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卢拉寻求改组,弗拉维奥·博索纳罗在巴西决选前争取更多支持Lula seeks shake-up and Flávio Bolsonaro reaches for more support ahead of Brazil's election runoff

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巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在第一轮全国选举中输给弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗后,将在周一试图重组他的竞选活动。

Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will spend Monday trying to shake-up his campaign after losing the first round of national elections to Flávio Bolsonaro.

毛里求斯萨瓦雷斯,安娜-巴西凯瑟琳·布里吉达·巴西利亚-唐纳德·特朗普总统的盟友参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在巴西第一轮总统选举中取得了令人惊讶的强劲表现,这为他在10月25日决选前几周的势头强劲,对手现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦·博尔索纳罗,在特朗普盟友在拉丁美洲掌权之际,前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗45岁的儿子与特朗普政府结盟,而卢拉则公开反对美国干预巴西选举,并与北京建立了更牢固的关系。

MAURICIO SAVARESE, ANNA-CATHERINE BRIGIDA BRASILIA, Brazil — Sen. Flavio Bolsonaro, an ally of President Donald Trump, has pulled off a surprisingly strong showing in Brazil’s first round of presidential elections, giving him momentum in the weeks before an Oct. 25 runoff against incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Bolsonaro, the 45-year-old son of former President Jair Bolsonaro has allied himself with the Trump administration at a moment when Trump allies are taking power in Latin America, while Lula has spoken out against U.S. interference in the Brazilian elections and built a stronger relationship with Beijing.

在周日的一场势均力敌的竞选中,博尔索纳罗获得了47%的选票,而这位民粹主义左翼总统的45%的选票。由于两位候选人都没有获得绝对多数席位,他们将在三周后再次对决。巴西第一轮投票的获胜者从未输掉过选举,尽管排名第二的候选人的结果从未如此接近。

In a tight race on Sunday, Bolsonaro garnered 47% of the vote to the populist leftist president’s 45%. Since neither candidate secured an absolute majority, they will face off again in three weeks. The winner of Brazil’s first round of voting has never lost an election, though never before has the second-place candidate been so close in the results.

以下是有关即将到来的第二轮比赛的信息以及这对巴西意味着什么。

Here’s what to know about the upcoming second round and what it means for Brazil.

分析人士称,候选人正在为激烈的竞选准备策略,80岁的卢拉将面临一场艰苦的战斗,以赢得第四个非连续任期的总统职位。

Candidates are preparing strategies for a tight race The 80-year-old Lula will face an uphill battle to win the presidency for the fourth nonconsecutive term, analysts say.

卢拉领导的工人党主席伊格霍·席尔瓦在圣保罗告诉记者,总统将在巴西利亚会见竞选经理,寻求完善他的信息传递,评估地区投票率数字,并在第二轮之前重新分配资源到关键战场州。

Edinho Silva, the chairman of Lula’s Workers’ Party, told journalists in Sao Paulo that the president will meet with campaign managers in Brasilia seeking to refine his message delivery, evaluate regional turnout figures, and re-allocate resources to key battleground states ahead of the second round.

“现在是mano a mano。我们将向巴西人表明,弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗是危险的,不会以他们会看到生活改善的方式来管理这个国家,”席尔瓦说。“我们将努力与这个国家的每一股民主力量对话。”在反对派方面,博尔索纳罗正在与政治人物、政党领导人和地区盟友进行接触,以巩固支持。他的团队正在专注于巩固他本已令人印象深刻的国会支持:他的自由党周日赢得了参议院三分之一以上的席位--这在巴西支离破碎的政治体系中很不寻常。

“Now it is mano a mano. We will show Brazilians that Flávio Bolsonaro is dangerous and will not run this country in a way they will see their lives improve,” Silva said. “We will try to speak to every democratic force in this country.”On the opposition side, Bolsonaro is engaging in outreach to political figures, party leaders and regional allies to consolidate support. His team is focusing on building on his already impressive congressional backing: His Liberal Party won more than one-third of the Senate on Sunday — which is unusual in Brazil’s fractured political system.

