国会多年来首次迎来通过全面许可立法的最佳机会，但一系列政治和政策障碍可能会让这项两党参议院计划功亏一篑。
Congress has its best chancein years to pass sweeping permitting legislation, but a series of political and policy obstacles could derail the bipartisan Senate plan.
为何重要：简化能源项目的审批流程，是化石燃料和可再生能源行业以及更广泛的大型企业群体的首要任务。以下是“跛脚鸭”时期协议可能面临的五大风险：特朗普总统本人。白宫表示支持该法案，但特朗普情绪多变，因此任何事在最终定案前都不可靠。
Why it matters: Cutting hurdles for energy projects is a top priority for fossil fuels and renewables sectors, and major business groups more broadly. Here are five risks to a lame-duck deal: President Trump himself. The White House says it supports the bill, but Trump is mercurial, so nothing is final until it's final.
其政府是否愿意放松对风电和太阳能项目的限制，也可能影响“跛脚鸭”时期的政治格局，并增加争取民主党支持的努力难度。
His administration's willingness — or not — to loosen the screws on wind and solar projects it's restricting could also sway the lame-duck politics and complicate efforts to win Democratic support.
回顾：共同起草者、参议员谢尔登·怀特豪斯（民主党，罗得岛州）上个月提到，特朗普政府官员是否会回归可再生能源领域的“常规程序”仍存在“未解”问题，但他也认可了对方提出的“非常合理”的提案。
Flashback: Co-author Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) last month cited "unresolved" questions about Trump officials returning to "regular order" for renewables, but credited their "very reasonable" proposal.
民主党的大规模胜利。众议院资深民主党议员贾里德·哈夫曼（民主党，加利福尼亚州）一直主张，民主党明年将拥有更大的影响力。
A big blue wave. Rep. Jared Huffman (D-Calif.), a senior House Democrat, has been arguing that Democrats will have more leverage next year.
但目前来看，这一观点在民主党内部尚未获得广泛认同。两党议员对该法案为数不多的明确表态均表示支持。然而，如果民主党在11月大选中取得压倒性胜利，这一判断可能会改变。
For now, there's little evidence that view is gaining traction among Democrats. The few definitive statements on the bill from lawmakers in both parties are supportive. But a strong Democratic showing in November could change that calculation.
反对等待的主要理由：即使民主党赢得参议院，他们仍无法获得60张选票；此外，任何法案仍需特朗普签署，这意味着明年达成更优协议的可能性有限。
The big arguments against waiting: Dems won't have 60 votes even if they take the Senate, and Trump still needs to sign anything, limiting the prospects for a better deal next year.
环保组织。与民主党关系密切的组织——如自然资源保护委员会、选民保护联盟和常青行动——仍在评估对该法案的立场。
Environmentalists. Groups with close ties to Dems — such as the Natural Resources Defense Council, League of Conservation Voters and Evergreen Action — are still weighing their positions on the bill.
如果这些组织联合起来反对该法案，可能会让民主党议员更难支持这项立法。
A coordinated push against it could make it harder for Democratic lawmakers to back the legislation.
公用事业公司。受监管的公用事业公司将在输电建设领域面临新的竞争，其规划和业务也将受到更严格的监督。
Utilities. Regulated utilities would see new competition in transmission development and greater oversight of their planning and business.
美国电力公司（American Electric Power）和伯克希尔·哈撒韦能源公司（Berkshire Hathaway Energy）支持该法案，但该行业的贸易组织——爱迪生电力协会（Edison Electric Institute）尚未表明立场。
American Electric Power and Berkshire Hathaway Energy support the bill, but the sector's trade group — the Edison Electric Institute — has not taken a position.
“跛鸭期”的挤压效应。紧张的立法日程、法案可能发生的变更，以及议员们在选举后是否仍有立法意愿的不确定性，可能导致留给法案在两院通过的时间所剩无几。
The lame-duck squeeze. A busy legislative calendar, potential changes to the bill and uncertainty about lawmakers' appetite for legislating after the election could leave too little time to secure passage through both chambers.
众议院能源与商业委员会主席布雷特·古思里（Brett Guthrie，共和党-肯塔基州）已经向 Punchbowl News 表示，他希望修改法案中有关电力的条款。
Already, House Energy and Commerce Chair Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.) told Punchbowl News that he wants to modify the electricity provisions.
如果共和党失去众议院多数席位，他们推动这项重大两党协议最终通过的可能性可能会降低。
If Republicans lose the House majority, their willingness to push a major bipartisan deal across the finish line could diminish.
“当人们不断被提醒他们已经失败时，要说服他们留下来等待结果，是很困难的，”前民主党国会山工作人员、清洁技术游说公司 Boundary Stone Partners 的联合创始人杰夫·纳文（Jeff Navin）表示。归根结底：这只是部分清单！
"It's hard to convince people to hang around and wait for something to happen when they're being constantly reminded that they lost," Jeff Navin, a former Democratic Hill staffer and co-founder of clean tech lobbying firm Boundary Stone Partners, said via The bottom line: This is a partial list!
借用米基·洛克在 1981 年经典黑色电影《激情沸点》（Body Heat）中给威廉·赫特的建议：有 50 种方法可以搞砸任何法案，如果你能想出 25 种，那你就是天才。在此订阅 Axios 的《能源未来》时事通讯。
To riff on Mickey Rourke's advice to William Hurt in the great 1981 noir flick "Body Heat," there are 50 ways to mess up any bill, and if you can think of 25, you're a genius.