
菲律宾央行行长周三表示,亚洲国家必须提醒自己关注20世纪90年代末该地区金融危机期间发生的事情,并警惕此类冲击再次发生。
Asian countries must remind themselves about what happened during the region's financial crisis in the late 1990s and guard against a recurrence of such shocks, the head of the Philippine central bank said on Wednesday.
菲律宾中央银行行长埃利·雷莫洛纳(Eli Remolona)在国际货币基金组织(IMF)关于东南亚国家联盟(ASEAN)前景的小组讨论会上表示,在1997年亚洲金融危机爆发前,区域经济体出现了巨大的资本流入,促使世界银行将其描述为“东亚奇迹”。
Before the Asian financial crisis started in 1997, regional economies saw huge capital inflows that prompted the World Bank to describe it as the "East Asian miracle," Eli Remolona, governor of the Bangko Sentral ng Philippines, said in an IMF panel on the outlook for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
“投资涌入亚洲,随后就爆发了危机,因为那并不是真正的奇迹。我认为我们必须提醒自己这一点。我们必须警惕那种危机,”他说。“我们并没有真正做出很大努力去审视那种危机。”这些言论是在泰国曼谷举行的国际货币基金组织和世界银行年会期间发表的,曼谷曾是亚洲金融危机的中心。
"Investment poured into Asia, and then you had the crisis because it wasn't really a miracle. I think we have to remind ourselves about that. We have to guard against that kind of crisis," he said. "We have not really been making a lot of effort looking at that kind of crisis." The remarks came at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank being held in Bangkok, Thailand, which was an epicentre of the Asian financial crisis.
国际货币基金组织亚太部主任克里希纳·斯里尼瓦桑(Krishna Srinivasan)反驳了这一观点,他在小组讨论中辩称,国际货币基金组织在评估金融脆弱性以及各经济体之间的潜在溢出效应方面已经取得了进展。
Krishna Srinivasan, director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific Department, pushed back against the view, arguing in the panel discussion that the IMF has made progress assessing financial vulnerabilities and potential spillovers among each economy.
“我们已经铭记(那场危机),并制定了一个框架来讨论各国应如何应对波动的资本流动……例如它们何时应该干预外汇市场等等,”斯里尼瓦桑说。
"We have taken (the crisis) to heart, and we've dealt with a framework to talk about how should countries deal with volatile capital flows in terms ... such as when should they intervene in foreign exchange markets and so on," Srinivasan said.
斯里尼瓦桑还表示,虽然东盟经济体在很大程度上经受住了美国关税引发的贸易紧张局势,但由于一些国家严重依赖石油和天然气进口,它们的能源强度可能成为前景面临的风险之一。
Srinivasan also said while ASEAN economies have weathered the trade tensions caused by US tariffs fairly well, their energy intensity could be among risks to the outlook as some countries rely heavily on oil and gas imports.
日本财务省负责国际事务的副大臣三村淳(Atsushi Mimura)也提到,中东冲突引发的能源冲击以及不断上升的通胀是该地区前景面临的短期风险。
Atsushi Mimura, Japan's vice finance minister for international affairs, also cited the energy shock from the Middle East conflict, as well as rising inflation, as among short-term risks to the region's outlook.
关于各国应如何保持纪律以提供支出,从而减轻能源冲击对家庭和企业造成的打击,三村淳表示:“当然,我们都知道(财政支持)应该是‘3T’原则——有针对性(Targeted)、量身定制(Tailored)和临时性(Temporary)。”
"Of course, we all know that (fiscal support) should be 'triple T' - targeted, tailored and temporary," Mimura said on how economies should exercise discipline in delivering spending to cushion the blow to households and firms from the energy shock.
三村淳表示,由于许多国家面临来自中国的竞争压力,东盟国家应专注于进一步加强投资,以实现关键矿产和能源供应链的多元化,日本愿意支持这一举措。
As many countries face competitive pressure from China, ASEAN countries should focus on further strengthening investment to diversify supply chains in critical minerals and energy, Mimura said, a drive Japan was willing to support.
“所有东盟国家都绝对应该进一步投资,以便它们能够始终跟上人工智能和创新的步伐,”三村淳在小组讨论中说。“同时,我认为东盟国家在数字化供应链中处于非常有利的地位,因为它们正在生产关键矿产。”由11个成员国组成的东盟集团包括文莱、柬埔寨、东帝汶、印度尼西亚、老挝、马来西亚、缅甸、菲律宾、新加坡、泰国和越南。
"All ASEAN countries should definitely further invest so that they can always catch up with AI and innovation," Mimura told the panel. "At the same time, I think ASEAN countries are really well positioned in the supply chain for digitalisation because they're producing critical minerals." The 11-member ASEAN bloc comprises Brunei, Cambodia, East Timor, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.