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人工智能行业能否通过取消保密协议来说服数据中心的反对者?Can the AI industry persuade data center opponents by getting rid of NDAs?

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亚马逊最近效仿微软的做法,表示在与地方政府就数据中心进行谈判时将不再使用保密协议(NDAs)。

Amazon recently followed Microsoft’s lead and said it will no longer use nondisclosure agreements (NDAs) while negotiating with local governments over data centers.

在TechCrunch《Equity》播客的最新一期中,Sean O’Kane、Rebecca Bellan和我讨论了亚马逊的这一声明,该声明出现在一篇较长的博客文章中,文章旨在论证数据中心实际上对社区有益。

On the latest episode of TechCrunch’s Equity podcast, Sean O’Kane, Rebeccan Bellan and I discussed Amazon’s announcement, which came in the middle of a longer blog post making the case that data centers are actually good for communities.

Rebecca对最近数据中心暂停建设的浪潮是否会产生持久影响持怀疑态度,尤其是这些暂停通常只持续一年或两年,而“这些数据中心在未来两、三、四、五年内都不会投入运营”;不过我指出,数据中心的支持者显然确实在担心。

Rebecca was a bit skeptical that the recent spate of data center moratoriums will have a lasting effect, especially since the moratoriums only last for a year or two and “these data centers aren’t coming online for the next two, three, four, five years,” though I countered that data center backers definitely seem worried.

Sean则认为,行业遭遇反弹的一个主要原因是其沟通能力不足。

Sean, meanwhile, suggested that a big reason for the backlash is the industry’s poor communication.

他说道:“我们看到,在围绕人工智能和数据中心的诸多争议和反弹中,行业在解释自身方面做得非常糟糕,而且他们显然一直对大多数人无法想象这些技术对他们有用的世界感到沮丧。”

“We’ve seen, through a lot of the controversy and backlash to AI and data centers, that the industry just does a really poor job explaining itself, and that they are obviously and constantly frustrated with the fact that most people can’t envision a world in which this stuff is useful for them,” he said.

继续阅读,可查看我们对话的预览版,已根据长度和清晰度进行编辑。

Keep reading for a preview of our conversation, edited for length and clarity.

Sean O’Kane:这其实是一个有趣的现象——它被埋在博客文章里,是亚马逊显然想要讲述的更大故事的一部分。我猜我能理解为什么他们没有把它放在突出位置,但对我来说,这正是科技行业在人工智能(尤其是数据中心)方面目前面临诸多问题的根源。

Sean O’Kane: It’s an interesting thing that it was sort of buried in the blog post and part of a larger story that Amazon’s clearly trying to tell. I guess I understand why they weren’t putting it in the foreground, but to me, this is at the root of so many of the problems that the tech industry currently faces when it comes to AI broadly, but data centers in particular.

人们可以就数据中心是否会影响房产价值、电费、当地用水量等问题提出诸多担忧,也可以讨论这些问题是否真实存在、被夸大了,等等。

There are so many things that could be said about whether or not people should be worried about the effect that data centers have on their property values, on their electricity bills, on their water usage in the area, and whether or not those things are real problems, inflated problems, etc. etc.

我觉得很多问题之所以会这样,根本原因在于很多项目实际上是在秘密中进行谈判的。有时公众知道这是一个数据中心,但不知道谁最终会使用它或在何时占用它。

I think so much of that just really goes back to the fact that a lot of these projects are being negotiated essentially in secret. Sometimes they’re being negotiated [with the public knowing] that it’s a data center, but just not knowing who’s actually going to use it or occupy it at any point.

这是科技行业长期存在的问题。我总是会想到2010年代中期,当时优步正在快速扩张。优步就是那些在与地方政府合作时大量使用这种策略的公司之一。具体来说,我记得当时我在《The Verge》工作,我们有一位自由撰稿人写了一篇关于奥兰多以外一个城市的报道,优步当时正试图秘密谈判税收补贴,以补贴人们在乘坐优步后使用公共交通的费用。

This is a long-standing issue with the tech industry. I always go back to the mid-2010s when Uber was expanding really fast. Uber was one of the companies that really used this tactic a ton when it came to working with local governments. In particular, I remember I was working at The Verge at the time and we had a freelancer write a story about a city outside of Orlando where Uber was trying to negotiate tax subsidies to subsidize rides for people to use public transit after the Uber trip.

