
欧盟要求英国提高对中国汽车征收的关税,暴露了英国脱欧后贸易关系中一个尴尬的现实:英国虽然离开了欧盟,却难以轻易摆脱欧盟产业政策的影响。
The European Union’s demand that Britain raise tariffs on Chinese cars exposes an awkward truth about post-Brexit trade. Britain might have left the EU, but it cannot easily escape the bloc’s industrial policy.
据《金融时报》报道,欧盟官员已告知英国首相安迪·伯纳姆,如果英国制造商希望避免在欧盟拟议的“欧洲制造”规则下受到歧视性对待,英国就需要更加密切地与欧盟对华贸易政策保持一致。该提案是欧洲更大范围政策努力的一部分,旨在公共采购和国家支持的计划中优先采用本地生产商品,涵盖汽车行业等领域。
According to the Financial Times, EU officials have told Prime Minister Andy Burnham that Britain needs to align more closely with EU trade policy towards China if it wants British manufacturers to avoid discriminatory treatment under the bloc’s proposed “Made in Europe” rules. The proposal is tied to a larger European effort to favour locally produced goods in public procurement and state-supported schemes, including the automotive sector.
这一时机并非偶然。中国汽车出口正在加速。8月,中国电动汽车出口量同比增长33%,超过28.4万辆;截至8月底,年内出口量已超过210万辆,同比增长53%。其中,8月有近9.5万辆出口欧洲。
The timing is not accidental. China’s car export machine is accelerating. Its electric vehicle (EV) exports in August rose 33 per cent year on year to more than 284,000, while year-to-date exports as of the end of August were more than 2.1 million, up 53 per cent year on year. Almost 95,000 of those exports went to Europe in August.
在2024年开展反补贴调查后,欧盟对中国生产的纯电动汽车征收了7.8%至35.3%的反补贴税。相比之下,英国仍维持标准关税制度,对中国汽车的处罚力度相对较低。这帮助英国成为中国制造商的重要市场。据欧洲汽车制造商协会的数据,2025年中国制造的汽车占英国新车销量的14%。
Following its anti-subsidy investigation in 2024, the EU has imposed countervailing duties ranging from 7.8 to 35.3 per cent on Chinese battery EVs. In contrast, Britain has retained a standard tariff regime that is less punitive towards Chinese cars. That has helped turn the UK into an important market for Chinese manufacturers. Chinese-made cars accounted for 14 per cent of British new-car sales in 2025, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association.
拒绝追随欧盟的立场,为伦敦保留了一项具有经济价值的因素:在一个人人正向电动汽车转型的市场中维持竞争压力。中国制造商带来了低成本车型、快速的产品迭代和激烈的竞争。提高关税最终将通过制造商利润率下降、消费者价格上升或选择减少等方式转嫁到各方。在英国试图加快电气化进程的当下,这一因素并非无关紧要。
Refusing to follow Brussels preserves something economically valuable for London: competitive pressure in a market undergoing a transition to EVs. Chinese manufacturers bring lower-cost models, rapid product cycles and intense competition. Higher tariffs would ultimately be paid through some combination of lower margins for manufacturers, higher prices for consumers or reduced choice. At a time when Britain is trying to accelerate electrification, that is not a trivial consideration.
保持独立关税政策也具有战略优势。英国可以在与北京及其他贸易伙伴谈判时,将本国市场准入作为筹码,而不必自动照搬欧盟的选择。中国是英国的重要贸易伙伴,截至7月的12个月,中国商品占英国进口商品的11.2%。随着供应链、技术限制和工业补贴日益与地缘政治交织,保留回旋余地可能至关重要。
There is also a strategic advantage in retaining an independent tariff policy. Britain can use access to its market as leverage in negotiations with Beijing and other trading partners rather than automaticallyg on to the EU’s choices. The UK is a significant trading partner for China, and Chinese goods accounted for 11.2 per cent of British goods imports in the 12 months to July. Maintaining room for manoeuvre could matter as supply chains, technology restrictions and industrial subsidies become increasingly entangled with geopolitics.
不过,欧洲仍是英国汽车制造业的核心。2025年,英国汽车出口的60.4%流向欧盟,而欧盟制造的汽车占英国汽车销量的61%。英国和欧洲的产业也通过零部件、电池、投资和物流紧密相连。
However, Europe remains the gravitational centre of British automotive manufacturing. The EU received 60.4 per cent of UK vehicle exports in 2025, while EU-made cars represented 61 per cent of British sales. The British and European industries are also deeply intertwined through components, batteries, investment and logistics.
