一项由Politico与PF Global联合开展的民调显示，超过四分之一在2024年投票给特朗普的选民认为，如果共和党人今年11月与特朗普保持距离，该党在中期选举中胜算会更大。
Over one-fourth of President Trump’s 2024 voters believe Republicans would be more likely to win the midterms if they break away from the president this November, a Politico-PF Global poll found.
在2024年投票给特朗普的受访者中，26%的人表示，如果本选区的共和党候选人与特朗普划清界限，其胜选几率将更高。在具体议题方面，57%的受访者认为共和党人应在伊朗战争问题上与特朗普决裂；61%认为在经济问题上应如此；67%则认为在移民与边境管控问题上也应与特朗普保持距离。
Twenty-six percent of respondents who voted for the president in 2024 said the Republican in their district would have a better chance of winning if they turned their back on Trump. On the issues, 57 percent said Republicans should break with Trump over the Iran war, 61 percent said they should break with him over the economy and 67 percent over immigration and border control.
距离中期选举不到一个月，共和党人正竭力保住一些原本被认为毫无胜算的席位——比如堪萨斯州和爱荷华州的参议院席位。特朗普不高的支持率以及民众对经济状况的不满，都为民主党在这些地区获胜创造了机会。
Less than a month from the midterm elections, Republicans are working to defend seats — like those for Senate in Kansas and Iowa — that were not seen as competitive just a few months ago. Trump’s low approval ratings and discontent with the state of the economy are helping to give Democrats a chance to win in such places.
尽管民调数据表现尚可，但民主党在民众中的受欢迎程度仍未回升。据Decision Desk HQ统计，民主党的好感度仅为43.8%。
Despite the strong poll numbers, Democrats have not regained popularity among Americans. Democrats carry a 43.8 percent favorability rating, according to Decision Desk HQ.
此次民调于10月初开展，共访问了2001名受访者。整体误差幅度为2.2%，针对较小样本群体的误差幅度则更大。
The poll — which surveyed 2001 respondents in early October — carries a 2.2 percent margin of error with larger margins of error for the smaller subgroups.
当被问及如果共和党今年11月能保住众议院与参议院的多数席位，功劳该归于谁时，22%的受访者认为是特朗普作为总统的政绩；29%则认为是民主党竞选不力所致。另有23%的人认为功劳应归于共和党出色的竞选工作，与特朗普无关；26%的受访者则表示不清楚功劳该归谁。
Asked who should get credit if Republicans keep their majorities in the House and Senate this November, 22 percent of respondents said it would be due to Trump’s actions as president while 29 percent said it would be because Democrats’ had run a weak campaign. Twenty-three percent said credit should be given to the fact that Republicans ran strong campaigns and not because of Trump, and 26 percent said they don’t know who should get credit.
民调还显示，44%的受访者称自特朗普去年上任以来，自己的经济状况变得更差或糟糕许多；21%的人则表示情况有所改善或明显好转。
The poll found that 44 percent of respondents said their financial situations have gotten worse or much worse since Trump took office last year, while 21 percent said their situations have gotten better or much better.
59%的受访者表示，自特朗普上任以来，食品杂货、汽油及其他各类开支变得相对或明显更难负担，这一比例中甚至包括了40%计划在2024年投票给特朗普的选民。
Fifty-nine percent of respondents said groceries, gas and other expenses have gotten somewhat or much less affordable since Trump took office, including 40 percent of Trump 2024 voters.