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特朗普的“和平委员会”在加沙“停火”一年来取得了什么成果?What has Trump’s Board of Peace achieved in a year since Gaza ‘ceasefire’?

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2026年10月7日,加沙地带南部沿海的马瓦西,一处帐篷营地安置着流离失所的巴勒斯坦人[拉马丹·阿贝德/路透社]A tent camp shelters displaced Palestinians in al-Mawasi on the coast of the southern Gaza Strip on October 7, 2026 [Ramadan Abed/Reuters]

自美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的和平委员会(BoP)斡旋达成一项旨在最终结束以色列在加沙种族灭绝战争的“停火”以来,已经过去一年。

It has been one year since United States President Donald Trump’s Board of Peace (BoP) brokered a “ceasefire” aimed at eventually ending Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza.

然而,巴勒斯坦人并未获得缓解和重建的机会,反而在以色列军队扩大对该领土的控制后,继续遭受袭击和流离失所。

However, rather than receiving relief and a chance to rebuild, Palestinians in the enclave continue to face attacks and be uprooted as Israeli forces have expanded control within the territory.

特朗普于2025年9月首次提出和平委员会,称其将稳定加沙并确保持久和平。

Trump first proposed the BoP in September 2025, saying it would stabilise Gaza and ensure lasting peace.

2025年11月,联合国安全理事会通过一项决议,承认该委员会是加沙的“过渡行政机构”。但该委员会到底取得了什么成就?以下是我们所知道的:2026年10月9日,在以色列军队警告居民撤离该地区之前,加沙城发生过夜空袭,人们在倒塌建筑的废墟中搜寻。和平委员会的目标是什么?

In November, a United Nations Security Council resolution recognised the board as a “transitional administration” in Gaza. But what has the board achieved? Here’s what we know: People search the rubble of a collapsed building following overnight Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City on October 9, 2026, before which the Israeli military had warned residents to evacuate the area What were the BoP’s goals?

和平委员会的使命载于特朗普的20点加沙和平计划之中,该计划也包括了以色列与哈马斯之间的“停火”。停火于2025年10月10日开始。

The BoP’s mission was laid out in Trump’s 20-point Gaza peace plan as was the “ceasefire” between Israel and Hamas. The ceasefire began on October 10, 2025.

该计划设想了双方应采取的步骤,这些步骤最终可能为巴勒斯坦建国铺平一条“可信的道路”。

The plan envisioned steps for each side to take that could eventually create a “credible pathway” to Palestinian statehood.

2026年10月9日,加沙城,以色列连夜空袭后,人们在一栋倒塌建筑的废墟中搜寻。此前以色列军方已警告居民撤离该地区(法新社)People search the rubble of a collapsed building following overnight Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City on October 9, 2026, before which the Israeli military had warned residents to evacuate the area (AFP)

该计划要求以色列军队撤出至加沙地带约50%的地区,并停止空中和炮兵轰炸。同时,要求以色列释放250名巴勒斯坦囚犯以及自2023年10月7日(哈马斯发动南以色列袭击的日子,以色列由此发动战争)以来被关押的另外1700名来自加沙的人员。计划还提出重新开放边境口岸,以便大量急需的援助进入加沙。

It required Israeli forces to withdraw to about 50 percent of the Gaza Strip and cease aerial and artillery bombardments. It also required Israel to release 250 Palestinian prisoners and another 1,700 people jailed from Gaza since October 7, 2023, the day that Hamas led attacks into southern Israel and Israel began the war. The plan proposed reopening border crossings to allow much-needed aid into Gaza.

和平计划要求哈马斯释放所有被以色列俘虏的人员。此外,还提出一个后续阶段:届时哈马斯将解除武装,其成员将获得特赦或安全离开加沙的途径。

The peace plan required Hamas to release all Israeli captives. It also proposed a later phase in which the group would disarm and its members would be granted amnesty or a safe exit from Gaza.

和平计划将和平委员会设立为一个过渡治理机构,直至管理约旦河西岸部分地区的巴勒斯坦权威机构能够接管。

The peace plan established the BoP as a transitional governing body until the Palestinian Authority, which governs parts of the occupied West Bank, could take over.

国际稳定部队(ISF)由美国领导,原本应在以色列军队撤出后接管加沙的安全事务,计划中如此规定。该计划还提出了对加沙的重建与发展,并称其人民“已经受够了苦难”。BoP在过去一年里做了什么?

An International Stabilization Force (ISF), led by the US, was supposed to take over security in Gaza from withdrawing Israeli forces, the plan stated. It also proposed the reconstruction and redevelopment of Gaza, whose people, it said, “have suffered enough”. What has the BoP done in the past year?

