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特朗普抵制美国在沙特与胡塞武装冲突中扮演更深角色Trump Resists Deeper US Role in Saudi Arabia-Houthi Conflict

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作者:Ellen Milligan、Courtney McBride 和 Fiona MacDonald据知情人士透露,特朗普政府不愿在沙特阿拉伯针对胡塞武装的进攻中更深度介入,并试图阻止利雅得在也门引发一场重大新冲突。

By Ellen Milligan, Courtney McBride and Fiona MacDonald The Trump administration is reluctant to get more involved in Saudi Arabia’s offensive against the Houthis and has tried to restrain Riyadh from sparking a major new conflict in Yemen, according to people familiar with the situation.

虽然美国在情报、目标定位和空中加油方面向利雅得提供了协助,但由于美国未对伊朗支持的胡塞武装发动进攻性打击,沙特阿拉伯在最近几周试图寻找更多国家加入其在也门的军事行动,但均告失败,知情人士称,因讨论私密磋商,他们要求不具名。

While the US has helped Riyadh with intelligence, targeting and refueling assistance, the lack of American offensive attacks against the Iran-backed Houthis left Saudi Arabia casting about unsuccessfully in recent weeks for more countries to join its military operation in Yemen, according to the people, who asked not to be identified discussing private deliberations.

该军事行动于周日开始,沙特支持的也门国际公认政府周二声称已收复胡塞武装控制的领土,曼德海峡附近战斗加剧,该海峡是霍尔木兹海峡的替代航道。

That military campaign began on Sunday, with Yemen’s internationally recognized government — backed by Saudi Arabia — claiming on Tuesday to have recaptured territory held by the Houthis, with fighting intensifying near the Bab el-Mandeb strait, an alternative route to Hormuz.

该武装组织在伊朗战争期间曾袭击沙特能源设施,也表示沙特军队夜间发动了约60次空袭。

The militant group, which has attacked Saudi energy facilities in the midst of the Iran war, also said Saudi forces launched around 60 airstrikes overnight.

这场战斗为更广泛的对伊朗战争增添了一个新的活跃战线,这场战争在美国并不受欢迎,因为冲突演变为僵局,导致全球能源价格居高不下,并在美国中期选举前推高了国内汽油价格。鲜有人认为重燃战火能终结胡塞武装的威胁。该组织经受住了美国、以色列和沙特多年的零星轰炸,包括在其因以色列对加沙战争而威胁红海航运后遭受的打击。早前报道:沙特领导的部队声称在也门对胡塞武装取得地面进展白宫周二晚间未回应置评请求。沙特阿拉伯外交部也未回应置评请求。

The fighting adds a new active front to the broader war against Iran, which has proved unpopular in the US as the conflict devolved into a standoff that has left global energy prices elevated and pushed up domestic gas prices before American midterm elections. Few believe renewed fighting will end the threat from the Houthis. The group has endured years of sporadic US, Israeli and Saudi bombing, including after it menaced Red Sea shipping in response to Israel’s war on Gaza. Earlier: Saudi-Led Forces Claim Yemen Ground Advances Against Houthis The White House didn’t respond to a request for comment on comment on Tuesday evening. Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Ministry also didn’t respond to a request for comment.

一些人士表示,虽然美国和其他一些国家正在为沙特阿拉伯提供有限的防御和后勤支持,但有人担心战斗可能会引发该地区新的军事升级,并可能危及曼德海峡的航运。

While the US and some other nations are providing limited defensive and logistical support for Saudi Arabia, there are worries the fighting risks spurring new military escalation in the region and could jeopardize shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb strait, some of the people said.

自伊朗军队在战争开始几周瞄准霍尔木兹以来,这条水道一直是波斯湾能源流动的关键替代路线。

That waterway has served as a key alternative route for Persian Gulf energy flows since Iranian forces targeted Hormuz in the opening weeks of the war.