整个谈判过程都是在秘密中进行的。而且不仅仅是这点令人沮丧,更重要的是,由于保密性,优步就变得非常得心应手,开始提出各种其他要求。

The whole thing was negotiated in secret. And not only that, which was frustrating on its face, but also, because of the secrecy, you could just see Uber getting really comfortable with asking for a lot of other stuff, too.

因此,我们需要更多这样的透明度。我很高兴亚马逊正在这样做。我们将看到这是否真的会产生积极影响,但目前人们的立场相当固化。

So there needs to be more of this. I’m glad Amazon’s doing this. We’ll see if it actually does have any positive effect, but people are pretty entrenched right now.

丽贝卡·贝兰:是啊,我很好奇这会产生什么效果,以及是否会导致社区成功地延迟或阻止公司需要建设的任何基础设施。根据我与一些每天都在处理数据中心的人士的交流,我听说很多正在通过的暂停令——而且数量相当可观,包括最近旧金山通过的一项,这相当具有讽刺意味——但它们通常只持续一年或两年。

Rebecca Bellan: Yeah, I’m curious about what effect this will have and whether it will lead to communities successfully delaying or or killing any infrastructure that the companies need to build. What I’ve heard from some people I’ve spoken to, who deal with data centers every day, a lot of these moratoriums that are getting passed — and there are a significant number of them, including one recently in San Francisco, which is pretty ironic — but they’re only for like a year or two years.

但这些数据中心在未来两、三、四、五年内不会投入运营。所有的建设都将因分区、融资等多种原因而被严重延迟。当然,如果阻力持续存在,那么它可能会产生影响,但我常常想知道这种政治阻力到底会产生多大的影响。

But these data centers aren’t coming online for the next two, three, four, five years. All of the buildouts are going to be massively delayed for a number of reasons from zoning to funding. Of course, if the pushback keeps going, then it might have an effect, but I often wonder just how much of an effect this political pushback is having on this.

Anthony Ha:我最熟悉的暂停令是纽约的那一项。我认为这是一项为期一年的暂停令,针对的是大型项目的许可证。[从技术上讲,它将持续到州政府完成环境审查流程为止,预计需要一年时间。]因此,在这一期限内已经有一定的弹性空间。而且,这些暂停令通常被表述为:“我们并不认为[数据中心]不好,只是不想现在做这件事。而是[我们]需要花时间来研究这个问题。”

Anthony Ha: The moratorium I’m most familiar with is the one in New York. I believe it’s a one year moratorium, and that’s on permits for large projects. [Technically, it’s until the state finalizes an environmental review process, which is expected to take a year.] So already, there’s some wiggle room within that. And often, they’re framed as: “It’s not like we think [data centers are] bad, let’s not do this. It’s [that] we need to take the time to study this.”

这给了他们以后说“实际上,我们已经决定这是件好事,我们很支持它”的余地。但你可以看出,试图建设这些数据中心的人们很担心,这就是为什么你会看到像特朗普或大卫·萨克斯这样的人发出那些离谱的推文。只有时间才能告诉我们这种[社区]抵抗将持续多久以及有多深,但我认为他们确实在担心。

Which gives them a lot of room to say later on, “Actually, we’ve decided this is great. We love it.”But you can tell that the people trying to build these data centers are worried, which is why you have these unhinged tweets from people like Trump or David Sacks. Only time will tell in terms how long and how deep that [community] resistance is, but I do think they are worried.

还值得一提的是,微软今年早些时候也发表了类似的声明,表示不再使用保密协议。我认为仅仅取消保密协议并不会自动让那些反对这些数据中心的人说:“太好了,让我们来做吧,我参与。”但我认为,这一谈话的开端是:“嗯,我们甚至不知道你们在做什么,因为你们一直在秘密谈判所有这些事情。”因此,这确实看起来是一个很好的第一步。

It’s also noteworthy that Microsoft, earlier this year, made a similar announcement about not using NDAs. I don’t think that getting rid of the NDAs automatically is going to make the people who opposed these data centers be like, “Great, let’s let’s do it. I’m in.”But I think the beginning of that conversation is, “Well, we don’t even know what the heck you’re doing, because you’ve negotiated all this stuff in secret.”So it does seem like a good first step.

