes can come into effect immediately. However, the government must pass a finance bill to make them permanent.