伦敦，10月7日——如果安迪·伯纳姆希望在周四的补选中击退绿党对其工党在全国范围内构成的威胁，他需要赢得像科技工作者丹尼·阿尔比德这样的选民支持——而目前的初步迹象对英国新任首相来说令人鼓舞。
LONDON, Oct 7 - Andy Burnham needs to win over voters like tech worker Dani Arbid in a by-election on Thursday if he is to fend off a national threat to his Labour Party from the Greens — and the early signs are encouraging for Britain's new prime minister.
此次补选旨在填补前首相基尔·斯塔默辞职后在伦敦市中心霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯选区留下的议会席位，也是首次检验伯纳姆能否重振选民对工党的信心。由于加沙战争，工党在左翼选民中的支持率曾大幅下滑。
The vote for a parliamentary seat in the inner London electoral district of Holborn and St Pancras, made vacant by the resignation of former Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is a first test of whether Burnham can restore voters' faith in Labour, which saw its popularity among left-wing voters plunge over the war in Gaza.
许多选民，比如阿尔比德，转而支持了绿党，这帮助绿党在5月的地方选举中取得了历史最佳成绩。阿尔比德表示，他尚未决定将在周四的所谓补选中如何投票，但他对伯纳姆在以色列问题上的强硬立场以及其更宏大的欧盟关系战略表示欢迎。
Many, like Arbid, turned instead to the Greens, helping them to their strongest result ever in local elections in May. Now, he says he is undecided on how he will vote in Thursday's so-called by-election but welcomed Burnham's tougher messaging on Israel and his more ambitious approach to ties with the European Union.
38岁的阿尔比德告诉路透社：“读懂当前局势非常重要，我认为现任工党政府在这方面做得比以前好多了。工党肯定还有机会挽回部分流失的支持者。” 工党有望赢得补选 与全国范围内尼格尔·法拉奇的改革英国党对伯纳姆构成严峻挑战不同，此次补选主要是工党与绿党之间的对决。近几周以来，两党都有数千名活跃分子上街拉票。
"It's very important to read the room, which I think the current Labour government is doing a lot better job at," Arbid, 38, told Reuters. "There is still room for Labour to kind of claw back some of those losses for sure." LABOUR TIPPED TO WIN BY-ELECTION Unlike the national picture, where Nigel Farage's Reform UK poses a serious challenge to Burnham, the by-election is mainly a contest between Labour and the Greens, with thousands of activists from both parties out canvassing in recent weeks.
伯纳姆希望借此表明自己能够巩固左翼中间派选票，从而加强他应对英国右翼分裂局面的努力——目前右翼势力在改革英国党和保守党之间相互分裂。但此次补选也给了他一个机会，可以削弱绿党在新领袖扎克·波兰斯基领导下积累起来的势头。
Burnham hopes to show he can consolidate the left-of-centre vote, strengthening his efforts to take on a British right now split between Reform UK and the Conservatives. But the by-election also offers him a chance to rob the Greens of the momentum they have built up under new leader Zack Polanski.
波兰斯基本人是绿党在霍尔本和圣潘克拉斯选区的候选人，但工党候选人萨加尔·阿卜迪-瓦利——一位地方议会领袖——被看好将守住该席位，继续为执政党效力。
Polanski himself is the Greens' candidate in Holborn and St Pancras but Labour's Sagal Abdi-Wali, a local council leader, is tipped to hold the seat for the governing party.
伦敦部分地区的绿色势力崛起，导致工党在5月的地方选举中遭遇惨败，这一结果也引发了一系列连锁反应，最终于7月20日以斯塔默辞职、伯纳姆接任而告终。
Green gains in areas of London contributed to Labour's dismal local election results in May, which helped set in train a process that culminated on July 20 with Starmer's resignation and his replacement by Burnham.
然而，自那以后，工党在全国民意调查中的支持率有所回升，而绿党则遭遇了挫折。
Since then, however, Labour has rebounded in national opinion polls, while the Greens have suffered setbacks.
在上周末的一次会议上，绿党成员投票将犹太复国主义归类为一种种族主义形式，此举遭到了英国犹太团体、以色列甚至一些绿党议员的批评。身为犹太人的波兰斯基并未参与此次投票。
At a conference last weekend, Green Party members voted to class Zionism as a form of racism, drawing criticism from British Jewish groups, Israel and even some Green lawmakers. Polanski, who is Jewish, did not take part in the vote.
伯纳姆政府采取了更为批判性的对以色列立场，并禁止从西岸定居点进口商品，该政府表示，绿党的做法已经越过了底线。
Burnham's government, which has taken a more critical approach towards Israel and banned the import of goods from West Bank settlements, said the Greens had overstepped a line.
在伦敦的卡姆登高街——一个遍布市场摊位、深受音乐家、艺术家和游客喜爱的地区——当地居民、人工智能从业者卡姆兰·艾哈迈德表示，波兰斯基本可以更好地处理会议中提出的这些问题。
On Camden High Street, an area of London brimming with market stalls and popular with musicians, artists and tourists, Kamran Ahmed, a local resident who works in AI, said Polanski could have managed the issues raised at conference better.
但他也指出，在地方层面，绿党确实带来了一些新东西。这种观点呼应了全国范围内普遍存在的挫败感：曾经占据主导地位的保守党和工党已无法提供有效的解决方案。
But on a local level he said the Greens had something new to offer, echoing frustration heard around the country that the previously dominant Conservative and Labour parties no longer have the answers.
艾哈迈德说：“一切尚未定论，但一些主流政党曾过度承诺却未能兑现……以卡姆登这样的地区为例，绿党提出的那些更具创新性的思路或许能带来好处。”
"Nothing is set in stone, but some of the mainstream parties have over-promised and under-delivered... If you take an area like Camden, it could benefit from some of the fresher thinking that the Green Party offers," Ahmed said.
民意调查机构Survation的负责人达米安·莱昂斯·洛表示，该选区是绿党的主要目标之一，而且政府通常在补选中表现不佳。不过，绿党在5月大获成功的反斯塔默主张，如今正面临伯纳姆的考验。
Damian Lyons Lowe, head of pollster Survation, said the seat was one of the Greens' top targets, and that governments rarely did well at by-elections. But the Greens' anti-Starmer message, which resonated so well in May, was being tested by Burnham.
他向路透社表示：“伯纳姆在一些绿党选民关心的议题上，直接向他们发出了呼吁。”
"Burnham has made direct appeals to Green-minded voters in terms of some of the things they care about," he told Reuters.
“伯纳姆所传递的基调与斯塔默领导的工党政府截然不同，这对绿党来说是个问题。” 路透社
"The Burnham vibe check is very different to the Starmer-led Labour government, and that's a problem for the Green Party." REUTERS