第一轮的其他10名总统候选人中有3人表示,他们不会支持任何一位候选人。

Three of the other 10 presidential candidates from the first round have said they will not endorse either candidate.

巴西利亚政治咨询公司Dharma Political Risk and Strategy的政治分析师Creomar de Souza表示,卢拉面临着巴西右翼的变革精神。卢拉正在与现任者的挫败感以及巴西和世界各地的右翼转变作斗争。

Lula faces a spirit of change with Brazil’s right-wing Lula is fighting a trend of frustration with incumbents and a shift to the right in Brazil and worldwide, according to Creomar de Souza, a political analyst with Dharma Political Risk and Strategy, a political consultancy firm based in Brasilia.

“时代精神正在将巴西推向另一个地方。自2016年以来,巴西一直处于这种右翼精神之下。这次它倾向于弗拉维奥,但也可能是右翼的其他任何人,”德苏萨说。

“The spirit of the times is pushing Brazil to another place. Since 2016, Brazil is under that right-wing spirit. It leaned to Flávio this time, but it could have been anybody else on the right,” de Souza said.

“卢拉获胜将很困难。当他认为现在他们会以微弱优势获胜时,他正在后面划船。他能做到吗?是的有可能吗?这将非常艰难。”35岁的汤姆·费雷拉(Tom Ferreira)是一名企业管理员,在过去的选举中曾投票给卢拉,他是前卢拉选民转向博尔索纳罗的例子。这次他投票给了博尔索纳罗,尽管他更喜欢其他一些没有获得太多选票的候选人的提案,例如图卢·泽马和罗纳尔多·卡亚多。他认为博尔索纳罗没有强有力的提议。

“It will be tough for Lula to win. He is rowing from the back when he thought by now they would be winning by a small margin. Can he do it? Yes. Is it likely? It will be very tough.”Tom Ferreira, 35, a business administrator who has voted for Lula in past elections, is an example of a former Lula voter who swung to Bolsonaro. He cast his ballot for Bolsonaro this time, although he preferred the proposals of some of the other candidates who didn’t get many votes, like Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado. He doesn’t think Bolsonaro has strong proposals.

“这更多的是一个变革的问题,”他说。“今天,人们投票的方式就像‘我支持博尔索纳罗’或‘我支持卢拉’。...没有人投票是因为他们研究了候选人或看到了他们所做的事情。”已关闭的Banco Master腐败丑闻揭露了博尔索纳罗接受名誉扫地的银行家Daniel Vorcaro的数百万美元,以资助一部关于他父亲生活的电影,这对费雷拉来说并没有破坏交易,因为他相信大多数政客都是腐败的。

“It’s more of a question of change,” he said. “Today, people vote in a way that’s like, ‘I’m for Bolsonaro,’ or ‘I’m for Lula.’ ... Nobody votes because they researched the candidate or saw what they’ve done.”The shuttered Banco Master corruption scandal that exposed Bolsonaro had accepted millions of dollars from disgraced banker, Daniel Vorcaro, to fund a movie about his father’s life wasn’t a deal-breaker for Ferreira because he believes most politicians are corrupt.

“他们让博尔索纳罗参与其中,但实际上每个人都参与其中,”他说。一些选民也给卢拉带来了一些希望。

“They bring Bolsonaro into it, but really everyone’s involved,” he said. Some voters give some hope to Lula, too.

27岁的财务助理布伦达·阿尔维斯·德卡瓦略(Brenda Alves de Carvalho)在第一轮投票中投票给了另一位总统候选人奥古斯托·库里(Augusto Cuury),但表示她将在决选中支持卢拉。这并不意味着她对此感到兴奋。她说,总统的第三个任期并不出色,但“更接近我们想要的”。

Brenda Alves de Carvalho, a 27-year-old financial assistant, voted for another presidential candidate, Augusto Cury, in the first round but says she will support Lula in the runoff. That doesn’t mean she is excited about it. She said that the president’s third term was not great, but it is “closer to what we want.”

“一开始我不想投票。我现在知道我必须投票给一方,因为我不想投空白票。”

“I didn’t want to vote at first. I know now I’ll have to vote for one side, because I don’t want to cast a blank vote.”