
波黑实行的是波黑战争结束后建立的治理体系 —— 那是30多年前的事了。民族分歧、复杂的行政架构以及欧洲一体化进程,共同塑造了该国的政治现实。
Bosnia-Herzegovina is governed by a system established after the Bosnian war — more than 30 years ago. Ethnic divisions, a complex administration and European integration all shape the country's political reality.
1984年冬奥会主办城市萨拉热窝,在90年代中期的波黑战争中遭受了长达四年的围困。说波黑是个“复杂”的国家,简直是轻描淡写。这个位于巴尔干半岛的国家,将经济、行政和政治职责在多民族中央政府、自治的中立布尔奇科区,以及两个半自治实体之间进行划分,后两者在很大程度上独立运作 —— 波黑穆斯林-克罗地亚族联邦和塞族共和国。
这两个半自治实体进一步细分为若干州和社区:联邦中西部地区主要居住着波什尼亚克人和波黑克罗地亚人,而位于北部和东部的塞族共和国则以波黑塞尔维亚人为主。
Sarajevo, host of the 1984 Winter Olympics, was under siege for four years during the Bosnian war in the mid 1990s To call Bosnia-Herzegovina a complicated country is an understatement. The country in the Balkan Peninsula divides its economic, administrative and political responsibilities between the multiethnic central government, the self-governing neutral Brcko district and two semi-autonomous entities that, for the most part, operate independently — the Muslim-Croat Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina and the Serb-run Republika Srpska Both semi-autonomous entities are further split into several cantons and communities, home to mostly Bosniaks and Bosnian Croats in the central-western federation and Bosnian Serbs in Republika Srpska, to the north and east.
这种民族主义原则是该国核心宪法和政治架构的关键。波黑宪法承认以穆斯林为主的波什尼亚克人、以东正教为主的波黑塞尔维亚人、以及以天主教为主的波黑克罗地亚人为“构成民族”,享有平等权利。
This principle of ethnic nationalism is key to the country's central constitutional and political organization. The Bosnian constitution recognizes Bosniaks, who are predominantly Muslim, the largely Orthodox Bosnian Serbs and primarily Catholic Bosnian Croats as "constituent peoples" with equal rights.
如今,该国人口约310万。其中约半数为波什尼亚克人,31%为塞尔维亚人,15%为克罗地亚人。其余居民属于17个官方承认的少数民族之一(如罗姆人、犹太人),或在最近一次官方人口普查中选择不表明民族身份。波斯尼亚语、克罗地亚语和塞尔维亚语均被承认为官方语言。
Today, the country has a population of around 3.1 million people. Around half are Bosniaks, while 31% are Serb and 15% are Croat. The rest of the inhabitants belong either to one of the 17 officially recognized minorities, like the Roma Jews or chose not to identify with any ethnicity at the last official census. Bosnian, Croatian and Serbian are all recognized as official languages.
中央政府由三人轮值主席团领导,分别由三个主要构成民族各派出一名代表组成。议会上议院和关键政府职位也遵循这一原则进行分配。
The central government is led by rotating three-way presidency made up of one representative from each of the three main constituent groups. The upper house of parliament and key government offices are also divided according to this principle.
这三个群体之间的严格平衡在政治和社会层面始终得以维持,这往往导致族群利益和政治僵局主导决策过程。
This strict balance between the three groups is always maintained, both politically and socially, often leading to ethnic interests and political gridlock dominating the decision-making process.
代顿和平协议终结战火这一复杂、繁琐且常显机能失调的架构,是在1995年《代顿和平协议》期间建立并写入宪法的。其初衷是终结波黑战争——该战争由20世纪90年代初南斯拉夫解体引发——并以法律形式确保三个敌对族群间的权力平衡。
Dayton Peace Accords brought an end to war This complex, convoluted and oft dysfunctional structure was set up during the 1995 Dayton Peace Accords and then anchored in the constitution. It was intended to bring an end to the Bosnian war — sparked by the breakup of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s — and legally secure the balance of power between the three feuding ethnic groups.
