如果极右民族主义者在四个大国同时上台，我们将迎来一场戏剧性的特朗普式转折。谈到欧洲的经济或其和平与安全，显然决策必须主要在欧洲层面进行才能有意义。然而，选举政治仍然主要在国家层面进行。这种错位的积极一面是，在欧洲各国之间，我们拥有政治优先事项和倾向各不相同的政府。与美国不同，在美国，一次总统选举就能彻底改变整个国家的走向，正如我们在唐纳德·特朗普领导下所见证的那样，同样的戏剧迄今尚未在欧洲上演。但这可能即将改变。
If far right nationalists gain power in four big countries simultaneously, we are in for a dramatic Trumpian tilt When it comes to Europe’s economy or its peace and security, it is obvious that decision-making has to be done largely at the European level to be meaningful. Yet electoral politics is still conducted mostly at the national level. The silver lining of this mismatch is that from country to country in Europe we have governments with different political priorities and leanings. Unlike in the US, where one presidential election can radically change the entire country’s course, as we have seen so vividly under Donald Trump’s leadership, the same drama has not so far unfolded in Europe. This may be about to change.
佩德罗·桑切斯上周在西班牙掷骰子，在保守派人民党（PP）、极右翼沃克斯党和加泰罗尼亚亲独立党朱恩茨的不神圣联盟阻止了他的重大住房改革方案在议会通过之后，宣布下个月举行提前选举。如果全球进步人士称赞但被欧洲右翼和特朗普的美国妖魔化的社会党总理失去他的选举赌注，西班牙可能落入目前民调领先的保守派/极右翼联盟之手。Nathalie Tocci 是《卫报》欧洲专栏作家
Pedro Sánchez rolled the dice in Spain last week, calling a snap election for next month after an unholy alliance of the conservative People’s party (PP), the far-right Vox and Catalan pro-independence party Junts blocked his big housing reform package in parliament. If the socialist prime minister, hailed by progressives globally but demonised by Europe’s right and Trump’s US, loses his election gamble, Spain could fall into the hands of a conservative/far-right coalition, which is currently ahead in the polls. Nathalie Tocci is a Guardian Europe columnist