两名人士表示,美国已告诉沙特,在针对伊朗的战争仍在继续、霍尔木兹海峡的航运仍然中断的情况下,不要派遣自己的军队进入也门。

The US has told the Saudis not to send their own troops into Yemen while the war against Iran continues and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, two of the people said.

大西洋理事会主任、前美国也门问题副特使艾莉森·米纳尔(Allison Minor)表示:“特朗普头脑中真正的问题是,沙特当前的攻势是否有成功的途径。”“我们可能会看到也门政府的收益,但声称他们将占领所有胡塞武装控制的领土更值得怀疑。”对于与王国事实上的统治者王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼保持着密切关系的唐纳德·特朗普总统来说,这一算计令人担忧。

“The real question in Trump’s head is whether there’s a path to success with this current Saudi offensive,” said Allison Minor, director at the Atlantic Council and former deputy US special envoy for Yemen. “We could potentially see gains from the Yemen government, but claims they will take all Houthi-controlled territory are more suspect.”For President Donald Trump, who retains close ties with the kingdom’s de facto ruler Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the calculation is fraught.

胡塞武装并没有打击美国的资产,直接空袭将破坏美国去年在也门的空袭中击中1,000多个目标后与胡塞武装达成的停火协议。

The Houthis are not hitting American assets and direct airstrikes would break a ceasefire deal the US struck with the Houthis last year after the US hit more than 1,000 targets in an air campaign in Yemen.

美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁旨在迫使德黑兰投降,这也耗尽了美国在该地区的大部分海军和空军资源。人们担心,如果特朗普选择在中期选举后重新启动对伊朗的空袭,美国弹药库存将紧张,他已提出这是一种可能性。

The US naval blockade of Iranian ports, designed to pressure Tehran into capitulating, is also using up much of America’s naval and air resources in the region. And there are concerns about strained US munitions stockpiles should Trump choose to restart air strikes against Iran after the midterms, which he has raised as a possibility.

美国国务卿马可·卢比奥周一表示,沙特“有权自卫”,但拒绝就美国将提供的支持发表评论。特朗普告诉记者,反攻“将会进展顺利”。但时间轴尚不清楚。一名沙特官员表示,他们预计将长期与胡塞武装作战。另一位知情人士表示,沙特领导层预计战斗至少会持续到新年。

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Monday that the Saudis “have a right to defend themselves” but declined to comment on the support the US would provide. Trump has told reporters that the counter-offensive “will all work out very well.”Yet the timeline is unclear. A Saudi official said they expected to be fighting the Houthis for the long run. The kingdom’s leadership expects the fighting could stretch into the new year, at least, said another person familiar with their thinking.

特朗普的前任乔·拜登曾坦率地承认,尽管轰炸行动无效,但阻止对胡塞武装的袭击是困难的。“他们正在阻止胡塞武装吗?不。他们会继续吗?是的,”拜登在2024年说道。

Trump’s predecessor, Joe Biden, once candidly conceded the difficulty of halting attacks against the Houthis despite the ineffectiveness of a bombing campaign. “Are they stopping the Houthis? No. Are they going to continue? Yes,” Biden said in 2024.

彭博经济分析师迪娜·埃斯凡迪和贝卡·瓦瑟在周二的研究报告中表示:“美国在很大程度上将当前的战斗视为沙特的问题,部分原因是它试图缩小伊朗战区的范围,主要关注霍尔木兹海峡。”“虽然利雅得可能会继续要求更多,但美国不太可能超出它已经向沙特领导的联盟提供的范围。”

“The US largely sees the current fighting as a Saudi problem, in part because it is trying to narrow the Iran theater to focus mainly on the Strait of Hormuz,” Bloomberg Economics analysts Dina Esfandiary and Becca Wasser said in research note on Tuesday. “While Riyadh will likely keep asking for more, the US is unlikely to go beyond what it is already providing the Saudi-led coalition.”