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中央电视台稿件 2026年2月10日CCTV Script 02/10/26

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以下是 CNBC 为中国的 CCTV 制作的财经新闻报道的文字稿,时间为 2026 年 10 月 2 日:由中东冲突引发的能源危机再次演变为英国全国的日常生活成本危机。根据能源研究机构 Cornwall Insight 的最新预测,由于中东地区的局势不稳定,天然气供应受到严重影响,这将导致英国市场出现剧烈波动。

– This is the script of CNBC's financial news report for China's CCTV on October 02, 2026. The energy crisis triggered by Middle East conflicts is once again evolving into a living cost crisis across the United Kingdom. According to the latest forecasts from energy research firm Cornwall Insight, impacted natural gas supplies stemming from Middle East instability will drive a sharp response across British markets.

明年第一季度,英国的能源价格上限预计将上涨 16%,创下自 2023 年以来的最大单季度涨幅。因此,普通英国家庭的年均能源费用可能会从目前的 1,723 英镑飙升至近 2,000 英镑。除了天然气价格外,柴油价格的飙升也进一步推高了企业和居民的交通及物流成本。英国汽车协会 RAC 的最新数据显示,零售柴油价格已升至每升 1.99 英镑,自 2 月底以来累计上涨了近 40%;该协会预计柴油价格将在几天内突破每升 2 英镑的大关。

In the first quarter of next year, the UK energy price cap is set to rise by 16%, marking the largest single quarter increase since 2023. Consequently, the average annual energy bill for an ordinary British household could jump from 1,723 pounds currently to nearly 2,000 pounds. Beyond natural gas, surging diesel prices are further inflating transit and logistics costs for businesses and residents alike. Latest figures from British motoring organization RAC show retail diesel prices climbing to 1.99 pounds per liter, a cumulative surge of nearly 40% since late February. The association projects that diesel prices will breach the 2 pounds per liter milestone within days.

此前官方统计数据显示,英国 8 月份的年通胀率为 3.1%,英国国家统计局指出燃料价格上涨是导致通胀加速的主要因素。

Prior official statistics showed the annual UK inflation rate reaching 3.1% in August, with the Office for National Statistics pointing to rising fuel prices as a primary catalyst behind that acceleration.

在这种能源危机背景下,市场参与者担心通胀压力可能会进一步加剧。这促使投资者重新评估英格兰银行的利率走势,从而为英国国债收益率提供了上涨的动力。

Amid this energy shock, market participants fear that inflationary pressures could intensify further. This has prompted investors to reevaluate the interest rate trajectory of the Bank of England, providing upward momentum for UK gilt yields.

市场数据显示,英国 30 年期国债的收益率在周四达到了 6.029%,创下了自 1998 年 1 月以来的最高水平;同时,英国 10 年期和 5 年期国债的收益率也分别达到了自 2007 年 7 月和 2008 年 7 月以来的最高水平。

Market data shows that the UK 30 year gilt yield touched 6.029% on Thursday, reaching its highest level since January 1998. Meanwhile, UK 10 year and 5 year gilt yields reached highs not seen since July 2007 and July 2008, respectively. Elevated sovereign yields not only increase government debt servicing costs and squeeze fiscal spending room, but also serve as a vital benchmark for mortgage pricing.

主权国债收益率上升不仅会提高政府偿债成本、压缩财政支出空间,也会成为住房贷款定价的重要基准。因此,此次收益率飙升正推动按揭利率走高,抑制购房者的住房需求。

As a result, this yield spike is driving mortgage rates higher, dampening housing demand among homebuyers. According to data released Tuesday by the Bank of England, approved mortgage applications for house purchases in August dropped to 54,918, marking the lowest monthly reading since December 2023. Waning appetite to transact is simultaneously weighing on British home values.

英格兰银行周二公布的数据显示,8月获批的购房按揭申请降至54,918份,创下2023年12月以来的最低月度水平。与此同时,成交意愿减弱也在拖累英国住宅价值。英国国民建筑协会周四发布的数据显示,9月英国房价较8月下跌0.2%,创下去年5月以来最大的单月跌幅。

Figures released Thursday by Nationwide Building Society show UK house prices falling 0.2% in September compared to August,ing the steepest single month decline since May. KALLUM PICKERINGChief EconomistPeel Hunt "Yields are just too high everywhere. But they're further above normal in the UK versus elsewhere. The UK is at the stage now where the biggest headwind to economic performance is crowding out, which is the structure of interest rates across the term is too high.

KALLUM PICKERING,Peel Hunt首席经济学家:“各地的收益率都过高,但英国收益率高于正常水平的程度远超其他地方。目前,英国经济面临的最大阻力是挤出效应,也就是整个期限结构的利率过高。这使家庭和企业在日常经济活动中承担促进增长的风险时面临过高的门槛利率。信贷需求如此疲弱,正是因此。所有人都担心自己的按揭贷款,也是因此。”

It creates too high a hurdle rate for households and businesses to take on pro growth risks in ordinary life. It's the reason why credit demand is so weak. It's the reason why everyone's worried about their mortgages."