
埃隆·马斯克计划让SpaceX“成为美国主要的移动运营商”,这一消息导致美国三大无线运营商的股价周五大幅下跌,仅上午时段市值就蒸发了超过500亿美元。周四晚间,SpaceX方面表示:“一旦获得美国联邦通信委员会的最终批准,‘星链移动’将采用灵活的架构,把太空中的卫星网络与先进的地面基础设施相结合,从而实现对各类设备的无缝连接。”
Elon Musk’s plan for SpaceX to “become a major mobile carrier in the U.S.” sent shares of the nation’s big three wireless carriers sliding by double digits Friday, wiping out more than $50 billion in market value before lunch. “Once we receive final FCC approval, Starlink Mobile will deploy a flexible architecture combining our satellite-to-mobile constellation in space with an advanced terrestrial deployment that can seamlessly connect devices everywhere,” the company said late Thursday.
该公司还宣布,联邦通信委员会已批准其旗下子公司“星链移动”发射1.5万颗新卫星。周五上午,AT&T与威瑞森的股价均下跌10%,T-Mobile US的股价更是暴跌14%。周五全天,负责运营NBC新闻的康卡斯特公司以及查特通信的股价也持续走低——这两家公司均借助威瑞森的基础设施以自有品牌提供无线服务。
It also announced that the Federal Communications Commission had approved the launch of 15,000 new satellites, also under Starlink Mobile, which is a subsidiary of SpaceX. Shares of AT&T and Verizon both dropped 10% on Friday morning, while T-Mobile US stock plunged 14%. Shares of Charter and of Comcast, the parent company of NBC News, also fell throughout the day Friday. Both companies sell wireless services under their own brands using Verizon’s infrastructure.
此次SpaceX的公告标志着马斯克进一步扩张其全球科技帝国的举措。作为全球首富、也是史上首位万亿富翁,截至周四马斯克的净资产已高达约9900亿美元。目前他的商业版图已涵盖电动汽车制造商特斯拉、社交平台X以及负责建设数据中心与开发人工智能的xAI。SpaceX本身也拥有多条业务线:“星链”为全球企业与个人用户提供高速互联网服务,“星盾”则专门为各国政府提供同类服务。
Musk’s empire expands The announcement from SpaceX marked Musk’s latest step to expand his global tech empire. The world’s richest man and its first-ever trillionaire, Musk’s net worth as of Thursday was about $990 billion. Musk’s constellation of companies already includes electric vehicle maker Tesla, the social media site X and xAI, which builds data centers and develops artificial intelligence. SpaceX includes multiple lines of business, too. Starlink sells high-speed internet to companies and consumers worldwide, while Starshield does the same, but to governments.
其中“星链”是SpaceX最主要的盈利来源,截至周五其估值已达2.2万亿美元。根据最新财报,拥有超过1200万付费用户的“星链”也是SpaceX旗下唯一实现盈利的业务板块。马斯克在社交平台X上写道,此次频谱收购“是让SpaceX能在全美实现手机信号全覆盖所必须的最后一块关键拼图”。SpaceX目前也是美国规模最大的……作为政府承包商,SpaceX负责为NASA及多家国家安全机构制造并发射火箭。政府监管机构的支持性决策以及更多机构合同的签署,对维持SpaceX的高估值至关重要。
But the major money maker for SpaceX is Starlink, which was worth $2.2 trillion as of Friday. With more than 12 million payingrs, Starlink is also the only profitable part of SpaceX’s business, according to its latest earnings report. The acquisition of spectrum was “the last critical piece of the spectrum puzzle needed for SpaceX to provide complete phone coverage in America,” Musk wrote on n X. SpaceX is also a massive U.S. government contractor, building and launching rockets on behalf of NASA and several national security agencies. Favorable decisions by government regulators and additional agency contracts are crucial to maintaining SpaceX’s lofty valuation.
作为唐纳德·特朗普总统的亲密盟友及2024年总统竞选的重要捐助者,马斯克经常受邀出席白宫活动。在最近为中国国家主席习近平举办的国宴上,马斯克便坐在第一夫人梅拉尼娅·特朗普身旁。就在本周,特朗普还为马斯克颁发了科学成就奖。眼下正值11月中期选举,共和党正竭力保住对众议院与参议院的控制权,马斯克再度慷慨解囊,捐出数千万美元予以支持。
White House VIP As a close ally of President Donald Trump and a major donor to his 2024 election effort, Musk is a frequent guest at White House events. At a recent White House state dinner for China’s President Xi Jinping, Musk was seated next to first lady Melania Trump. Just this week, Trump gave Musk an award for achievements in science. As Republicans struggle to hold on to control of the House and Senate in November’s midterm elections, Musk is once again giving tens of millions of dollars to help them.
