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民主党在得州的希望升温Democrats’ hopes rise in Texas

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民主党对得州局势重新感到乐观,即便是在深红选区。与Semafor共享的民调显示,民主党候选人在第9和第10国会选区的表现都出人意料地具有竞争力。

Democrats are feeling newly optimistic about Texas, even in deep-red seats. Polls shared with Semafor show Democratic candidates running surprisingly competitively in the 9th and the 10th Congressional Districts.

在第10选区,民主党候选人凯特琳·鲁尔克的民调支持率为41%,落后共和党候选人克里斯·戈伯的48%;特朗普的好感度处于负值,占50%,占47%。

In the 10th, Democrat Caitlin Rourk is polling at 41% to Republican Chris Gober’s 48%, with Trump’s favorability underwater at 50% unfavorable and 47% favorable.

民主党联邦参议员候选人詹姆斯·塔拉里科在该选区与共和党人肯·帕克斯顿的得票差距在统计上不分上下。2024年,特朗普曾以22个百分点优势赢下该选区。

Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico is also statistically tied with Republican Ken Paxton in the district, which Trump won by 22 points in 2024.

在第9选区(特朗普同样曾以较大优势赢下),民主党候选人莱蒂西亚·古铁雷斯落后共和党候选人亚历克斯·米勒6个百分点;特朗普的好感度为负,参议员竞选在统计上也不分上下。

And in the 9th District (also handily carried by Trump), Democrat Leticia Gutierrez is trailing Republican Alex Mealer by six points, with Trump’s favorability negative and the Senate race statistically tied.

不过,两名民主党候选人的筹款额仍落后于共和党对手,并都在寻求更多资源。戈伯曾担任埃隆·马斯克的America PAC律师,或许能够争取到大量支援。

Still, both Democratic candidates trail the Republicans in fundraising and are looking for more resources. Gober, the former lawyer of Elon Musk’s America PAC, might be able to call for substantial backup.

“我们一直在开展开创性的基础工作,已准备好在最后阶段实现指数级增长。现在,我们只需要投入资源,推动计划落地并赢得这场竞选。”鲁尔克在一份声明中表示。

“We have been doing the path-breaking foundational work and are ready to go exponential in the final stretch. Now, we just need the investment to go execute and win this race,” Rourk said in a statement.

不过,民主党竞选团队共享的这些民调数据,仍可能给帕克斯顿和共和党州长格雷格·阿博特敲响警钟。——尼古拉斯·吴

The polling, shared by Democratic campaigns, could nevertheless be a warning sign for Paxton and Republican Gov. Greg Abbott. — Nicholas Wu