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美国股市遭遇7月以来最惨淡一天,通胀持续恶化US stocks drop to their worst day since July as inflation worsens

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美国股市周三跌至自7月以来最糟糕的一天,原因是最新通胀数据显示通胀正在恶化。

US stocks dropped to their worst day since July on Wednesday, following the latest signal that inflation is getting worse.

标普500指数下跌1.1%,这是自其历史高点以来六天内的第五次下跌。道琼斯工业平均指数下跌48点,即0.1%,而纳斯达克综合指数下跌1.9%,人工智能行业股票领跌。

The S&P 500 sank 1.1 per cent for a fifth loss in the six days since setting its all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 48 points, or 0.1 per cent, and the Nasdaq composite slid 1.9 per cent as stocks in the artificial-intelligence industry led the way lower.

股市承受着债券市场收益率上升的压力,此前一份报告显示,美国消费者上个月为燃料、食品和其他生活成本支付的价格总体较去年同期高出3.7%。

Stocks felt pressure from rising yields in the bond market, where worries grew after a report said US consumers had to pay prices for fuel, food and other costs of living last month that were 3.7 per cent higher overall than a year earlier.

这意味着通胀从8月的3.4%加速,且高于经济学家预期的3.6%。

That means inflation accelerated from its 3.4 per cent rate in August and was worse than the 3.6 per cent that economists expected.

自经济从新冠疫情造成的低谷中猛然复苏以来,通胀一直比人们希望的更为痛苦。近期通胀加速部分原因是伊朗战争导致燃料价格飙升,而布伦特原油每桶价格周三上涨0.4%,达到106.06美元。

Inflation has remained more painful than anyone would like since the economy catapulted out of the crevasse created by the Covid-19 pandemic. It has accelerated recently in part because of jumps in fuel prices caused by the war with Iran, and the price for a barrel of Brent crude added 0.4 per cent Wednesday to US$106.06.

这加剧了人们对政府债务负担快速上升的长期担忧,也反映出美国经济仍在增长等因素,这些因素共同推动债券收益率升至多年最高水平。

That has added to the long-standing worries about fast-rising debt loads for governments, signals that the US economy is still growing and other factors that have sent bond yields to their highest levels in years.

美国债券市场的核心品种——10年期美国国债收益率,在通胀报告发布前刚刚低于5.17%,随后短暂跳升至5.32%以上,但最终回吐了大部分涨幅。

The centrepiece of the US bond market, the 10-year Treasury, saw its yield briefly jump above 5.32 per cent from less than 5.17 per cent just before the inflation report’s release. It eventually gave back much of the gain.

人们周三在佛罗里达州迈阿密的一家商店里选购商品。图片来源:法新社People shop for items in a store in Miami, Florida, on Wednesday. Photo: AFP

短期美国国债收益率出现了更大幅度的跳升,因为交易员提高了对美联储未来加息的预期,尽管随着一天的推移,这些收益率也有所回落。

Yields on shorter-term Treasurys had even bigger leaps as traders raised their expectations for coming hikes to interest rates by the Federal Reserve, though they also moderated as the day progressed.

美联储最近首次在三年内提高了它控制的利率,该利率影响非常短期的贷款,旨在遏制通胀。更高的利率通过使每个人借钱更昂贵、放缓整体经济来实现这一点。

The Fed recently raised the interest rate that it controls, which affects very short-term loans, for the first time in three years in hopes of reining in inflation. Higher rates do that by making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money and slowing the overall economy.

根据CME Group的数据,交易员现在认为美联储在两周后的下次会议上提高联邦基金利率的可能性接近35%,而一天前这一概率为22%。

Traders now see a nearly 35 per cent chance the Fed will raise the federal funds rate at its next meeting in two weeks, up from the 22 per cent probability seen a day earlier, according to data from CME Group.

导致通胀居高不下的部分原因是美国人总体上仍在继续消费,这促使企业继续提高其产品和服务的价格。

Part of what is keeping inflation high is that Americans overall are continuing to spend, which encourages businesses to keep raising prices for their products and services.

