美联储副主席菲利普·杰斐逊周四表示,央行将等待评估即将公布的经济数据,然后再决定是否再次加息。
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said Thursday the central bank will wait to evaluate incoming economic data before deciding whether to hike interest rates again.
杰斐逊在弗吉尼亚大学达顿商学院表示:“展望未来,我的观点是,任何未来的政策调整都应通过仔细审视数据趋势、不断演变的前景以及风险平衡来决定。”
“As we look ahead, my view is that any future adjustments in policy should be determined by carefully examining trends in the data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks,” Jefferson said at the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business.
这位美联储理事随后表示:“我和我的同事们将需要做出自己的判断,这可能需要更多时间。”根据经济分析局周三发布的数据,以个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数衡量的年通胀率在8月为3.4%。
The Fed governor later said, “My colleagues and I will need to come to our own judgment, which may take more time.”Annual inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, was 3.4 percent in August, according to Bureau of Economic Analysis data released Wednesday.
根据PCE数据,不包括波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心价格同比上涨了3%。
Core prices, which does not include more volatile food and energy prices, were up 3 percent year-over-year, per the PCE.
自联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)于9月中旬一致投票决定加息25个基点以对抗通胀以来,多位委员会官员已发出信号,暗示未来还将加息。
Since the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously in mid-September to hike interest rates by a quarter point to fight inflation, multiple panel officials have signaled future rate increases are on the horizon.
费城联储主席安娜·保罗森上周表示,美联储可能需要进行“适度的进一步收紧”货币政策,以将通胀降回目标利率2%。
Anna Paulson, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, said last week that the Fed may need to do “some modest further tightening” of monetary policy to get inflation back down to its 2 percent target rate.
美联储理事会成员迈克尔·巴尔周二在底特律经济俱乐部表示:“在我的基本情景中,可能还需要进一步调整政策,以确保通胀及时回落至目标水平。”
“In my base case, further policy adjustments are likely to be needed to ensure inflation comes down to target in a timely fashion,” Michael Barr, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors, said Tuesday at the Detroit Economic Club.
但官员们指出,他们将在做出决定前继续跟踪经济数据。在FOMC下一次于10月27日至28日召开会议之前,劳工统计局将发布消费者价格指数数据,这是另一项衡量通胀的指标。
But officials have noted they will continue to track economic data prior to making a decision. Before the FOMC’s next meeting on Oct. 27-28, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release data for the consumer price index, another gauge of inflation.
纽约联邦储备银行行长威廉姆斯周二在布法罗大学举办的一场活动上表示,“积累更多数据”将有助于委员会决定“货币政策的适当设置”。
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said during a Tuesday event at the University of Buffalo that the “accumulation of more data” will help the committee decide on the “appropriate setting of monetary policy.”
威廉姆斯补充道:“如果经济的发展轨迹大体符合我的预测,今年晚些时候联邦基金利率目标区间或许需要再进行一次上调,以支持通胀更及时地回归目标。”根据芝商所的“美联储观察”工具,多位联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)官员谨慎的表态彻底改变了交易员的预期,他们目前定价该委员会在本月底维持3.75%至4%的利率区间不变的概率约为76%。
Williams added, “If the economy evolves in a manner broadly consistent with my forecast, one further upward adjustment of the federal funds target range may be appropriate late this year to support a timelier return of inflation to target.”The caution from multiple FOMC officials has flipped a switch for traders, who are pricing in a roughly 76 percent chance of the panel holding rates at their range of 3.75 percent to 4 percent at the end of this month, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
而在一个星期前,交易员定价FOMC加息25个基点的概率还大约为69%。
A week ago, traders were pricing in about a 69 percent probability of the FOMC hiking rates by a quarter point.