Sean:这里的更大问题仅仅是一个沟通问题,对吧?我认为这是一个贯穿整个科技行业的问题,但如今尤其突出,因为我们正生活在“直达用户”和“你不需要和媒体交流,媒体已经死了”等时代。

Sean: The larger problem here is just a communication problem, right? This is a problem I think that goes across the entire tech industry, but it’s especially acute now, because we’re living in the era of “going direct” and “you don’t need to talk to the media, the media is dead,” etc.

我并不是想打死这匹马,因为我们身处媒体行业,[我们]认为自己仍然具有相关性。但我们已经看到,在围绕人工智能和数据中心的诸多争议和反弹中,这个行业在解释自身方面做得非常糟糕,而且他们显然一直对大多数人无法想象这些技术对他们有用的世界感到沮丧。而之所以会这样,很大程度上是因为[技术]能力尚未到位,部分原因则是他们解释得不好。

And I’m not trying to beat that horse, because we’re in the media and [we] think we’re still relevant. But we’ve seen, through a lot of the controversy and backlash to AI and data centers, that the industry just does a really poor job explaining itself, and that they are obviously and constantly frustrated with the fact that most people can’t envision a world in which this stuff is useful for them. And that’s because, a lot of time, the [technological] ability’s not there, and in part because they’re just not explaining it well.

上周我写了一篇关于特斯拉已经一年没有真正宣传自己正在朝着最初所说的“可持续丰盛”方向发展的故事,而如今这一目标被改称为“惊人丰盛”作为其使命声明。让我感到惊讶的是,已经过去一年了,公司仍然没有对此给出一个非常清晰的定义,尤其是考虑到他们当时发布了一整份多页PDF来阐述这一概念,甚至特斯拉的忠实粉丝也批评埃隆·马斯克和特斯拉在这方面过于模糊不清。那份文档读起来就像是大语言模型生成的无意义内容。

I wrote a story last week about how it’s been a year since we’ve really heard Tesla beating its own drum about building towards what it originally was calling “sustainable abundance” and is now “amazing abundance” as its mission statement. It’s just wild to me that we’re a year into that, and the company still doesn’t have a very good definition of it, especially considering that they released this whole multi-page PDF laying it out when they announced this, and even Tesla’s biggest fans criticized Elon Musk and Tesla for how unspecific it was. It read like LLM nonsense.

安东尼:这件事让我思考的事情之一就是叙事,以及那种感觉——一段时间里,真的感觉像是被强行灌输了这个想法:“这是不可避免的,这是由人工智能驱动的未来,要么上车,要么就被甩在后面。”

Anthony: One of the things this has made me think about is just the narrative and this sense that for a while, it really felt like it was being pushed down our throats — this idea of, “This is inevitable, this AI-driven future, and get on board or you’re just going to be left behind.”

显然,这种未来在很多方面正在高速推进,但在一些关键方面,也出现了障碍。我真正喜欢的地方在于,它传递出一种信息:“不,你实际上必须为此提出论据。”你不能只是说:“这就是未来,闭嘴。”而特别谈到特斯拉和“丰盛”这一概念时,令我震惊的并不是他们没有给出丰盛的定义,而是他们一开始就做出了这样的承诺。

Obviously that future is barreling ahead in a lot of ways, but in a few key ways, there have been these obstacles. What I’ve really liked about that is this sense of “No, you actually have to make the case for it.”You can’t just say, “This is the future, shut up.”And then specifically about Tesla and the abundance thing, what was shocking to me is not so much that they haven’t come up with a definition of abundance, but that that was a promise that they were making in the first place.

我认为[这]说明了我们与特斯拉的关系变得有多奇怪——尤其是那些投资特斯拉、对埃隆忠诚不二的人。这已经不只是关于这家公司是否会卖出很多汽车,而是关于重塑社会的愿景。或者说,至少他们正在被这样售卖。

I think [that] speaks to how strange our relationship to Tesla, and particularly the people who are invested and ride-or-die for Elon, [has become.] It’s not about, is this company going to sell a lot of cars? It’s about this vision for remaking society. Or at least, that’s what they’re being sold.