Erin Ogunkeye 很高兴欢迎 Bamo Nouri，他是一名调查记者，也是伦敦城市圣乔治大学国际政治系的荣誉研究员。
Erin Ogunkeye is pleased to welcome Bamo Nouri, investigative journalist and also Honorary Research Fellow with the Department of International Politics at City Saint George's University of London.
他认为，美军在伊拉克军事存在的结束标志着该国内部力量平衡的深刻转变。
He sees the end of the American military presence in Iraq as a profound shift in the balance of power inside the country.
对他来说，核心问题不在于伊拉克是否正式恢复了主权，而在于它是否具备行使该主权所需的政治凝聚力、安全能力和经济独立性。美国正在离开伊拉克，但伊朗没有。
For him, the central question is not whether Iraq has formally regained sovereignty, but whether it possesses the political cohesion, security capacity and economic independence necessary to exercise that sovereignty. America is leaving Iraq, but Iran is not.
德黑兰的影响力已深深植根于伊拉克的政党、武装团体、经济网络和金融体系中，这意味着其权力并不依赖于常规军事存在。
Tehran's influence is already embedded within Iraq's political parties, armed groups, economic networks and financial system, meaning that its power does not depend on a conventional military presence.
现在移除美国的制衡力量，可能会给伊朗支持的团体提供更大的活动空间，同时让严重依赖美国军事、情报和防空支持的伊拉克库尔德地区面临自身的战略不确定性。
Removing the American counterweight now could give Iran-backed groups greater room to operate, while leaving Iraq's Kurdish region, which has relied heavily on American military, intelligence and air-defence support, facing its own strategic uncertainty.
最终，撤军可能会加剧伊朗在伊拉克的作用，同时使伊拉克的政治和经济改革尝试变得更加困难。
Ultimately, the withdrawal will potentially intensify Iran's role in Iraq while making Iraq's attempts at political and economic reform considerably more difficult.