伊斯兰堡讯——在该国最大反对党、由前总理伊姆兰·汗领导的抗议游行即将举行之际，巴基斯坦联邦政府正在首都采取反制措施，包括部署1000多个集装箱封锁道路——这也将扰乱供应链并扼杀当地商业活动。
ISLAMABAD -- Ahead of a protest march by the country's largest opposition party led by former Prime Minister Imran Khan, Pakistan's federal government is preparing countermeasures in the capital that include placing more than 1,000 shipping containers to block roads -- that will also disrupt supply chains and choke off local businesses.
开伯尔-普什图省首席部长、伊姆兰·汗所属的巴基斯坦正义运动党（PTI）成员索海尔·阿夫里迪，预计将于周日率领长途游行队伍从该省出发前往伊斯兰堡。
Sohail Afridi, chief minister of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province and a member of Khan's party, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), is expected to lead the long march from the province to Islamabad on Sunday.
由于伊姆兰·汗已入狱三年多，正义运动党要求为他提供适当的医疗待遇、探视权，以及对针对他的案件进行公正审判。正义运动党原定于9月27日举行长途游行，但推迟了一周。
With Khan having spent over three years in prison, PTI is demanding proper medical treatment for him, visitor access and fair court hearings of the cases against him. Initially, PTI planned the long march for Sept. 27 but postponed it by one week.
总理夏巴兹·谢里夫及其领导的巴基斯坦穆斯林联盟（谢里夫派）（PML-N）政府于9月15日在伊斯兰堡各入口及通往市中心的道路上放置了数千个集装箱。据当地媒体报道，政府每天支付17万美元作为1550个集装箱的总租金，并每天再支付5万美元安置数千名增援警力。
The government of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and his Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) placed thousands of shipping containers at the entrances to Islamabad and on roads leading to the city's central area on Sept. 15. According to local reports, the government is paying $170,000 per day as total rent to the owners of 1,550 shipping containers, and another $50,000 per day to accommodate thousands of extra police in the capital.
连接开伯尔-普什图省与伊斯兰堡的主要高速公路因预期9月27日的游行而一度关闭，后又重新开放。预计将在周日前再次关闭。
The main highways connecting Khyber Pakhtunkhwa to Islamabad were closed in anticipation of the Sept. 27 march, then reopened. They are due to be shut again before Sunday.
财政部长穆罕默德·奥朗则布早前声称，道路封锁及相关开支可能使巴基斯坦损失约4.34亿美元——但未解释计算依据。
Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb claimed earlier that road closures and related expenses could cost Pakistan about $434 million -- but did not explain how.
9月30日，集装箱封锁伊斯兰堡道路。据报道，政府每天支付17万美元作为1550个集装箱的总租金。
Shipping containers block roads in Islamabad, Sept. 30. The government is reportedly paying $170,000 per day as total rent to the owners of 1,550 shipping containers.
根据世界银行数据，该国2025年国内生产总值（GDP）为4070亿美元，日均GDP约为11亿美元。
According to the World Bank, the country's gross domestic product in 2025 was $407 billion, implying a daily GDP of about $1.1 billion.
在伊斯兰堡经营物流业务、只用一个名字穆罕默德的人告诉《日经亚洲》，政府为阻止游行采取的措施给企业造成了巨大损失。
Muhammad, who goes by one name and runs a logistics business in Islamabad, told Nikkei Asia that the government's measures to stop the march have caused huge losses to businesses.
“交付延迟、货物滞留、货物可能受损以及供应链不确定是我们面临的主要问题，”他说。“如果路障持续时间过长，伊斯兰堡将出现基本商品短缺和物价上涨。”在拉合尔经营法律和税务咨询公司的伊克拉姆·乌尔·哈克表示，政府关闭高速公路特别扰乱了首都的经济生活。“直接负担主要落在司机、日薪工人和无法弥补一天损失收入的小企业身上，”他说。
"Delayed deliveries, stuck cargoes, possible damage to goods and uncertain supply chains are the main problems we face," he said. "If the roadblocks are prolonged, there will be a shortage of essential goods and higher prices in Islamabad." Ikram ul Haq, who runs a legal and tax consultancy in Lahore, said the government's highway closure has particularly disrupted economic life in the capital. "The immediate burden falls heavily on drivers, daily-wage workers and small businesses that cannot recover a lost day's earnings," he said.
“如果封锁持续，货运和客运、批发和零售贸易、建筑供应链，以及鲜农产品和奶制品供应商将特别受到冲击，”他说。
"If the closures continue, freight and passenger transport, wholesale and retail trade, construction supply chains, and suppliers of fresh produce and dairy will be particularly exposed," he said.
一名未获授权接受媒体采访的政府官员告诉《日经亚洲》，政府采取一切措施“防止正义运动党（PTI）对伊斯兰堡发动政治入侵”都是合理的。“由此产生的经济代价虽不希望见到，但也是不可避免的，”他说。
A government official, who is not authorized to talk to the media, told Nikkei Asia that the government is justified in taking all measures to "prevent a political invasion" by PTI of Islamabad. "The consequent economic cost is undesirable but unavoidable too," he said.
为阻止正义运动党的游行，联邦政府已威胁要暂停该党的省政府职务。
In order to deter PTI's march, the federal government has threatened to suspend the party's provincial government.
议会事务部长塔里克·法扎尔·乔杜里周三告诉记者，政府“认真”考虑在开伯尔-普什图省实施紧急状态，以暂时压制正义运动党领导的省政府。
Tariq Fazal Chaudhry, the parliamentary affairs minister, told reporters on Wednesday that his government was "seriously" considering imposing an emergency in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa to temporarily suppress the PTI-led government.
卡拉奇商业管理学院教授法尔汉·哈尼夫·西迪基表示，政府缺乏应对动荡的可信策略。
Farhan Hanif Siddiqui, a professor at the Karachi-based Institute of Business Administration, said that the government lacks a credible strategy to handle the unrest.
“实施紧急状态等非常规措施不太可能获得国际社会的认可，因为这表明中央政府无法控制开伯尔-普什图省的安全局势，”他告诉《日经亚洲》。
"An extraordinary measure, such as imposing an emergency, is unlikely to sit well with an international audience as it signals that the center is not in control of the security situation in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa," he told Nikkei Asia.
“在国内层面，紧急状态的实施只会强化巴基斯坦正义运动党所宣扬的‘受害者’形象及其相关说辞，”他说道，“其结果只会导致政治局势进一步动荡。”阿德南·阿米尔是一名特约撰稿人。
"Domestically, an emergency imposition will only reinforce PTI's claims and victimization narrative," he said. "Political instability will only intensify as a result." Adnan Aamir is a contributing writer.