
新加坡,10月9日 - 周五亚洲股市下滑,有望连续第二周下跌,因投资者担忧高企的能源价格、债市动荡以及为AI投资提供资金所需的巨额资金。
SINGAPORE, Oct 9 - Asian stocks slipped on Friday and were poised for a second straight weekly drop as investors fretted about elevated energy prices, bond market ructions and the huge sums needed to fund AI investment.
受中东战争引发的担忧推高通胀忧虑并导致全球利率上升的影响,布伦特原油期货在亚洲时段报每桶103.70美元,前一交易日大涨逾4%。
Brent crude futures were at $103.70 per barrel in Asian hours after surging more than 4% in the previous session on concerns over the war in the Middle East that has fanned inflation worries and led to higher rates across the globe.
美国总统特朗普周四表示,美国将不会在11月美国中期选举前对伊朗发动攻击,尽管交易员对结束战争取得任何进展仍持怀疑态度。
President Donald Trump said on Thursday that the US will not launch an attack on Iran before November's US midterm elections, although traders remained sceptical of any progress being made to end the war.
ATFX Global首席市场策略师Nick Twidale表示:“市场的大问题是,如果伊朗攻势加剧,特朗普是否会信守承诺。”
"The big question for markets is whether Trump sticks to his word if Iranian attacks intensify," said Nick Twidale, chief market strategist at ATFX Global.
“任何迹象显示白宫正在重新考虑军事行动,都可能导致油价大幅飙升,特别是霍尔木兹海峡的油轮通行已面临巨大压力。”
"Any indication that the White House is reconsidering military action could see oil prices spike sharply higher, particularly with tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz already under significant pressure."
股市方面,MSCI明晟亚太地区(除日本外)股指(.MISX00000PUS)下跌0.16%,本周有望下跌逾1%。韩国和台湾市场因假期休市。日本日经225指数(.N225)下跌逾1%。
In stocks, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MISX00000PUS) was down 0.16%, set for an over 1% drop for the week. Markets in South Korea and Taiwan were closed for a holiday. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) fell more than 1%.
隔夜,科技股拖累华尔街主要股指走低,此前有报道称OpenAI的年化收入比公司此前预示的少了200亿美元,打击了市场情绪。
Tech stocks led Wall Street's main indexes lower overnight after a report that OpenAI's annualised revenue was $20 billion less than the company previously signalled hit sentiment.
Pepperstone研究主管Chris Weston表示:“科技、AI基础设施和半导体板块全线飘绿,OpenAI相关消息似乎成为投资者减持敞口的催化剂。”
"It has been a sea of red across technology, AI infrastructure and semiconductors, with the OpenAI headlines seemingly providing the catalyst for investors to take some exposure off the table," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
他在一份报告中表示:“目前来看,价格走势表明投资者在想要配置的领域上变得更加挑剔,重要的是,他们愿意为未来增长支付什么价格。”
"For now, though, the price action suggests investors are becoming more selective about where they want exposure and, importantly, what price they are prepared to pay for future growth," he said in a note.
AI投资者正权衡一轮大规模融资,预计SpaceX(SPCX.O)、Broadcom(AVGO.O)和Oracle(ORCL.N)将筹集数十亿美元用于购买高端AI芯片。
BOND BINGE FOR AI Investors were also weighing a massive round of fundraising that appears to be on the way, with SpaceX (SPCX.O), Broadcom (AVGO.O) and Oracle (ORCL.N) all expected to raise billions to buy high-end AI chips.
澳大利亚的Firmus是一家由英伟达(NVDA.O)支持的数据中心运营商,因市场波动和条件不佳,搁置了50亿美元的首次公开募股,表示将改为私募融资。
Australia's Firmus, a data centre operator backed by Nvidia (NVDA.O), shelved its $5 billion initial public offering, citing market volatility and conditions, and said it would opt for a private fundraising round instead.
能源成本上升、央行加息预期以及政府债务上升的担忧交织在一起,导致全球债券市场持续抛售数月,借贷成本攀升至数十年最高水平。
A toxic mix of higher energy costs, expectations of central bank interest rate hikes and concerns over rising government debts have fuelled a months-long global bond selloff, pushing borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.
“Saxo首席投资策略师Charu Chanana表示,随着长期收益率回到数十年高位,投资者已无法在低资本成本的环境中为AI增长估值。”
"With long-term yields back around multi-decade highs, investors no longer have the luxury of valuing AI growth in a low-cost-of-capital world," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.
Chanana指出,主权收益率上升以及为AI基础设施融资而增加的企业发行,意味着资本变得“既更昂贵又更挑剔,这使得资产负债表和未来盈利质量成为焦点”。焦点仍在法国法国因投资者审视其债务负担、预算赤字和政治前景而受到特别冲击,尤其是在2027年总统选举前。
Chanana said higher sovereign yields and now rising corporate issuance to fund AI infrastructure mean capital is becoming "both more expensive and more selective, which puts balance sheets and the quality of future earnings firmly in focus." FOCUS REMAINS ON FRANCE France has been hit particularly hard as investors scrutinise its debt load, budget deficit and political outlook ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
ING分析师在报告中称:“由于明年四、五月将进行两轮总统选举,法国债券利差仍将面临超过半年的高波动性和持续的利差上升。”
"With the two rounds of the presidential elections only in April and May next year, French bond spreads are still looking at more than half a year of higher volatility and continued spread elevation," ING analysts said in a note.
美国国债市场因本周稳健的拍卖而稍显平静。基准10年期国债收益率保持在5.226%,但离周三创下的24年最高点仍不远。
US Treasury markets have been calmer as solid auctions this week helped the mood somewhat. The benchmark 10-year yield was steady at 5.226% but was not far from the 24-year high it hit on Wednesday.
ING分析师表示:“这并不意味着债券市场抛售已经结束,但至少暂时让其停顿了下来,至少目前是这样。”
"It does not mean the bond market sell-off is over, but it does at least put it on pause, at least just for now," ING analysts said.
在外汇市场上,美元表现强劲,而欧元则连续第五周走低。目前欧元兑美元汇率为1.122美元,这一水平与本周早些时候因法国债务问题引发的17个月低点基本持平。
In currencies, the dollar stood tall as the euro was set for a fifth straight week in the red. It last fetched $1.122, straddling the 17-month low it touched earlier this week on French debt worries.