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彭博社

收益率飙升冲击亚洲债券销售,人工智能融资落后于美国Surging Yields Hit Asian Bond Sales as AI Fundraising Trails US

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亚太地区的借款人正在放缓美元债券市场的交易,两年多来的最高收益率削弱了交易动力。

Borrowers in the Asia Pacific are slowing deals in the dollar bond market, with the highest yields in more than two years sapping deal momentum.

彭博社编制的数据显示,本月迄今为止,该地区尚未有发行人在银团市场上出售过美元债券,第三季度的债券销售额下降了10%,至约880亿美元。最近全球政府债券抛售使各地区的公司更难进行交易。

No issuer from the region has sold a bond in the US currency so far this month in the syndicated market, and debt sales in the third quarter slumped 10% to about $88 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. A recent global selloff in government bonds has made it harder for companies across regions to proceed with deals.

亚洲市场与人工智能热潮相关的产品较少,人工智能热潮推动了美国的发行。Alphabet Inc.和Amazon.com Inc.第三季度,每家公司在国内市场的IPO定价均为250亿美元,这是此类巨额筹款热潮中的最新一起。

The Asian market has had fewer offerings tied to the AI boom, which has driven issuance in the US. Alphabet Inc. and Amazon.com Inc. each priced offerings of $25 billion in their home market in the third quarter, the latest in a spree of such jumbo fundraisings.

亚洲银行家和投资者预计,第四季度的交易量将与2025年同期持平或下降,当时交易量约为400亿美元,此前该地区美元票据收益率本周早些时候触及6.1%,为2024年以来的最高水平。数据显示,对收益率持续走高对公司盈利影响的担忧也开始扰乱全球二级信贷市场的相对平静,利差于本月早些时候扩大至4月份以来的最大水平。

Bankers and investors in Asia expect deal volumes in the fourth quarter to be flat or down compared with the same period in 2025, when they were about $40 billion, after yields on the region’s dollar notes touched 6.1% earlier this week, the highest since 2024. Concern about the impact from sustained higher yields on company earnings is also starting to disrupt the relative calm in secondary credit markets globally, with spreads widening to their most since April earlier this month, the data show.

巴克莱银行亚洲债券辛迪加主管德鲁夫·塞加尔(Dhruv Saigal)在接受采访时表示:“只有拥有必须融资的人才会进入市场。”“如果借款人有时间,你就会希望看到利率和市场状况稳定。”根据彭博社汇编的数据,第三季度亚太地区出售的美元计价债券中,日本发行人占近40%。印度和韩国发行人排名第二和第三,分别占成交量的16%和15%。数据显示,中国大陆的成交量在房地产市场崩溃前曾是市场的支柱,但跌至第五位,略低于7%。

“It’s only folks that have must-do financing that will come to market,” said Dhruv Saigal, head of Asia bond syndicate at Barclays in an interview. “If borrowers have time on their hands, you would want to see rates and market conditions stabilize.”Japanese issuers accounted for almost 40% of dollar-denominated bonds sold from the Asia Pacific in the third quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Indian and South Korean issuers ranked second and third, accounting for 16% and 15% of the volume respectively. Deals from mainland China, once the mainstay of the market before its housing market meltdown, slumped to fifth place at just under 7%, the data show.

巴克莱(Barclays)的Saigal表示:“我们看到日本供应量的增加,很大程度上是因为在岸利率在相当低的水平后飙升至历史高位.”他还提到日本企业投资的增加.彭博社(Bloomberg)的一项指数显示,以日元计价的公司债券的平均收益率徘徊在2.8%左右,接近25年多来的最高水平。这意味着,对于一些发行人来说,在美元市场上筹集资金是可能的,在将所得资金兑换回日元后,几乎没有或根本没有额外成本。

“A lot of the pickup in supply in Japan we have seen is because of onshore rates spiking to historically high levels after being quite low,” said Barclays’ Saigal, who also cited a pick-up in investment by the nation’s firms. The average yield on yen-denominated corporate notes is hovering near its highest in more than a quarter of a century at about 2.8%, a Bloomberg index shows.

今年亚洲为数不多的大型人工智能相关债券发行之一是软银集团(SoftBank Group Corp.)。上个月以美元筹集了100亿美元。加上以共同货币出售的10亿欧元(11亿美元)票据,这笔交易创下了垃圾债券市场的创纪录规模。

That means for some issuers it is possible to raise funds in the dollar market, with little or no extra cost after the proceeds are swapped back to the Japanese currency. One of the few large AI-related debt offerings this year from Asia was SoftBank Group Corp.’s $10 billion fundraising in the greenback last month. Together with €1 billion ($1.1 billion) of notes sold in the common currency, that deal was a record size for the junk bond market.

根据彭博社汇编的数据,在亚洲,银团贷款市场一直是人工智能热潮的主要资金来源,今年迄今为止,与数据中心相关的交易已达326亿美元,超过了2025年215亿美元的总额。购买为数据中心提供动力的先进计算机芯片的贷款也正在成为该地区银行和私人信贷机构日益关注的焦点。

In Asia, the syndicated loan market has been the primary source of funding for the AI boom, accounting for $32.6 billion of deals linked to data centers so far this year, according to Bloomberg-compiled data, topping 2025’s total of $21.5 billion. Loans to buy advanced computer chips that will power data centers are also becoming a growing focus for banks and private credit lenders in the region.

除了贷款,许多亚洲借款人,尤其是中国借款人,可以转向相对于美元更便宜的在岸债券融资。中债指数显示,评级最高的中国企业目前可以以低于1.8%的收益率发行7年期或更短期限的本币债券。

Apart from loans, many borrowers from Asia, particularly, in China, can turn to cheaper onshore bond funding versus the dollar. Top-rated Chinese companies can currently sell local-currency bonds at yields of under 1.8% for tenors of seven years or shorter, Chinabond indexes show.

就目前而言,利用该地区的美元债券市场为数据中心提供资金的做法还没有开始,但已经出现了变化的迹象。

For now, the use of the dollar bond market in the region to fund data centers has yet to take off, but there are signs of change.

“我们开始看到数据中心公司对债券市场的兴趣有所增加,”T.罗普莱斯集团。“这将是投资者将开始关注的领域。”

“We are starting to see a bit more interest coming to the bond market from data center companies,” said Sheldon Chan, a portfolio manager for Asian and Emerging market credit at T. Rowe Price Group. “That will be an area that investors will start to watch.”