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内塔尼亚胡能否逃脱问责?Will Netanyahu Escape His Reckoning?

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在绝望地试图保住以色列总理职位的过程中,本雅明·内塔尼亚胡正试图用一种尖锐且极其愤世嫉俗的信息来迷惑选民:忘记2023年10月7日的恐怖,以及我作为国家安全守护者的责任。(都怪我。)但请庆祝我,选举我,因为我在10月8日及之后为确立国家军事主导地位所做的一切。这是一个荒谬的论点。但它也可能出乎意料地获胜。

In his desperate attempt to hold on to power as Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu is trying to cast a spell on the electorate with a stark and profoundly cynical message: Forget the horror of October 7, 2023, and my responsibility as the guardian of national security. (Blame everyone me.) But celebrate me, elect me, for all that I have done to assert the military dominance of the state, on October 8th and thereafter. It is an outrageous argument. It is also one that could, against all odds, prevail.

长期以来,众所周知,内塔尼亚胡严重误判了哈马斯的意图和能力,将其视为与黎巴嫩真主党相比不过是夸张的街头帮派。他始终只关注伊朗。随着时间的推移,大量调查性新闻报道表明,安全机构忽视了中层情报官员和其他来源的明确危险警告。同样令人震惊的是,内塔尼亚胡本人从阿拉伯联合酋长国和埃及都收到了明确警告,称一场重大行动即将来临。

It has been well known for a long time that Netanyahu badly misread the intentions and capabilities of Hamas, treating them as little more than a hyped-up street gang compared to Hezbollah, in Lebanon. His singular focus has always been on Iran. Over time, there has been a wealth of investigative journalism making plain that the security establishment ignored clear warnings of peril from mid-level intelligence officers and other sources. No less startling, Netanyahu himself got clear warnings from both the United Arab Emirates and Egypt that a major operation was imminent.

记者们上个月写道,阿联酋总统谢赫·穆罕默德·本·扎耶德在9月底告诉内塔尼亚胡,他有关于哈马斯及其袭击以色列计划的可靠情报。(内塔尼亚胡否认了该报道以及有关埃及消息来源警告的类似报道。)

Reporters for wrote last month that Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed, the President of the U.A.E., told Netanyahu in late September that he had reliable intelligence about Hamas and its plans to attack Israel. (Netanyahu has denied the report and similar ones about warnings from Egyptian sources.)