据分析人士指出，面对日益增大的政治压力，印度尼西亚总统普拉博沃·苏比安托试图将潜在的政敌纳入自己的核心圈子。为此，他任命了来自政界各派别的颇具影响力的人物加入总统顾问委员会。
Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto is seeking to keep potential rivals in his inner circle as he faces growing political pressure by appointing influential figures from across the political establishment to a presidential advisory council, according to analysts.
该委员会负责就政府政策方向向总统提供建议，但并无制定或掌控政策的权力。其成员包括历任总统的盟友、政治评论员以及穆斯林领袖。
The council, which advises the president on the direction of government policy but has no power to set or control it, comprises allies of former presidents, political commentators and Muslim leaders.
印度尼西亚调查研究所的政治分析人士约斯·凯纳瓦斯表示：“这些人都具备影响力、人脉资源以及大批追随者。将他们留在普拉博沃的势力范围内，能让他安心不少——因为这些人不太可能在圈外组织起反对力量。”
“These are figures who have influence, connections and mass followings. By keeping them in Prabowo’s orbit, Prabowo can feel a bit more at ease that no opposition is being built outside through these figures,” said Yoes Kenawas, a political analyst with the Indonesian Survey Institute.
上周五，普拉博沃任命了26名政治人物、民间社会代表、穆斯林领袖、商界人士及活动家加入该委员会。自2024年10月就任总统以来，该委员会一直处于空缺状态。
On Friday, Prabowo designated 26 political figures, civil society representatives, Muslim leaders, businessmen and activists to the council, which had been vacant since he became president in October 2024.
此前，普拉博沃已设立了一个由10名成员组成的特别顾问委员会，负责就政治、安全、国防、能源、劳工、卫生及朝觐事务向他提供建议。
Prabowo already has a separate board of special advisers whose 10 members counsel him on matters including politics, security, defence, energy, labour, health and haj.
周四进行的内阁改组使得这一举措更具重要意义：尽管部分与前总统佐科·维多多关系密切的人士被任命为顾问委员会成员，但他们却纷纷被调离政府要职。
The move has taken on added significance after Thursday’s cabinet reshuffle, which saw several figures linked to former president Joko Widodo move out of key government positions even though some of them were appointed to the council.
普拉提克诺便是其中之一，他担任顾问委员会主席。在佐科连任两届总统期间，他曾担任部长职务；在普拉博沃执政后，他又出任统筹人类发展与文化部长。此次内阁改组中，他的职位被前外交部长苏吉奥诺接替。
One such member is Pratikno, who chairs the council. He previously served as a minister during Widodo’s two-term presidency and as Prabowo’s coordinating human development and culture minister, and was replaced by former foreign minister Sugiono in the cabinet reshuffle.
另一位与佐科关系密切的人士穆罕默德·科达里也获任命为该委员会秘书，此前他曾担任普拉博沃政府的新闻传播机构负责人。
Muhammad Qodari, another ally of Widodo, was appointed as the council’s secretary after having worked as head of Prabowo’s Government Communications Agency.
该委员会的副主席哈塔·拉贾萨是前总统苏西洛·班邦·尤多约诺的姻亲，曾在尤多约诺执政期间担任交通部长及经济事务协调部长等多个职务。
The council’s vice-chairman, Hatta Rajasa, is an in-law of former president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, under whom he served as minister of several different portfolios, including transport and coordinating economic affairs.
普拉博沃还任命了前总统梅加瓦蒂·苏加诺普特里的亲信助手布迪·古纳万进入委员会。古纳万此前曾担任内阁政治与安全事务协调部长。
Prabowo also recruited Budi Gunawan, a close aide of former president Megawati Sukarnoputri and former coordinating minister of politics and security affairs in his cabinet, to the council.
其他委员会成员还包括知名政治评论员罗基·格龙、作为佐科威妹夫的原宪法法院院长安瓦尔·乌斯曼、著名穆斯林学者库莱什·希哈布、前总统阿卜杜勒-拉赫曼·瓦希德的遗孀辛塔·努里耶·瓦希德，以及印尼最大穆斯林组织“伊斯兰教士联合会”的前领导人赛义德·阿基尔·西拉杰。
The other council members include vocal political commentator Rocky Gerung, former Constitutional Court chief justice Anwar Usman, who is Widodo’s brother-in-law, prominent Muslim scholar Quraish Shihab, Sinta Nuriyah Wahid, widow of former president Abdurrahman Wahid, and Said Aqil Siradj, former leader of Nahdlatul Ulama, the country’s largest Muslim group.
格龙表示，该委员会不会就“技术性”问题向普拉博沃提供建议，而是就“道德层面”的问题提供意见，成员们将“就政府政策的方向进行研讨，以确保其符合总统的愿景”。
Gerung said the council would not advise Prabowo on “technical” issues but rather on “ethical” matters, whereby its members would “provide deliberations regarding the direction of the government policies to ensure they align with the president’s vision”.
“总统顾问委员会的成员需要像监督委员会那样，对共和国的未来进行深思、评估，甚至畅想一番，”格龙周五对记者说道。
“Members of the Presidential Advisory Council need to contemplate, evaluate and even fantasise about the future of the republic, like some kind of an oversight committee,” Gerung told reporters on Friday.
据格龙介绍，该委员会还肩负着“引导公众认知，使其与总统的理念保持一致”的职责。
According to Gerung, the council would also be responsible for “shaping public perception so that they align with the president’s perception”.
