分析人士指出，巴西本周末举行的大选将重塑这个拉丁美洲最大经济体的外交战略。现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦与主要挑战者弗拉维奥·博索纳罗的支持率实际上不相上下，尽管两人似乎都不太可能在周日的首轮投票中直接胜出，从而需要进行决选。欧盟曾花费数年时间与现任政府修复在博索纳罗之父执政期间受损的关系，目前正密切关注局势，担心巴西可能会更倾向于华盛顿。
Brazil’s election this weekend will reshape the diplomatic strategy of Latin America’s biggest economy, analysts said. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is in effect tied with his main challenger, Flávio Bolsonaro, though neither appears likely to win outright in Sunday’s first-round vote, necessitating a runoff. The EU, which spent years working with the incumbent to repair ties that were battered under the leadership of Bolsonaro’s father, will be watching closely, fearing Brasília could pivot harder towards Washington.
两位候选人都没有针对巴西日益增长的对华贸易依赖制定战略，而这正是此次总统竞选的关键议题。然而有一点是肯定的：博索纳罗的兄弟已威胁要对任何被其家族认为“破坏”了其父亲总统任期的外交官采取行动。
Neither candidate has a strategy for combatting Brazil’s growing dependence on China for trade, a key issue in the presidential race. One thing is for certain, however: Bolsonaro’s brother has threatened any diplomats whom the family believe “sabotaged” their father’s presidency. — Prashant Rao