在周四公布的民调结果中，民主党候选人凯特·康利（Cait Conley）在纽约州第17国会选区的众议员竞选中以两个百分点的优势，小幅领先现任共和党众议员迈克·劳勒（Mike Lawler）。爱默生学院（Emerson College）与PIX11联合进行的调查显示，该选区约48%的潜在选民支持康利，而46%的选民支持这位共和党议员。
Democratic candidate Cait Conley inched ahead of incumbent Rep. Mike Lawler (R) in New York’s 17th Congressional District House race, up two percentage points in polling results released Thursday. The Emerson College and PIX11 survey found around 48 percent of likely voters in the district supported Conley, while 46 percent backed the Republican lawmaker.
距离11月大选还有不到五周时间，其余受访者尚未做出决定。值得注意的是，这位民主党候选人的领先优势处于该民调近5%的误差范围内。调查发现，自2024年10月以来，劳勒在其选区选民中的好感度略有下降。在9月份的调查中，有10%的受访者表示“从未听说过”他们的国会议员。劳勒于2022年首次当选为纽约州第17选区的代表，该选区包括该州南部的哈德逊河谷下游地区。
The remaining respondents were still undecided less than five weeks out from the November election. The Democrat's lead notably fell within the poll’s almost 5 percent margin of error. The survey found a slight decrease in Lawler’s favorability among voters in his district since October 2024. Ten percent of respondents in the September survey said they had “never heard of” their congressman. Lawler was first elected to represent New York’s 17th District in 2022, which includes the lower Hudson Valley in the southern part of the state.
这位共和党人在竞选活动中大力宣传其立法记录，包括他对比特朗普总统的《一个伟大而美丽的法案》（One Big Beautiful Bill Act）的支持。康利是一位退役陆军战斗老兵，她的竞选纲领包括降低医疗成本、禁止国会议员进行股票交易以及限制能源价格上涨。在本周早些时候由长岛News12主办的一场辩论中，两位候选人就联邦移民执法行动、数据中心以及特朗普政府与加拿大等贸易伙伴之间的关税争端展开了交锋。
The Republican has touted his legislative record on the campaign trail, including his support for President Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Conley, a retired Army combat veteran, has campaigned on lowering healthcare costs, banning stock trading for members of Congress and placing restrictions on energy rate increases. In a debate earlier this week hosted by News12 in Long Island, the two candidates sparred over federal immigration enforcement operations, data centers and the Trump administration’s tariff fights with trading partners like Canada.
在候选人就美国对以色列援助问题进行的一场激烈辩论中，劳勒辩称，这种财政支持符合美国及其在该地区驻军的利益。他还反驳了辩论中对以色列在加沙行动的批评，称“他们没有实施种族灭绝”。爱默生民调显示，52%的受访者表示反对美国对伊朗采取军事行动，其中包括83%的民主党人、15%的共和党人和44%的独立选民。
In one heated exchange between the candidates over a question on American aid to Israel, Lawler argued that this financial support is in the interest of the U.S. and its troops in the region. He also pushed back against criticism of Israel’s actions in Gaza during the debate, saying, “They have not committed a genocide.”A majority of respondents in the Emerson poll, 52 percent, said they opposed the U.S. military operations against Iran — including 83 percent of Democrats, 15 percent of Republicans and 44 percent of independent voters.
该民调还询问了该选区的选民关于纽约目前面临的首要问题。31%的受访者认为是经济状况，23%的人回答是“对民主的威胁”，13%的人指出是移民问题，12%的人选择了住房负担能力问题。此次调查于9月27日至29日进行，受访者为400名可能投票的选民，误差幅度约为4.9个百分点。PIX11由Nexstar拥有，该公司同时也拥有《国会山报》。
The poll also asked voters in the district about the top issue facing New York. Thirty-one percent named economic conditions, while 23 percent answered with “threats to democracy,” 13 percent indicated immigration issues and 12 percent selected housing affordability concerns. The survey was conducted from Sept. 27 to 29 among 400 likely voters with a margin of error of approximately 4.9 percentage points. PIX11 is owned by Nexstar, which also owns The Hill.