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品浩的伊瓦辛告诉英国金融时报:美国10年期国债收益率可能自2000年以来首次触及6%US 10-year Treasury yield risks hitting 6% for first time since 2000, Pimco's Ivascyn tells FT

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10月9日 - 债券基金管理公司品浩的首席投资官丹·伊瓦辛对英国金融时报表示,由于油价高企加剧了通胀担忧和对该国不断增长的公共债务的忧虑,基准10年期美国国债收益率可能自2000年以来首次升至6%。

Oct 9 - The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield could rise to 6% for the first time since 2000 as high oil prices fuel inflation concerns and worries over the country's growing public debt, Dan Ivascyn, Chief Investment Officer at bond fund manager Pimco, told the Financial Times.

美国国债收益率是全球借贷成本和资产价格的基准。10年期收益率今年已上涨近120个基点,目前略低于上周触及的5.34%,为2002年以来的最高水平。

US Treasury yields are a yardstick for global borrowing costs and asset prices. The 10-year yield has risen almost 120 basis points this year and is trading slightly below the 5.34% level it hit last week, its highest since 2002.

伊瓦辛周五对英国金融时报表示,从当前5.29%的水平大幅上升在短期内是“可行的”,并提到了对冲基金平掉亏损债券头寸等因素。

A sharp rise from the current level of 5.29% was "feasible" in the near term, Ivascyn told FT on Friday, citing factors such as hedge funds unwinding their losing bond positions.

他说:“这是完全可能的,即使从短期交易的角度来看,鉴于我们过去几周看到的一些活动与一些负面技术因素有关,一些平台对冲基金和其他杠杆投资者的止损活动。你肯定可以达到那里。”

"It is certainly possible, even from a short-term trading perspective, given that some of the activity we've seen in the last couple of weeks is tied to some negative technicals, some stop-out activity from the platform hedge funds and other levered investors. You can certainly get there," he said.

他说,如果国债收益率进一步上升,可能会对股票和公司债券等风险资产构成压力,并补充说,升至5.5%或更高可能会导致“信贷和股票等风险市场出现一些相当程度的疲软”。

If Treasury yields rose further, it could weigh on riskier assets such as stocks and corporate bonds, he said, adding that a move to 5.5% or higher would likely lead to "some decent weakness in risk markets, both credit and equity".

全球债券今年面临巨大抛售压力,原因是能源成本飙升加剧了通胀,人工智能繁荣提振了经济增长,使投资者为利率在更长时间内保持较高水平的时代做好准备。

Global bonds have come under heavy selling pressure this year as soaring energy costs fan inflation and the AI boom lifts economic growth, leaving investors positioning for an era where interest rates stay higher for longer.

因此,债券收益率(价格下跌时收益率上升)在全球范围内飙升,截至9月的三个月里,美国10年期国债收益率创下本世纪最大季度涨幅。

Bond yields, which rise when prices fall, have consequently soared globally, with the US 10-year Treasury yield posting its biggest quarterly rise this century for the three months ending in September.