这意味着,“欧洲制造”机制可能比关税产生更深远的影响。欧洲的采购激励、补贴及其他产业倾斜措施若对英国制造的车辆或欧洲成分含量不足的产品另作区别对待,就可能使英国制造商在其最大的出口市场中处于竞争劣势。英国汽车制造商和贸易商协会估计,英欧汽车贸易额每年约为800亿欧元(908亿美元),并警告称,被排除在欧盟这项计划之外,可能削弱双方的产业规模和投资基础。
That makes the “Made in Europe” regime potentially more consequential than the tariff. European procurement incentives, subsidies and other industrial preferences that discriminate against British-made vehicles or products with insufficient European content could put British manufacturers at a competitive disadvantage in their largest export market. The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders estimates UK-EU automotive trade at around €80 billion (US$90.8 billion) a year and warns that exclusion from the EU initiative could erode scale and investment on both sides.
因此,采纳布鲁塞尔的建议,可能为伦敦提供一项宝贵保障:防范欧洲汽车市场碎片化。这样做带来的直接回报是继续获得采购机会和激励措施,同时维持一体化供应链。它还可能降低制造商因监管分化而将未来投资转移出欧洲大陆的风险。
Following Brussels’ advice could therefore buy London something valuable: insurance against fragmentation of the European automotive market. The immediate pay-off from this would be continued access to procurement and incentives while maintaining integrated supply chains. It could also reduce the risk that manufacturers react to regulatory divergence by moving future investment away from continental Europe.
这里同样存在一项地缘政治红利。更多 harmonization 意味着英国愿意在各国经济安全日益成为发达经济体普遍关切之际,与欧洲邻国就经济安全开展合作,而中国工业盈余正成为这一关切的核心问题。
There is also a geopolitical dividend. More harmony would imply that Britain is ready to work with its European neighbours on economic security at a time when China’s industrial surplus is becoming a key concern for advanced economies across the board.
商务部长王文涛呼吁欧洲避免采取保护主义措施,同时释放信号,表示北京支持中国车企在欧洲投资。这预示着未来的格局中,生产地点几乎与企业的所属国家同样重要。
Commerce Minister Wang Wentao has called on Europe to avoid protectionism while signalling Beijing’s support for Chinese carmakers investing inside Europe. That points to a future where the location of production is almost as important as the nationality of the company.
不过,关税协同并非没有代价。英国在帮助欧洲生产商抵御中国竞争的同时,也会给英国消费者增加成本,并可能削弱推动电动汽车转型的一股力量。它还可能削弱伦敦在北京面前的谈判筹码,却无法保证布鲁塞尔会让英国企业充分享受“欧洲制造”计划带来的好处。
However, tariff alignment is not without costs. Britain would be helping protect European producers from Chinese competition while imposing additional costs on British consumers and potentially weakening one of the forces accelerating the EV transition. It could also reduce London’s bargaining power with Beijing without guaranteeing that Brussels will grant British companies full access to its “Made in Europe” benefits.
真正的选择并非是在对华政策上采取更强硬还是更温和的立场,而是在两种经济主权模式之间作出选择。一种模式让英国拥有更大的自由,可以自行设定关税并促进竞争;另一种模式则让英国更深入地融入工业生态系统,而英国制造业的很大一部分仍依赖于这一体系。
The real choice isn’t whether to be tougher or softer on China. It is between two models of economic sovereignty. One gives Britain more freedom to set its own tariffs and foster competition; the other gives deeper integration into the industrial ecosystem on which much of British manufacturing still depends.
给伦敦带来的不安教训是,关税自主权只有转化为实实在在的经济或战略优势,才具有价值。否则,伦敦可能会发现,被排除在欧洲产业市场之外的威胁,会赋予布鲁塞尔相当大的谈判筹码。阿德里尔·卡松塔
The uncomfortable lesson for London is that tariff autonomy is only valuable if it can be turned into a concrete economic or strategic advantage. If not, London could find that the threat of exclusion from Europe’s industrial market gives Brussels considerable leverage. By Adriel Kasonta