
作者:托比·奥尔德(Toby Alder)亚洲科技股面临压力,因美国芯片制造商股价下跌,而围绕OpenAI收入的猜测再次引发了人们对人工智能支出热潮可持续性的担忧。
By Toby Alder Asian tech stocks are set to come under pressure, tracking a selloff in US chipmakers as speculation over OpenAI’s revenue revived concerns about the sustainability of the artificial-intelligence spending boom.
股指期货显示,科技股占比较大的日本和韩国股市预计将下跌,而澳大利亚股市则有望上涨。在亚洲早盘交易中,美国股指期货小幅走高,此前科技股曾拖累华尔街下跌。纳斯达克100指数下跌1.4%,为七周以来的最差表现,而芯片制造商指数则重挫3.4%。
Equity-index futures pointed to losses in tech-heavy Japan and South Korea, while those for Australia signaled gains. US stock futures edged higher in early Asian trading after technology shares led Wall Street lower. The Nasdaq 100 sank 1.4%, its worst day in seven weeks, while a gauge of chipmakers slumped 3.4%.
此次抛售潮源于《金融时报》的一则报道,称OpenAI的年化收入比此前预期的水平低200亿美元。据知情人士透露,这家ChatGPT开发公司的收入预计约为500亿美元,而此前的报告曾预测接近700亿美元。甲骨文公司(Oracle Corp.)的股价也因一则报道而下跌,该报道称该公司正在向服务器农场运输天然气,以缓解电力瓶颈问题。
The selloff followed a Financial Times report that OpenAI’s annualized revenue was $20 billion below previously signaled levels. The ChatGPT maker is on track for roughly $50 billion, according to people familiar with the matter, versus reports last month of nearly $70 billion. Oracle Corp. also slid on a report it was trucking natural gas to server farms to ease power bottlenecks.
此外,据知情人士透露,由英伟达公司(Nvidia Corp.)支持的澳大利亚数据中心公司Firmus Grid Ltd.计划推迟其首次公开募股(IPO),并正在考虑通过私募融资筹集资金。分析师表示,此举对其他计划上市的数据中心公司而言是一个不祥之兆。
Elsewhere, Firmus Grid Ltd., an Australian data center company backed by Nvidia Corp., is set to postpone its initial public offering, and the company is weighing a private funding round instead, according to people familiar with the matter. The move is an ominous sign for other proposed data center listings, according to analysts.

围绕OpenAI收入的质疑加剧了人们对人工智能支出的担忧,因为不断上升的借贷成本使得向数据中心和计算基础设施投入的巨额资金更难获得合理解释。投资者越来越希望看到证据,证明收入能够跟上开发并运行人工智能模型所需的投资步伐。
The OpenAI revenue questions add to concerns over AI spending as elevated borrowing costs make the vast sums flowing into data centers and computing infrastructure harder to justify. Investors are increasingly looking for evidence that revenue can keep pace with the investment required to develop and run AI models.
米勒塔巴克公司(Miller Tabak)的马特·马利(Matt Maley)表示:“随着借贷成本显著上升,投资者开始对这种大规模的人工智能支出能够持续多久感到有些怀疑。”
“Investors are becoming a bit skeptical about how long this huge AI spending can last with borrowing costs rising in a significant way,” said Matt Maley at Miller Tabak.
然而,市场疲软仍主要集中在科技板块,而非蔓延至更广泛的市场,这凸显了分散投资的优势。标普500指数成分股中超过三分之二上涨,而小盘股基本持平,因为投资者转向防御性板块。
Still, the weakness remained concentrated in technology rather than spreading across the broader market, highlighting the benefits of diversification. More than two-thirds of S&P 500 members advanced, while small-cap shares were little changed as investors rotated toward defensive sectors.
Susquehanna International Group衍生品策略联席主管Chris Murphy表示:“最让我惊讶的是,科技股的抛售仍集中在特定领域,标普500指数成分股中超过三分之二上涨,小盘股也接近持平。生活必需品和波动性较低股票的强势表现表明,市场正在转向防御性板块,而非全面抛售股票。”周四布伦特原油价格飙升后,美国原油价格小幅下跌,因为伊朗再次袭击油轮,可能中断中东地区近期恢复的石油供应。这一全球基准油价上涨超过4%,收于每桶104美元以上。美元汇率保持稳定。
“My biggest surprise is the tech selloff remains concentrated, with more than two-thirds of S&P 500 constituents higher and small caps close to flat,” said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy at Susquehanna International Group. “Strength in staples and low-volatility stocks points to rotation toward defensives rather than broad-based equity selling.”US oil edged lower after Brent surged on Thursday as fresh Iranian tanker attacks threatened to curtail a recent recovery in Middle East flows. The global benchmark jumped over 4% to settle above $104 a barrel. The dollar was steady.
周四,在30年期国债拍卖需求强劲、长期收益率从二十多年来的高点回落之后,美国国债价格继续上涨。总统唐纳德·特朗普表示,在11月3日美国中期选举之前不会再次攻击伊朗,这一言论进一步推动了市场上涨。
Treasuries advanced on Thursday after solid demand at a 30-year debt auction pulled long-dated yields back from more than two-decade highs. The rally extended after President Donald Trump said he would hold off on attacking Iran again until after the US midterm elections on Nov. 3.
这一涨势为持续数月的长期债券抛售提供了短暂喘息。此前,市场担忧伊朗战争将导致能源价格和通胀持续高企,同时政府财政问题也日益引人关注。
The gains provided some respite from a months-long selloff in longer-term debt, fueled by concerns that the Iran war will keep energy prices and inflation elevated, alongside mounting worries over government finances.
然而,利率前景仍面临压力,因为美联储官员暗示未来将进一步收紧货币政策。美联储理事Christopher Waller表示,要控制通胀,可能还需要进一步加息;而圣路易斯联储主席Alberto Musalem则表示,未来六到九个月应逐步加息,但并未支持本月立即行动。
The outlook for rates remained under pressure, however, as Federal Reserve officials signaled more tightening ahead. Governor Christopher Waller said further increases will probably be needed to bring inflation under control, while St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said rates should rise over the next six to nine months without endorsing a move this month.
Musalem周四在纽约举行的彭博活动上表示:“为了及时将通胀率重新降至目标水平,需要采取更紧缩的货币政策。”市场主要动态包括:本报道在彭博自动化(Bloomberg Automation)的协助下完成。
“To bring inflation back to target in a timely manner, more monetary policy firming will be required,” Musalem said Thursday at a Bloomberg event in New York. Some of the main moves in markets: This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.