据《连线》杂志统计并经NBC新闻核实的数据显示,截至本周五,马斯克创立的“美国政治行动委员会”已支出逾3600万美元,用于助力特朗普麾下的共和党候选人赢得关键选区的胜利。
As of Friday, Musk’s America PAC had spent more than $36 million to boost Trump’s fellow Republicans in key battleground races, according to figures compiled by Wired and verified by NBC News.
美国联邦通信委员会主席布伦丹·卡尔似乎也对该交易表示支持。卡尔于周五上午在CNBC节目中表示:“这一切对美国消费者而言都是好消息。”
Musk also appears to have support for his deal already from FCC chairman Brendan Carr. “All of this is going to be really good news for the American consumer,” Carr said Friday morning on CNBC.
不过,外界对此仍存疑虑。华尔街分析师以及星链的潜在竞争对手们对SpaceX的计划持保留态度。摩根大通的分析师指出,若无法与现有无线运营商达成合作,“SpaceX很可能需要建设基于地面基站的网络,才能提供与传统无线运营商相媲美的用户体验”。他们还补充道:“鉴于建设具备竞争力的地面网络需要耗费大量时间、基础设施与资金,我们认为短期内美国现有无线运营商面临的风险有限。”
Skeptics on the street Wall Street analysts and Starlink’s potential competitors were skeptical Friday of the SpaceX plan. Absent a deal with an existing wireless carrier, “SpaceX would likely need to build a terrestrial network using macro towers to deliver a user experience on par with traditional wireless carriers,” wrote analysts at JPMorgan Chase. “We continue to see limited near-term risk to U.S. wireless incumbents given the time, infrastructure and capital required to build a competitive terrestrial network,” they added.
换言之,这些分析师认为,仅靠卫星还不足以提供可靠的无线服务,因此SpaceX的计划短期内并不会对现有运营商构成实质性威胁。
Put another way, the analysts think SpaceX plan’s does not pose an imminent threat to the established carriers because it takes a lot more than just satellites to deliver reliable wireless service.
瑞银集团的分析师指出,SpaceX需要依托地面基础设施来完善其卫星网络,因为该公司购得的无线电频谱很可能无法覆盖部分建筑物的内部区域。“我们依然认为,SpaceX要实现其无线通信领域的宏伟目标尚需时日。”与这些分析师观点一致,那些因马斯克的公告而倍感压力的大型电信企业也纷纷淡化星链服务对其业务可能造成的威胁。
SpaceX would need earth-based infrastructure to bolster its network of satellites because the radio waves it purchased would likely be unable to reach the interior of some buildings, wrote analysts at UBS. “We still believe it will take time for SpaceX to scale its wireless ambitions.”Like the analysts, the major telecom companies feeling the sting from Musk’s announcement also downplayed any risk that Starlink might pose to their businesses.
威瑞森在给NBC新闻的一份声明中称:“仅仅获得频谱资源并不足以构建起能实现全国覆盖、足以与移动运营商抗衡的网络或基础设施。一家企业即便手握价值数十亿美元的频谱资源,若缺乏相应的网络设施加以利用,这些频谱也形同虚设。” 塔移动公司技术部门总裁约翰·索写道:“我对SpaceX在太空领域取得的成就深表钦佩,”不过要搭建起完整的网络系统仍需“多年的技术攻关”。
“Acquisition of spectrum alone does not provide the network or infrastructure to offer true nationwide coverage or to compete with mobile providers,” Verizon said in a statement to NBC News. “A company can have billions of dollars of spectrum, but if they do not have the network to use it, it’s just empty airwaves.”John Saw, president of technology at T-Mobile wrote, “I have tremendous respect for what SpaceX has accomplished in space,” but that building a network would take “years of engineering.”
他在领英上补充道:“频谱资源可以一次性购得,但一个覆盖全国且性能卓越的无线网络却不可能在一夜之间建成。” 美国电话电报公司周五未对置评请求作出回应。这三家大型无线运营商与星链之间的关系颇为微妙。2022年,塔移动曾宣布与SpaceX达成合作伙伴关系,但近期却将该公司的名称从官网部分板块中撤下。
“You can acquire spectrum in a single transaction. You cannot acquire a nationwide, high-performing wireless network overnight,” he wrote on LinkedIn. AT&T did not respond to a request for comment on Friday. The three big wireless companies have a complicated relationship with Starlink. In 2022, T-Mobile announced a partnership with SpaceX, but recently dropped the name of the company from parts of its website.
而就在不久前,这三家企业宣布共同组建合资公司以“消除信号盲区并拓展卫星覆盖范围”,相关公告中却丝毫未提及SpaceX或星链。
And when the three wireless companies announced a joint venture recently to “eliminate coverage ‘dead zones’ and expand satellite coverage,” there was no mention of SpaceX or Starlink.