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东京9月核心通胀率跳升,为日本央行进一步加息增添理由Tokyo core inflation rate jumps in September, bolsters case for more BOJ hikes

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东京,10月2日电:日本首都9月核心通胀率加速上升,增速创10个月新高,凸显物价压力不断累积,强化了进一步加息的理由。

TOKYO, Oct 2 : Annual core inflation in Japan's capital accelerated in September at the fastest pace in 10 months, highlighting mounting price pressures that bolster the case for further interest rate hikes.

该数据被视为全国趋势的先行指标,将成为日本央行在10月29-30日下次货币政策会议上发布新季度通胀预测时的考量因素之一。

The data, considered a leading indicator of nationwide trends, will be among factors the Bank of Japan weighs when it issues fresh quarterly inflation forecasts at its next policy meeting on October 29-30.

周五公布的数据显示,9月东京核心消费者价格指数(剔除生鲜食品但包含燃料成本)同比上涨2.7%,增速较8月的1.8%显著加快,并超出市场预期中值2.4%。

The core consumer price index, which excludes fresh food but includes fuel costs, in Tokyo rose 2.7 per cent in September from a year earlier, data showed on Friday, accelerating from a 1.8 per cent gain in August and exceeding a median market forecast for a 2.4 per cent gain.

这是该指数自1月以来首次超过日本央行2%的通胀目标,同比涨幅为去年11月(2.8%)以来最快。

It exceeded the BOJ's 2 per cent target for the first time since January and marked the fastest year-on-year pace since a 2.8 per cent rise in November last year.

SOMPO研究所高级经济学家小池正人表示:“受中东冲突推高能源成本及后续二轮效应影响,核心通胀趋势将继续加速”,并预期日本央行将在12月加息。

"Core inflation will continue to accelerate as a trend due to rising energy costs from the Middle East conflict and subsequent second-round effects," said Masato Koike, senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus, adding that he expects the BOJ to raise interest rates in December.

剔除生鲜食品和燃料影响的指数(日本央行密切关注的更能反映趋势通胀的指标)9月同比上涨3.0%,增速较8月的2.0%大幅提升,创2025年8月以来最快同比涨幅。

An index stripping away the effect of fresh food and fuel, which is closely watched by the BOJ as a better gauge of trend inflation, rose 3.0 per cent in September after a 2.0 per cent gain in August to hit the fastest year-on-year rise since August 2025.

尽管涨幅部分源于水费补贴逐步取消,但家庭在食品、交通、住宿等广泛商品和服务上的支出均有增加。

While the jump was partly due to the phasing out of water bill subsidies, households paid more for a broad range of goods and services including food, transportation and hotel bills.

9月服务业通胀率升至2.3%,高于上月的1.4%,表明企业正将紧张劳动力市场推高的人工成本转嫁给消费者。

Service-sector inflation hit 2.3 per cent in September, accelerating from 1.4 per cent the previous month, suggesting that firms were passing on rising labour costs from a tight job market.

日本央行上月将利率上调至31年高位,其行长发出信号称央行已进入一个新阶段,重点是防止通胀超调目标,为进一步加息敞开了大

The BOJ raised interest rates to a 31-year high last month, with its governor signalling the central bank has entered a new phase focused on preventing inflation from overshooting its target, opening the door to further rate hikes.