战争期间(1992年至1995年),波什尼亚克人(波黑穆斯林)和波黑克罗地亚人的武装力量最初相互交战,随后三方全面冲突。后来,波什尼亚克人和波黑克罗地亚人联手对抗塞族共和国。整个战争期间,邻国塞尔维亚和克罗地亚深度卷入战事。
During the war, from 1992 to 1995, the armed forces of the Bosniaks and the Bosnian Croats initially fought each other, before all three groups began to clash. Later, the Bosniaks and the Bosnian Croats joined forces to take on Republika Srpska. Throughout the war, neighboring Serbia and Croatia were actively involved in the fighting.
波黑:斯雷布雷尼察大屠杀30周年观看视频 ,以及 战火摧毁了全国大片领土,酿成无数战争罪行——其中包括长达近四年的萨拉热窝围城战,以及塞尔维亚武力杀害数千名波什尼亚克人的斯雷布雷尼察种族灭绝事件。
Bosnia-Herzegovina: 30 years after Srebrenica massacre To view this video , and The fighting devastated wide swaths of the country, and resulted in countless war crimes — among them the nearly four-year siege of Sarajevo and the Srebrenica genocide in which thousands of Bosniaks were killed at the hands of Serb forces.
战争结束时,约有10万人丧生。另有220万人因所谓的“种族清洗”流离失所,被驱逐出家园,被迫逃往其他社区或国外。
By the end of the war, some 100,000 people had been killed. A further 2.2 million were displaced by so-called "ethnic cleansing," forced from their homes by expulsions and violence to flee to other communities or abroad.
直到国际社会,特别是美国,加大介入力度,战斗才告终止,最终于1995年11月在俄亥俄州代顿附近的一处军事基地达成和平协议。
The fighting only ended after the international community, especially the United States, stepped up its involvement, culminating in the peace deal agreed at a military base near Dayton, Ohio in November 1995.
国际监督——必要之举,抑或早已过时?尽管自《代顿协议》签署以来,波黑在国际舞台上获得认可,并在联合国拥有席位,但该国实际上仍仅处于半独立状态。
International oversight — essential, or no longer relevant? Although Bosnia-Herzegovina has been recognized on the international stage since theg of the Dayton agreement, and is also represented at the United Nations, the country itself is still, in effect, only partially independent.
波黑高级代表办公室是一个负责监督《代顿协议》民事层面执行情况的国际机构,自1995年联合国安理会决议通过以来一直存在。
The Office of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, an international institution responsible for overseeing the civilian aspects of the Dayton agreement, has been in place since a UN Security Council resolution in 1995.
高级代表——德国的克里斯蒂安·施密特担任该职务直到今年6月,目前由美国的路易斯·J·克里肖克代理——拥有广泛权力。他可以解职民选官员、通过法律、设立新的政府机构,并推翻该国所有民主机构的决定。
high representative— Christian Schmidt of Germany until this past June, and currently filled by acting head Louis J. Crishock of the US — has sweeping powers. He can dismiss elected officials, pass laws, establish new government agencies and overrule all the country's democratic institutions.
《代顿和平协议》签署30年后 这种权力常被称为“波恩权力”,因为它们是在1997年12月德国波恩举行的和平执行委员会会议上协商确定的。从2002年到2011年,高级代表同时也担任欧盟驻波黑特别代表。
The Dayton Peace Agreement 30 years on This authority is often referred to as the Bonn Powers, as they were negotiated during a meeting of the Peace Implementation Council in Bonn, Germany in December 1997. From 2002 to 2011, the high representative also acted as the EU special representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina.
近年来,关于该办公室是否仍具相关性的讨论很多。支持者认为,高级代表仍是该国统一和运作的必要担保人。但批评者指出,这对波黑的民主文化产生了负面影响,使该国沦为事实上的保护国,在一定程度上让当地政客摆脱了对其行为负责的责任。
In recent years, there's been much discussion over whether the office is still relevant. Supporters have said the high representative remains a necessary guarantor of the country's unity and functionality. But critics have pointed out the negative impact on Bosnia-Herzegovina's democratic culture, turning the country into a de facto protectorate that, to an extent, frees local politicians of responsibility for their actions.