随着美国人变得更加“价格敏感”,并且经济也因工人生产率提高而受益,先锋集团高级经济学家亚当·施克林表示,通胀应会放缓,但“需要耐心”。

As Americans become more “price-sensitive” and the economy also benefits from greater productivity by workers, Vanguard Senior Economist Adam Schickling said inflation should slow, but “patience will be required”.

华尔街周三的大部分损失源于那些搭乘AI热潮、实现巨额利润增长和股票大幅上涨的公司股价下跌。

Much of Wall Street’s pain on Wednesday was due to drops for companies riding the AI frenzy to huge profit growth and stellar stock gains.

更高的债券收益率使借款成本上升,可能使公司更难以筹集资金建设数据中心并填充AI芯片。英伟达下跌3.2%、博通下跌3.1%、超微半导体下跌5.7%是当天标普500指数的主要压力之一。

Higher bond yields making borrowing money more expensive could make it more difficult for companies to raise cash to build data centres and fill them with AI chips. Drops of 3.2 per cent for Nvidia, 3.1 per cent for Broadcom and 5.7 per cent for Advanced Micro Devices were among the day’s heaviest weights on the S&P 500.

2015年12月,一名男子走过华盛顿的美联储大楼。图片来源:路透社A man walks past the Federal Reserve in Washington in December 2015. Photo: Reuters

CoreWeave公司向客户通过云端提供AI算力,其股价暴跌15.5%,为自2月以来最差的一天。GE Vernova公司希望为耗电的数据中心供电,其股价下跌6.2%,甲骨文公司股价下跌8.8%。

CoreWeave, which offers AI computing power to customers over the cloud, tumbled 15.5 per cent for its worst day since February. GE Vernova, which is hoping to electrify power-hungry data centres, dropped 6.2 per cent, and Oracle sank 8.8 per cent.

较小的公司也感受到更高利率的冲击,因为许多公司需要借贷来实现增长。罗素2000指数(追踪美国最小规模股票)下跌1.9%。

Smaller companies also feel the bite of higher interest rates because many need to borrow to grow. The Russell 2000 index of the smallest US stocks fell 1.9 per cent.

债券市场收益率上升会压低各类股票的价格,而公司抵消这种影响的主要方式是实现更高的利润。分析师正是如此预期的,这也是标普500指数能够在华尔街面临诸多挑战的情况下仍创纪录的原因。

Higher yields in the bond market push downward on prices for all kinds of stocks, and the main way companies can offset that is by delivering bigger profits. That is exactly what analysts are expecting, and it is how the S&P 500 has been able to set records despite the many challenges weighing on Wall Street.

但高期望也意味着,如果公司未能达到增长目标,它们很可能会受到惩罚。

But the high expectations also mean companies are likely to get punished if they fall short of targets for growth.

美国银行因公布的夏季利润和收入低于分析师预期,股价下跌4.8%。即使美国财政部周二晚间未宣布该银行因涉嫌违反反洗钱和制裁法而被处以12亿美元罚款,其利润也仍将未达预期。

Bank of America dropped 4.8 per cent after reporting weaker profit and revenue for the summer than analysts expected. The profit would have failed to meet expectations even if the US Treasury Department had not announced US$1.2 billion in fines late on Tuesday for alleged violations of anti-money-laundering and sanctions laws by the bank.

州街银行因公布的最新季度收入低于分析师预期,股价下跌4.1%,尽管其利润略高于预测。

State Street sank 4.1 per cent after reporting weaker revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected, even though its profit was slightly above their forecasts.

综合来看,标普500指数下跌86.51点,收于7,718.94点。道琼斯工业平均指数下跌48.62点,至51,621.48点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌511.51点,至26,692.87点。

All told, the S&P 500 fell 86.51 points to 7,718.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 48.62 to 51,621.48, and the Nasdaq composite sank 511.51 to 26,692.87.

在海外股市中,亚洲收盘走弱后,欧洲股指小幅上扬。伦敦股市上涨0.7%,上海股市下跌0.9%,这是全球两大主要股市的显著波动。

In stock markets abroad, indexes ticked higher in Europe following a weaker finish in Asia. They rose 0.7 per cent in London and fell 0.9 per cent in Shanghai for two of the world’s bigger moves.