曼谷——国际货币基金组织周二将日本2026年的经济增长预测上调至0.7%，比7月的预测高出0.1个百分点。
Bangkok – The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its economic growth projection for Japan to 0.7% for 2026, up 0.1 percentage point from its July forecast.
国际货币基金组织的《世界经济展望》报告指出，“财政支持措施部分缓冲了能源价格上涨带来的冲击”。
The IMF’s World Economic Outlook report cited “fiscal support measures partly cushioning the impact from higher energy prices.”
预计日本2027年的经济增长率为0.7%，与7月的预测持平。报告称，随着“能源冲击消退且货币政策逐渐正常化”，明年经济增长将在同一水平趋于稳定。国际货币基金组织将2026年全球经济增长预测上调了0.1个百分点至3.1%，而2027年的预测则维持在3.4%不变。
Japan’s growth rate is expected to be 0.7% in 2027, unchanged from the July forecast. The report said that growth will stabilize at the same level next year “as the energy shock dissipates and monetary policy gradually normalizes.”The IMF raised its global growth projection by 0.1 point to 3.1% for 2026, while its 2027 forecast was left unchanged at 3.4%.
报告称，“全球经济活动再次证明了自身的韧性”，因为对人工智能的大力投资有助于减轻地缘政治驱动的混乱所造成的损害。
“Global economic activity has proven resilient once again” because strong investment in artificial intelligence has helped mitigate the damage from geopolitics-driven disruptions, the report said.
然而，报告指出，“风险倾向于下行”。中东局势的进一步升级可能会对经济增长造成压力，而对人工智能相关盈利能力和生产力前景的重新评估可能会大幅减少投资。
However, the report said that “risks are skewed to the downside.”A further escalation in the Middle East will likely weigh on growth, and a reassessment of AI-related profitability and productivity prospects could sharply reduce investment, it said.