分离主义野心再度浮现 最尖锐的批评来自塞族共和国及其最具影响力的领导人多迪克。多迪克担任塞族实体总理和总统直到2025年,他将该办公室及其为统一的波黑提供的国际支持视为其分离主义野心的障碍。
Separatist ambitions surface once more The sharpest criticism has come from the Republika Srpska and Milorad Dodik, its most influential leader Dodik, in office as prime minister and president of the Serb entity until 2025, views the office and the international backing it provides for a unified Bosnia-Herzegovina as an obstacle to his separatist ambitions.
在塞尔维亚首都贝尔格莱德、莫斯科以及特朗普政府的强烈支持下,米洛拉德·多迪克(Milorad Dodik)一直在探索多种方案,试图将他的“塞尔维亚共和国”(Republika Srpska)从波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那分离出来。多迪克及其领导的塞尔维亚共和国政治精英认为,波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那是一个高度中央集权的、单一制的国家结构,这种结构严重损害了波斯尼亚塞尔维亚人的独立性和主权。
With strong support from the Serbian capital, Belgrade, Moscow — and, increasingly, the Trump administration — Dodik has flirted with several different scenarios to split his Republika Srpska from Bosnia-Herzegovina. In his interpretation, and that of Republika Srpska's political elite, Bosnia-Herzegovina is highly centralized and unitary, which undermines the independence and sovereignty of the Bosnian Serbs.
米洛拉德·多迪克(右图:2025年4月与弗拉基米尔·普京会面)继续与俄罗斯保持密切关系;波斯尼亚的克罗地亚族政治代表们也持有类似的观点。虽然他们并不打算分离,但他们试图从萨拉热窝的中央政府手中争取更多的自治权,其中一个手段就是建立第三个克罗地亚族自治实体。值得注意的是,这一计划也得到了邻国克罗地亚政府的支持——克罗地亚希望借此推动地区的整合。
目前,与欧盟建立更紧密的关系被视为解决波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那当前经济与政治困境的潜在途径;这一“欧洲一体化进程”得到了该国所有相关政治力量的官方支持。
Milorad Dodik (right, seen here meeting with Vladimir Putin in April 2025), continues to foster a close relationship with Russia A similar sentiment prevails among the political representatives of Bosnia's Croats. Although they aren't considering separation, they are trying to squeeze more independence from the central government in Sarajevo— not least with the creation of a third, Croatian, entity. The plan, incidentally, also has the support of the government in neighboring EU member Croatia EU support aims to 'foster regional integration' A potential path out of the current economic and political paralysis is rapprochement with the European Union— the "European perspective," as it's called in Bosnia-Herzegovina, officially supported by all the relevant political actors.
波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那于2016年正式提交了加入欧盟的申请,欧盟理事会于2024年初批准了谈判的启动。然而,加入欧盟的实际进程仍取决于该国能否先完成一系列改革,尤其是在法治建设、打击腐败、打击有组织犯罪以及提升国家机构运作效率等方面。
Bosnia-Herzegovina formally submitted its application for EU membership in 2016, and the European Council gave the green light for negotiations to begin in early 2024. But the actual start of membership talks hinges on the prior implementation of numerous reforms, notably in the areas of rule of law, fighting corruption, the prosecution of organized crime and the functionality of state institutions.
欧盟扩张:谁在拖延?谁在积极推进?下一个加入欧盟的国家会是谁?
EU enlargement: Who's slowing? Who's advancing? Who's next?
自2007年以来,欧盟一直在财政上支持波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那,作为其加入欧盟前的援助措施之一。该国预计还将从欧盟委员会为西巴尔干地区制定的经济与投资计划中受益。该计划旨在“促进区域一体化”;然而,由于塞族共和国持续存在的分离主义言论和政策,对该地区的基础设施投资已被部分暂停。
The EU has been financially supporting Bosnia-Herzegovina since 2007 in the framework of pre-accession assistance, and the country is also expected to benefit from the European Commission's Economic and Investment Plan for the Western Balkans. The plan aims to "foster regional integration" — and as a result, infrastructure funding for the Republika Srpska has been partially suspended due to its ongoing separatist rhetoric and policies.