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保罗·都铎·琼斯看涨油价,称因伊朗冲突油价可能再涨20至25美元Paul Tudor Jones is bullish on oil, says it could rally another $20-$25 because of Iran conflict

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对冲基金经理、著名商品交易员保罗·都铎·琼斯表示,由于伊朗冲突,油价将进一步上涨。

Hedge fund manager and notable commodity trader Paul Tudor Jones says oil is set to take another leg higher because of the Iran conflict.

“我持有多头油头寸...看涨油价...我认为油价还能再涨20或25美元,”都铎投资公司创始人兼首席投资官都铎·琼斯在CNBC的《早间财经》节目中说。“如果有什么事情能够缓解局势,它早就在中期选举之前发生了。”如果美国油价从当前水平上涨如此幅度,将使其超过2026年之前的收盘高点——每桶略低于113美元。周二早上,西得州中质原油期货价格在每桶约92.50美元左右交易。

"I am long oil... bullish oil...I think it can rally another $20 or $25 bucks," said Tudor Jones, founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment, on CNBC's "Squawk Box." "If something to ameliorate the situation was going to happen, it would have happened already before the midterms." A rally of that size in U.S. oil prices from current prices would send them above their previous closing high for 2026 of just under $113 per barrel. Western Texas Intermediate crude futures were trading at around $92.50 Tuesday morning.

琼斯表示,如果油价真的上涨,股市将“绝对完全讨厌”,尽管股票在今年早些时候曾能够应对更高的油价。标普500指数在3月下旬的低点仅下跌了略超过7%,当时是美伊战争于2月28日爆发之后。

Jones said if the rally were to happen, the equity market would "absolutely totally hate it," though equities were able to manage higher oil prices earlier in the year. The S&P 500 only fell just over 7% at its trough in late March after the start of the U.S.-Iran war on Feb. 28.

美伊战争爆发后,美国油价在3月份飙升,并在4月初达到峰值。随后价格在6月份回落,当月跌破每桶70美元。然而,随着中东冲突在7月份再次升级以及霍尔木兹海峡——这一关键石油通道——的状况仍不明朗,油价又开始上涨。

U.S. oil prices surged in March after the start of the war, and hit their peak in early April. Prices then fell in June, falling below $70 per barrel that month. However, they started rising again in July, as the conflict in the Middle East heated up again and the status of the Strait of Hormuz — a critical passageway for oil — remained unclear.

油价在9月份一度升至近每桶106美元的近期高点,但此后已回落离开该水平。

Prices hit a recent high of almost $106 per barrel in September, though have traded off those levels since.