2月,BoP的成员们——每人需支付10亿美元年费才能加入——在华盛顿特区举行了首次峰会,成员国承诺提供70亿美元资金,尽管援助机构表示,重建加沙的实际成本可能接近700亿美元。

In February, the BoP’s members, who each joined in exchange for a $1bn annual fee, met in Washington, DC, for its first summit, at which member states pledged $7bn in funding although aid agencies said reconstructing Gaza would cost closer to $70bn.

上个月,在纽约联合国大会期间,BoP还在会议外发布了一项价值24亿美元、包含66个项目的恢复计划。BoP取得了哪些成就?BoP的成就与加沙和平计划的成功紧密相关。

On the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York last month, the BoP also unveiled a 66-project recovery plan worth $2.4bn. What has BoP achieved? The BoP’s achievements are tied to the success of the Gaza peace plan.

根据该计划,哈马斯已释放所有168名在世被俘者,以色列也释放了巴勒斯坦囚犯。

Under that, Hamas has released all 168 living captives and Israel has freed Palestinian prisoners.

哈马斯还宣布解散其在加沙地带的政府,尽管以色列将此称为“闹剧”。和平计划下的其他目标仅部分实现。

Hamas has also announced the dissolution of its government in the Gaza Strip although Israel has dismissed that as a “stunt”. Other goals under the peace plan have been only partially met.

治理工作受到阻碍。尽管成立了负责加沙事务的国家委员会(NCAG),旨在作为加沙的管理机构,但以色列未批准其进入该地区。NCAG直接向董事会报告,由首席专员阿里·沙阿特及其他巴勒斯坦技术官员领导,其办公地点设在开罗。以色列尚未说明为何禁止该委员会进入加沙。

Governance has been hampered. While a National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), meant to act as the governing authority in Gaza, was founded, Israel has not granted it entry into the Strip. The NCAG reports directly to the board and is led by Chief Commissioner Ali Shaath and other Palestinian technocrats. It operates from Cairo.

援助仍然受限。根据综合粮食安全阶段分类(IPC)饥饿监测,尽管原计划每日应有600辆援助卡车进入加沙地带,但实际仅有约227辆卡车得以进入。

Israel has not stated why the committee is not permitted to enter Gaza. Aid remains restricted.

以色列将数千种基本物品(如帐篷和呼吸机等基本设备)列为“双用途”物品,即具有军民两用性质,并限制其进入加沙地带。约140万巴勒斯坦人——即加沙200多万人口中的大多数——将至少持续到12月面临饥饿,IPC已指出。这一数字比5月份面临饥饿的人数多了20万,表明情况正在显著恶化。未实现的目标是什么?

About 227 aid trucks enter the Strip daily when 600 trucks were supposed to, according to the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) hunger monitor. Israel has classified thousands of basic items, such as tents and essential equipment like ventilators, as “dual use” items, which means they have military and civilian applications, and has restricted their flow into the Strip. About 1.4 million Palestinians – or most of Gaza’s more than 2 million people – will suffer hunger until at least December, the IPC has noted. That is 200,000 more than those who faced hunger in May, suggesting a significantly deteriorating situation.

观察人士认为,BoP完全未能确保“停火”,因为以色列对加沙地带的袭击几乎每天都在继续。

What has not been achieved?

自2025年10月10日起,已有超过1400名巴勒斯坦人死亡,其中大多数是妇女和儿童。自战争爆发以来的三年里,已有超过74000名巴勒斯坦人死亡,还有数千人失踪,被认为埋在废墟之下。

Observers argued that the BoP has entirely failed to secure the “ceasefire” as Israeli attacks have continued almost daily on the Strip. Since October 10, 2025, more than 1,400 Palestinians, mostly women and children, have been killed.

以色列称其持续的袭击针对哈马斯成员,但哈马斯坚决否认这一说法。

In the three years since the war began, more than 74,000 Palestinians have been killed, and thousands more are missing and presumed dead under the rubble.

以色列目前还占领了加沙地带约60%的地区,超过了特朗普和平计划中同意的50%。标示以色列对加沙地带占领区的“黄线”已被向内推进,导致更多流离失所,并将加沙人口挤进越来越小的区域。不知不觉越过“黄线”的巴勒斯坦人被击毙。

Israel says its continuing attacks target Hamas members, but the group vehemently denies the claims. Israel also now occupies about 60 percent of the Strip, more than the 50 percent agreed in Trump’s peace plan. The “Yellow Line”, which demarcates the area of Gaza under Israeli occupation, has been pushed farther into the Strip, causing further displacement and squeezing Gaza’s population into an ever-shrinking area.

12月,以色列国防部长以色列·卡茨表示,军队“永远不会完全撤离”加沙地带。

Palestinians unknowingly crossing the “Yellow Line” have been shot dead.

