根据美国劳工统计局(BLS)周五发布的新数据,9月份美国经济新增29,000个就业岗位。据劳工统计局报道,失业率也小幅上升至4.2%。
The U.S. economy added 29,000 jobs in September, according to new data released Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The unemployment rate also ticked up slightly to 4.2 percent, the BLS reported.
8月份经济新增就业岗位162,000个,而6月份和7月份雇主分别新增就业岗位31,000个和21,000个。但劳工统计局周五下调了过去两个月的数据,显示7月份市场失业10,000人,8月份就业岗位增加133,000人。
The economy added 162,000 jobs in August, after employers added 31,000 and 21,000 jobs in June and July, respectively. But BLS revised the past two months downward on Friday, now showing the market losing 10,000 jobs in July and adding 133,000 in August.
失业率在COVID-19大流行初期飙升至14.8%的峰值,这是自大萧条以来的最高水平,自2021年8月以来一直保持在5%以下。
The unemployment rate has remained below 5 percent since August 2021, after it spiked to a peak of 14.8 percent in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic — the highest mark since the Great Depression.
与此同时,通货膨胀率五年多来一直高于美联储2%的目标,近几个月来,由于伊朗战争的能源冲击,通货膨胀率有所上升。
Inflation, meanwhile, has remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target for five-plus years, rising in recent months amid energy shocks from the Iran war.
经济分析局周三报告称,以个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数衡量,8月份年度通胀率为3.4%,低于7月份的3.7%。
Annual inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, was 3.4 percent in August, down from 3.7 percent in July, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Wednesday.
根据美联储首选的通胀指标PCE衡量,核心价格(不包括波动较大的食品和能源成本)上个月同比上涨3%。
Core prices, which do not include more volatile food and energy costs, were up 3 percent year-over-year last month, as measured by the PCE, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation.
美联储主席凯文·沃什上个月表示,失业率“与充分就业保持一致”,并补充说,央行的最大就业和物价稳定的双重使命在“中期”内并不矛盾。
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said last month the unemployment rate is “running consistent with full employment,” adding the central bank’s dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability are not at odds in the “medium” term.
在央行加息四分之一个百分点后,美联储主席告诉记者:“经济增长--即确保持续、可持续、持久的经济增长--这就是我们所从事的工作。”
“Economic growth — that is ensuring continuous, sustainable, durable, economic growth — that’s the business we’re in,” the Fed chair told reporters, after the central bank raised interest rates by a quarter point.
沃什补充道:“我们今天所做的工作,我们将继续做的工作,是确保价格稳定,这可能意味着可持续、持久的经济增长可以持续更长时间。”
“And the job we did today, the job we’ll continue to do, is to ensure price stability, which can mean that sustainable, durable, economic growth can go on for longer,” Warsh added.
根据CME美联储观察工具,交易员预计联邦公开市场委员会在10月27日至28日的下次会议上将利率维持在3.75%至4%区间的概率约为72%。
Traders are pricing in a roughly 72 percent chance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holding interest rates at a range of 3.75 percent to 4 percent at its next meeting, set for Oct. 27-28, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
多位联邦公开市场委员会官员近期预测未来将加息,同时指出他们将继续关注即将发布的经济数据。
Multiple FOMC officials have recently forecasted future rate hikes, while noting they will continue to monitor incoming economic data.
“一如既往,我会关注数据,并认真倾听企业和员工告诉我的情况,”费城联邦储备银行行长、联邦公开市场委员会成员安娜·保尔森上周表示。
“As always, I’ll be watching the data and listening closely to what businesses and workers are telling me,” Anna Paulson, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and a member of the FOMC, said last week.
“但我要明确一点:将通胀率恢复到2%是不可谈判的,我将支持能够实现这一目标的政策路径,同时在此过程中仔细权衡对劳动力市场的风险,”她补充道。
“But let me be clear: returning inflation to 2 percent is non-negotiable, and I will support the policy path that gets us there while carefully weighing risks to the labor market along the way,” she added.
这个负责制定利率的小组的下次会议将在中期选举前不到一周举行,届时特朗普总统和共和党正努力应对经济逆风和政治历史规律,力图阻止民主党夺取国会控制权。
The rate-setting panel’s next meeting will take place less than a week before the midterm elections, with President Trump and the GOP fighting economic headwinds and political history in a bid to prevent Democrats from snatching control of Congress.