中欧需要改革以提振放缓的增长潜力,国际货币基金组织称布达佩斯,10月6日 - 随着人口压力日益加剧以及中国出口带来的挑战日益增加,中东欧国家需要进行改革以提振经济增长,国际货币基金组织地区代表周二在一场由财经新闻网站portfolio.hu组织的会议上表示。
Central Europe needs reforms to boost slowing growth potential, IMF says BUDAPEST, Oct 6 - Central and eastern European countries need reforms to boost economic growth amid mounting demographic pressures and a rising challenge from Chinese exports, the International Monetary Fund's regional representative said on Tuesday.
中东欧地区的中期经济增长前景在加入欧盟前的约5%下降至2026年的平均2.5%,卡洛斯·穆拉斯-格拉纳多斯如是说。
The medium-term economic growth outlook for the CEE region has fallen to an average 2.5% by 2026 from around 5% before they joined the European Union, Carlos Mulas-Granados told a conference organised by financial news website portfolio.hu.
“增长前景不容乐观。缩小与西欧的差距(实现趋同)所需的时间要长得多,”他说。
"The growth outlook is less favourable. The time it takes to close the convergence gap (to western Europe) is much longer," he said.
“如果该地区不提升其增长潜力,就不能指望它在未来几年保持快速增长。而且这不会很容易。”他表示,该地区对欧盟经济增长的贡献在2020年至2026年间已从新冠疫情前的30%下降至27%,这部分原因是德国——中欧的主要贸易伙伴——出口前景走弱。
"You cannot expect the region to grow as fast in the next years if it doesn't increase its growth potential. And that's not going to be easy." He said the region's contribution to the European Union's economic growth has fallen to 27% between 2020 and 2026 from 30% before the COVID-19 pandemic, driven in part by weakening export prospects in Germany, central Europe's main trading partner.
穆拉斯-格拉纳多斯表示,中东欧应继续将贸易多元化作为增长引擎,通过提高青年、女性和老年工人的劳动力市场参与度来应对人口下降,并加速人工智能创新和准备。
Mulas-Granados said CEE should continue to diversify trade as a growth engine, address demographic decline through higher labour market participation among young, female and elderly workers, and accelerate AI innovation and preparedness.
他还称,该地区国家应将能源、气候和国防部门转变为新的增长引擎,而不是主要依赖美国或韩国供应商进行设备采购,因为国防领域支出正在增长。
He also said countries in the region should transform their energy, climate and defence sectors into new growth engines instead of relying mainly on US or South Korean suppliers for equipment procurement amid growing defence sector spending.
穆拉斯-格拉纳多斯补充称,欧盟的下一轮预算也可能为该地区提供转变增长模式的机会。
Mulas-Granados added that the EU's next budget could also give the region an opportunity to transform its growth model.