多哈研究生院的穆罕默德·埃尔马斯里对半岛电视台表示,以色列只是在延续对加沙和被占领的西岸更广泛的“种族清洗”政策。“他们正在让生活变得痛苦不堪,”他说,并补充道:“这一切都是有计划的。”因此,BoP也未能确保哈马斯解除武装,以便和平计划的第二阶段能够开始。

In December, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said the army “will never fully leave” the Strip. Mohamad Elmasry at the Doha Institute of Graduate Studies told Al Jazeera that Israel is simply continuing a broader policy of “ethnic cleansing” in Gaza and the occupied West Bank. “They are making life miserable,” he said, adding: “This is all by design.”

虽然哈马斯已同意将武器交给北约加沙集团(NCAG),但它拒绝“解除武装”条款,因为以色列尚未停止攻击或按照协议撤出加沙地带。与此同时,以色列表示,如果哈马斯不解除武装,它将不会推进该计划,导致双方陷入僵局。

Consequently, the BoP has also failed to ensure Hamas disarms so phase two of the peace plan could begin. Although Hamas has agreed to hand its weapons over to the NCAG, it rejects the “disarmament” clause because Israel has not ceased its attacks or withdrawn from the Strip as agreed.

与此同时,尚未部署任何稳定部队。截至目前,印尼、摩洛哥、哈萨克斯坦、阿尔巴尼亚、科索沃和乌干达六国已承诺派遣人员,组建一支由美国中央司令部(CENTCOM)领导的安全部队,规模为20,000名士兵和12,000名警察。

At the same time, Israel has said it will not move forward with the plan if Hamas does not disarm, leaving the two sides in a standoff. Meanwhile, no stabilisation force has been deployed.

加沙尚未进行有意义的重建。巴勒斯坦人继续生活在充斥着啮齿动物和昆虫的帐篷营地中,几乎没有遮挡来抵御酷热或暴雨。BoP是否将接管UNRWA的职责?

Six countries – Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Albania, Kosovo and Uganda – have so far committed personnel to form a security force of 20,000 soldiers and 12,000 police headed by the US military’s Central Command (CENTCOM). There has been no meaningful reconstruction in Gaza. Palestinians continue to live in tent camps infested with rodents and insects with little to shield them from intense heat, or rain.

特朗普政府和BoP一直呼应以色列对联合国巴勒斯坦难民救济及工程处(UNRWA)的反对。该机构长期在加沙提供救命的人道主义援助、教育、发展项目和社会服务,雇佣约11,000名巴勒斯坦人。

Will BoP take over from UNRWA? The Trump administration and BoP have echoed Israel’s rejection of the United Nations agency for Palestinian refugees, or UNRWA, which has long provided lifesaving humanitarian aid, education, development programmes and social services in Gaza and employs about 11,000 Palestinians.

BoP上个月表示,它将不与UNRWA合作,实际上将该机构边缘化。

The BoP said last month that it will not work with UNRWA, essentially sidelining the agency.

一位BoP官员告诉美联社,如果UNRWA的项目被认为仍然相关,该机构可以继续在加沙工作,但该机构的“日子已经结束”。UNRWA表示,这一举措“不合逻辑”。

A BoP official told The Associated Press news agency that UNRWA could continue working in Gaza if its programmes were deemed relevant but the agency’s “days are over”. UNRWA said the move was “not logical”.

今年6月,联合国大会压倒性投票决定将UNRWA的任务延长至2029年。BoP本身的任务是监督和平进程直至2027年12月,届时将由联合国审查其进展,以决定是否续任。

In June, the UN General Assembly voted overwhelmingly to extend UNRWA’s mandate until 2029. The BoP itself is mandated to oversee the peace process until December 2027 when its progress will be reviewed for possible renewal by the UN.

分析人士和权利组织担心,BoP可能接管加沙重建的所有方面。法国和其他欧洲国家等也指出,任何试图在加沙地带取代联合国的行为都是不可接受的。

Analysts and rights groups have raised concerns that the BoP could take over all aspects of Gaza’s rebuilding. Countries too, including France and other European nations, have called out any attempts to replace the UN in the Strip.

埃尔马斯里表示,没有一个国家愿意采取行动。“有很多国际行为体不想得罪美国,”他说。这基本上意味着超过200万巴勒斯坦人的命运掌握在特朗普手中,他补充道。最终,博普“失败”了,兰开斯特大学教授西蒙·马邦表示。

But Elmasry said no country is willing to take action. “There are a lot of international actors that do not want to cross the US,” he said. That essentially leaves the fate of more than 2 million Palestinians to Trump, he added. Ultimately, the BoP has “failed”, said Simon Mabon, a professor at Lancaster University.

“未能实施其自身计划以结束加沙冲突,表明其无能为力,也无法确保以色列以及在较小程度上哈马斯遵守各自的承诺[和],这使得种族灭绝得以继续,”他总结道。

“The failure to implement its own plan to end the Gaza conflict demonstrates its impotence and the inability to ensure that Israel and, to a lesser extent, Hamas, remain bound by their own commitments [and] has allowed the genocide to continue,” he concluded.