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国会山报

选举预测人士目前并未发现民主党担心的民调“虚假兴奋”Election forecasters don’t see polling ‘sugar-high’ Democrats fear — for now

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民调机构和独立选举预测人士越来越确信,民主党并未在民调中经历人为制造的“虚假兴奋”,而多项指标目前都指向该党将迎来有利的中期选举环境。

Pollsters and independent handicappers are increasingly convinced that Democrats aren’t experiencing an artificial “sugar-high” in polling but that multiple metrics are right now pointing to a good midterm environment for the party.

本周,无党派选举预测机构《库克政治报告》成为最新一家预测共和党可能失去……的独立机构。

The nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report became the latest independent forecaster this week in predicting that Republicans looked poised to lose the…