尤斯指出，普拉博沃选择这些人士入阁，部分原因在于其民众支持率出现下滑。
Yoes said Prabowo’s choice of appointments was due in part to his falling public support levels.
“与去年相比，普拉博沃目前的支持率显著下降。因此，他必须将这些精英人士纳入自己的影响力范围。”据萨伊富尔·穆贾尼研究与咨询公司的一项调查显示，今年8月普拉博沃的支持率降至51.1%，而去年11月这一数值为81.2%。
“Prabowo is currently experiencing a significant drop in his approval rating compared with last year. Therefore, he needs to bring these elites under his sphere of influence.”In August, Prabowo’s approval rating declined to 51.1 per cent, down from 81.2 per cent in November, according to a survey by pollster Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting.
该调查还显示，普拉博沃的潜在当选率仅为14.5%，落后于西爪哇省省长德迪·穆利亚迪——后者获得了35%受访者的青睐。
Prabowo’s electability was at 14.5 per cent, behind West Java Governor Dedi Mulyadi, who was preferred by 35 per cent of the survey respondents, the pollster said.
印度尼西亚国家研究与创新署的政治研究员瓦西斯托·拉哈尔乔·贾蒂指出，该委员会的组成情况反映出普拉博沃正因自身政策遭到批评而倍感压力。
Wasisto Raharjo Jati, a political researcher at the Indonesian National Research and Innovation Agency, said that the council’s composition showed that Prabowo was feeling pressure over criticisms of his policies.
普拉博沃在多次演讲中，将批评者、学者、专家及记者称作“外国傀儡”“黑皮肤外国人”或“愚蠢之徒”。
Prabowo has repeatedly labelled critics, academics, experts and journalists as “foreign stooges”, “black foreigners” or “stupid” in his speeches.
“总统意识到自己批评专家的做法是个失误，因此才任命他们进入政府。虽然他本人并非每天都直接关注社交媒体，但总统府内有人专门负责监测网上的讨论内容以及民众对总统言论的反应，”瓦西斯托说道。
“The president realised there was a blunder when he criticised [experts]. That’s why he appointed them to the government. While he doesn’t directly monitor social media every day, there are elements within the palace who monitor social media conversations and reactions to the president’s statements,” Wasisto said.
瓦西斯托还指出，尽管该委员会由总统直接任命，但作为总统府内的“非建制性机构”，它“并不具备战略层面的地位”。
While appointed directly by the president, as a “non-structural institution” within the presidential palace, the council “does not hold a strategic position”, Wasisto said.
“该委员会无权掌控政策或项目，仅仅是一个咨询机构，其提供的信息仅供总统参考，”他补充道。
“The council doesn’t control policy or programmes. It’s merely a consultative body whose information is reserved exclusively for the president,” he said.
普拉博沃近期的一系列人事变动引发了外界对其与佐科维关系的质疑，因为多位普拉博沃的亲信均被边缘化。
Prabowo’s latest political shake-ups have raised questions about his ties with Widodo, as several of his loyalists have been set aside.
虽然部分佐科维的盟友加入了该咨询委员会，但在周四的内阁改组中，普拉博沃又将另一位佐科维的忠实支持者——警察总长利斯蒂奥·西吉特·普拉博沃调任为总统幕僚长。
While some of Widodo’s allies have joined the advisory council, Prabowo has reassigned police chief Listyo Sigit Prabowo, another Widodo loyalist, to the presidential chief of staff in Thursday’s cabinet reshuffle.
“这或许说明，随着佐科维开始展开政治布局，普拉博沃内心缺乏安全感。如今佐科维已是印尼团结党成员，他还走访了包括东努沙登加拉地震灾区在内的多个地区，”印尼战略与国际问题研究中心的政治研究员尼基·法赫里扎尔在提及佐科维的昵称时说道。
“It could mean that Prabowo was feeling insecure as Jokowi began his political manoeuvres. Jokowi is now a member of the Indonesian Solidarity Party, and he has visited some regions, including the earthquake-affected areas in East Nusa Tenggara,” said Nicky Fahrizal, a political researcher with the Centre for Strategic and International Studies Indonesia, referring to Widodo’s nickname.
“尽管佐科维麾下的核心人物被调离了内阁，但他们并未遭到冷落，反而仍受到重用，”法赫里扎尔说道。
“Even though Jokowi’s key figures were removed [from the cabinet], they weren’t discarded. They were still embraced,” said Fahrizal.
据尤斯分析，若普拉博沃政府大规模罢免佐科维的亲信，无异于“向佐科维宣战”，这可能对普拉博沃而言“十分危险”。
According to Yoes, a sweeping dismissal of Jokowi’s loyalists from Prabowo’s administration is akin to “an open war with Jokowi”, which could be “dangerous for Prabowo”.
“对普拉博沃来说，要与佐科维划清界限相当困难，因为他的支持率正在下滑。任何公开反对普拉博沃的政治精英都能轻易集结所有不满他的力量，”尤斯说道。
“For Prabowo, it is quite difficult to separate himself from Jokowi because his approval rating is dropping. A political elite who is openly opposed to Prabowo can easily consolidate all voices that don’t like Prabowo,” Yoes said.
周四，佐科维对记者表示，内阁改组属于“普拉博沃总统的职权范围”。
On Thursday, Widodo told reporters that the cabinet reshuffle was “President Prabowo’s prerogative authority”.
“利斯蒂·西吉特担任国家警察总长已五年零八个月，因此现在是时候换人了，”他补充道。
“Listyo Sigit has served as national police chief for five years and eight months, so it’s time [for him to be replaced],” he said.